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The stochastic leverage effect, defined as the standardized covariation between the returns and their related volatility, is analyzed in a stochastic volatility model set-up. A novel estimator of the effect is defined using a pre-estimation…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-03-09 Imma Valentina Curato , Simona Sanfelici

We prove that a wide class of correlated stochastic volatility models exactly measure an empirical fact in which past returns are anticorrelated with future volatilities: the so-called ``leverage effect''. This quantitative measure allows…

统计力学 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Josep Perello , Jaume Masoliver

We propose model-free (nonparametric) estimators of the volatility of volatility and leverage effect using high-frequency observations of short-dated options. At each point in time, we integrate available options into estimates of the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-01-24 Carsten H. Chong , Viktor Todorov

An extensive empirical literature documents a generally negative correlation, named the "leverage effect," between asset returns and changes of volatility. It is more challenging to establish such a return-volatility relationship for jumps…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-12-11 Markus Bibinger , Christopher Neely , Lars Winkelmann

We present a new volatility model, simple to implement, that includes a leverage effect whose return-volatility correlation function fits to empirical observations. This model is able to capture both the "retarded effect" induced by the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-01-03 Sebastien Valeyre , Denis Grebenkov , Sofiane Aboura , Qian Liu

We investigate quantitatively the so-called leverage effect, which corresponds to a negative correlation between past returns and future volatility. For individual stocks, this correlation is moderate and decays exponentially over 50 days,…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Andrew Matacz , Marc Potters

This study presents contemporaneous modeling of asset return and price range within the framework of stochastic volatility with leverage. A new representation of the probability density function for the price range is provided, and its…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-10-28 Yuta Kurose

The leverage effect-- the correlation between an asset's return and its volatility-- has played a key role in forecasting and understanding volatility and risk. While it is a long standing consensus that leverage effects exist and improve…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2017-12-12 Kenichiro McAlinn , Asahi Ushio , Teruo Nakatsuma

We propose a new volatility model based on two stylized facts of the volatility in the stock market: clustering and leverage effect. We calibrate our model parameters, in the leading order, with 77 years Dow Jones Industrial Average data.…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2015-12-08 Xin Li , Carlos F. Tolmasky

Financial time series exhibit two different type of non linear correlations: (i) volatility autocorrelations that have a very long range memory, on the order of years, and (ii) asymmetric return-volatility (or `leverage') correlations that…

统计力学 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Josep Perello , Jaume Masoliver , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

In an efficient stock market, the returns and their time-dependent volatility are often jointly modeled by stochastic volatility models (SVMs). Over the last few decades several SVMs have been proposed to adequately capture the defining…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-03-21 Sujay Mukhoti , Pritam Ranjan

We study the estimation of leverage effect and volatility of volatility by using high-frequency data with the presence of jumps. We first construct spot volatility estimator by using the empirical characteristic function of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-03 Qiang Liu , Zhi Liu , Wang Zhou

The leverage effect refers to the well-established relationship between returns and volatility. When returns fall, volatility increases. We examine the role of the leverage effect with regards to generating density forecasts of equity…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-11-04 Leopoldo Catania , Nima Nonejad

We show that typical behaviors of market participants at the high frequency scale generate leverage effect and rough volatility. To do so, we build a simple microscopic model for the price of an asset based on Hawkes processes. We encode in…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2016-09-19 El Euch Omar , Fukasawa Masaaki , Rosenbaum Mathieu

We consider a tick-by-tick model of price formation, in which buy and sell orders are modeled as self-exciting point processes (Hawkes process), similar to the one in [Bacry, Delattre, Hoffmann, Muzy, Modelling microstructure noise with…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2026-03-27 Paolo Dai Pra , Paolo Pigato

We present a stochastic volatility market model where volatility is correlated with return and is represented by an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. With this model we exactly measure the leverage effect and other stylized facts, such as mean…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Josep Perello , Jaume Masoliver

Multifractal processes are a relatively new tool of stock market analysis. Their power lies in the ability to take multiple orders of autocorrelations into account explicitly. In the first part of the paper we discuss the framework of the…

其他凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Zoltan Eisler , Janos Kertesz

This research shows that under certain mathematical conditions, a threshold autoregressive model (TAR) can represent the leverage effect based on its conditional variance function. Furthermore, the analytical expressions for the third and…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-02-19 Oscar Espinosa , Fabio Nieto

This paper concerns a local volatility model in which volatility takes two possible values, and the specific value depends on whether the underlying price is above or below a given threshold value. The model is known, and a number of…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2024-05-17 Alexander Gairat , Vadim Shcherbakov

We propose Monte Carlo calibration algorithms for three models: local volatility with stochastic interest rates, stochastic local volatility with deterministic interest rates, and finally stochastic local volatility with stochastic interest…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2023-05-09 Orcan Ogetbil , Narayan Ganesan , Bernhard Hientzsch
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