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Bayesian variable selection is a powerful tool for data analysis, as it offers a principled method for variable selection that accounts for prior information and uncertainty. However, wider adoption of Bayesian variable selection has been…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-12-06 Martin Jankowiak

Gaussian time-series models are often specified through their spectral density. Such models present several computational challenges, in particular because of the non-sparse nature of the covariance matrix. We derive a fast approximation of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-11-20 Nicolas Chopin , Judith Rousseau , Brunero Liseo

We present a set of high-probability inequalities that control the concentration of weighted averages of multiple (possibly uncountably many) simultaneously evolving and interdependent martingales. Our results extend the PAC-Bayesian…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-07-31 Yevgeny Seldin , François Laviolette , Nicolò Cesa-Bianchi , John Shawe-Taylor , Peter Auer

Modern day engineering problems are ubiquitously characterized by sophisticated computer codes that map parameters or inputs to an underlying physical process. In other situations, experimental setups are used to model the physical process…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-07-02 Raphael Gautier , Piyush Pandita , Sayan Ghosh , Dimitri Mavris

A fundamental question in theoretical machine learning is generalization. Over the past decades, the PAC-Bayesian approach has been established as a flexible framework to address the generalization capabilities of machine learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-28 Fredrik Hellström , Giuseppe Durisi , Benjamin Guedj , Maxim Raginsky

Pac-Bayes bounds are among the most accurate generalization bounds for classifiers learned from independently and identically distributed (IID) data, and it is particularly so for margin classifiers: there have been recent contributions…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2010-06-09 Liva Ralaivola , Marie Szafranski , Guillaume Stempfel

We study the problem of aggregation under the squared loss in the model of regression with deterministic design. We obtain sharp PAC-Bayesian risk bounds for aggregates defined via exponential weights, under general assumptions on the…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-03-25 Arnak Dalalyan , Alexandre Tsybakov

Deep neural networks often contain far more parameters than training examples, yet they still manage to generalize well in practice. Classical complexity measures such as VC-dimension or PAC-Bayes bounds usually become vacuous in this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-26 Aviral Dhingra

We discuss Bayesian inference for a known-mean Gaussian model with a compound symmetric variance-covariance matrix. Since the space of such matrices is a linear subspace of that of positive definite matrices, we utilize the methods of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-20 Zachary M. Pisano

We consider the problem of robustly predicting as well as the best linear combination of $d$ given functions in least squares regression, and variants of this problem including constraints on the parameters of the linear combination. For…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-02-24 Jean-Yves Audibert , Olivier Catoni

We consider penalized regression models under a unified framework where the particular method is determined by the form of the penalty term. We propose a fully Bayesian approach that incorporates both sparse and dense settings and show how…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-07-25 Ding Xiang , Galin L. Jones

We consider the problem of providing nonparametric confidence guarantees for undirected graphs under weak assumptions. In particular, we do not assume sparsity, incoherence or Normality. We allow the dimension $D$ to increase with the…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-09-27 Larry Wasserman , Mladen Kolar , Alessandro Rinaldo

Classical PAC generalization bounds on the prediction risk of a classifier are insufficient to provide theoretical guarantees on fairness when the goal is to learn models balancing predictive risk and fairness constraints. We propose a…

We apply the PAC-Bayes theory to the setting of learning-to-optimize. To the best of our knowledge, we present the first framework to learn optimization algorithms with provable generalization guarantees (PAC-bounds) and explicit trade-off…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-16 Michael Sucker , Peter Ochs

Considering a probability distribution over parameters is known as an efficient strategy to learn a neural network with non-differentiable activation functions. We study the expectation of a probabilistic neural network as a predictor by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-17 Louis Fortier-Dubois , Gaël Letarte , Benjamin Leblanc , François Laviolette , Pascal Germain

This paper studies the truncation method from Alquier [1] to derive high-probability PAC-Bayes bounds for unbounded losses with heavy tails. Assuming that the $p$-th moment is bounded, the resulting bounds interpolate between a slow rate $1…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-03-26 Borja Rodríguez-Gálvez , Omar Rivasplata , Ragnar Thobaben , Mikael Skoglund

To address the common problem of high dimensionality in tensor regressions, we introduce a generalized tensor random projection method that embeds high-dimensional tensor-valued covariates into low-dimensional subspaces with minimal loss of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-03 Roberto Casarin , Radu Craiu , Qing Wang

We study sequential mean estimation in $\mathbb{R}^d$. In particular, we derive time-uniform confidence spheres -- confidence sphere sequences (CSSs) -- which contain the mean of random vectors with high probability simultaneously across…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-05-16 Ben Chugg , Hongjian Wang , Aaditya Ramdas

Bayesian low-rank matrix factorization techniques have become an essential tool for relational data analysis and matrix completion. A standard approach is to assign zero-mean Gaussian priors on the columns or rows of factor matrices to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-11-11 Saibal De , Hadi Salehi , Alex Gorodetsky

We investigate the cold posterior effect through the lens of PAC-Bayes generalization bounds. We argue that in the non-asymptotic setting, when the number of training samples is (relatively) small, discussions of the cold posterior effect…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-23 Konstantinos Pitas , Julyan Arbel
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