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We propose two bounded comparison metrics that may be implemented to arbitrary dimensions in regression tasks. One quantifies the structure of uncertainty and the other quantifies the distribution of uncertainty. The structure metric…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-10 Ethan Pickering , Themistoklis P. Sapsis

We derive entropic uncertainty relations for successive generalized measurements by using general descriptions of quantum measurement within two {distinctive operational} scenarios. In the first scenario, by merging {two successive…

量子物理 · 物理学 2018-01-04 Kyunghyun Baek , Wonmin Son

Evidence theory is that the extension of probability can better deal with unknowns and inaccurate information. Uncertainty measurement plays a vital role in both evidence theory and probability theory. Approximate Entropy (ApEn) is proposed…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-05-19 Tianxiang Zhan , Yuanpeng He , Hanwen Li , Fuyuan Xiao

Number-phase uncertainty relations are formulated in terms of unified entropies which form a family of two-parametric extensions of the Shannon entropy. For two generalized measurements, unified-entropy uncertainty relations are given in…

量子物理 · 物理学 2012-06-26 Alexey E. Rastegin

Nonparametric estimation of a mixing distribution based on data coming from a mixture model is a challenging problem. Beyond estimation, there is interest in uncertainty quantification, e.g., confidence intervals for features of the mixing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-06-14 Vaidehi Dixit , Ryan Martin

The effects of any quantum measurement can be described by a collection of measurement operators {M_m} acting on the quantum state of the measured system. However, the Hilbert space formalism tends to obscure the relationship between the…

量子物理 · 物理学 2009-11-07 Holger F. Hofmann

We propose a method for estimating disparity confidence intervals in stereo matching problems. Confidence intervals provide complementary information to usual confidence measures. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first method…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-04-10 Roman Malinowski , Emmanuelle Sarrazin , Loïc Dumas , Emmanuel Dubois , Sébastien Destercke

Measurement uncertainty relations are lower bounds on the errors of any approximate joint measurement of two or more quantum observables. The aim of this paper is to provide methods to compute optimal bounds of this type. The basic method…

量子物理 · 物理学 2016-06-08 René Schwonnek , David Reeb , Reinhard F. Werner

Uncertainty quantification for complex deep learning models is increasingly important as these techniques see growing use in high-stakes, real-world settings. Currently, the quality of a model's uncertainty is evaluated using…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-15 Benjamin Kompa , Jasper Snoek , Andrew Beam

Uncertainty in machine learning refers to the degree of confidence or lack thereof in a model's predictions. While uncertainty quantification methods exist, explanations of uncertainty, especially in high-dimensional settings, remain an…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-30 Isaac Roberts , Alexander Schulz , Sarah Schroeder , Fabian Hinder , Barbara Hammer

We address the generalized uncertainty principle in scenarios of successive measurements. Uncertainties are characterized by means of generalized entropies of both the R\'{e}nyi and Tsallis types. Here, specific features of measurements of…

量子物理 · 物理学 2018-05-30 Alexey E. Rastegin

In machine learning, accurately predicting the probability that a specific input is correct is crucial for risk management. This process, known as uncertainty (or confidence) estimation, is particularly important in mission-critical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-12 Gabriella Chouraqui , Liron Cohen , Gil Einziger , Liel Leman

We propose a method of estimating the uncertainty of a result obtained through extrapolation to the complete basis set limit. The method is based on an ensemble of random walks which simulate all possible extrapolation outcomes that could…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2025-08-26 Jakub Lang , Michał Przybytek , Michał Lesiuk

Indeterminacy associated with probing of a quantum state is commonly expressed through spectral distances (metric) featured in the outcomes of repeated experiments. Here we express it as an effective amount (measure) of distinct outcomes…

量子物理 · 物理学 2021-09-21 Ivan Horváth

We develop a new approach for quantifying uncertainty in finite populations, by using design distributions to calibrate sensitivity parameters in finite population identified sets. This yields uncertainty intervals that can be interpreted…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-05-12 Brendan Kline , Matthew A. Masten

In this PhD thesis, we propose a novel framework for uncertainty quantification in machine learning, which is based on proper scores. Uncertainty quantification is an important cornerstone for trustworthy and reliable machine learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-26 Sebastian G. Gruber

Whereas confidence intervals are used to assess uncertainty due to unmeasured individuals, confounding intervals can be used to assess uncertainty due to unmeasured attributes. Previously, we have introduced a methodology for computing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-13 Brian Knaeble , R Mitchell Hughes

Probability theory has become the predominant framework for quantifying uncertainty across scientific and engineering disciplines, with a particular focus on measurement and control systems. However, the widespread reliance on simple…

A risk analyst assesses potential financial losses based on multiple sources of information. Often, the assessment does not only depend on the specification of the loss random variable but also various economic scenarios. Motivated by this…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2023-10-02 Tolulope Fadina , Yang Liu , Ruodu Wang

A generalized uncertainty principle is obtained from a conformally transformed action containing a scalar field and a unique constraint. The constraint's Lagrange multiplier is found to obey a relativistic diffusion equation transforming…

高能物理 - 理论 · 物理学 2020-04-24 Dor Gabay