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Researchers are more likely to share notable findings. As a result, published findings tend to overstate the magnitude of real-world phenomena. This bias is a natural concern for asset pricing research, which has found hundreds of return…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2023-09-22 Andrew Y. Chen , Tom Zimmermann

A leading explanation for widespread replication failures is publication bias. I show in a simple model of selective publication that, contrary to common perceptions, the replication rate is unaffected by the suppression of insignificant…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2022-07-04 Patrick Vu

Publication bias occurs when the publication of research results depends not only on the quality of the research but also on its nature and direction. The consequence is that published studies may not be truly representative of all valid…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-02-13 Chuan Hong , Jing Zhang , Yang Li , Elena Elia , Richard Riley , Yong Chen

Publication bias is a major concern in conducting systematic reviews and meta-analyses. Various sensitivity analysis or bias-correction methods have been developed based on selection models and they have some advantages over the widely used…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-28 Ao Huang , Kosuke Morikawa , Tim Friede , Satoshi Hattori

The publication process both determines which research receives the most attention, and influences the supply of research through its impact on researchers' private incentives. We introduce a framework to study optimal publication decisions…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-09-25 Ravi Jagadeesan , Davide Viviano

Link prediction methods are frequently applied in recommender systems, e.g., to suggest citations for academic papers or friends in social networks. However, exposure bias can arise when users are systematically underexposed to certain…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-15 Shantanu Gupta , Hao Wang , Zachary C. Lipton , Yuyang Wang

Several systematic studies have suggested that a large fraction of published research is not reproducible. One probable reason for low reproducibility is insufficient sample size, resulting in low power and low positive predictive value. It…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2020-07-01 Oliver Braganza

Publication bias and p-hacking are two well-known phenomena that strongly affect the scientific literature and cause severe problems in meta-analyses. Due to these phenomena, the assumptions of meta-analyses are seriously violated and the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-02-26 Jonas Moss , Riccardo De Bin

The validity of conclusions from meta-analysis is potentially threatened by publication bias. Most existing procedures for correcting publication bias assume normality of the study-specific effects that account for between-study…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-02-10 Ray Bai , Lifeng Lin , Mary R. Boland , Yong Chen

In research policy, effective measures that lead to improvements in the generation of knowledge must be based on reliable methods of research assessment, but for many countries and institutions this is not the case. Publication and citation…

数字图书馆 · 计算机科学 2018-07-20 Alonso Rodriguez-Navarro , Ricardo Brito

Large-scale replication studies like the Reproducibility Project: Psychology (RP:P) provide invaluable systematic data on scientific replicability, but most analyses and interpretations of the data fail to agree on the definition of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-08 Kenneth Hung , William Fithian

Systematic reviews aim to summarize all the available evidence relevant to a particular research question. If appropriate, the data from identified studies are quantitatively combined in a meta-analysis. Often only few studies regarding a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-14 M. Henmi , S. Hattori , T. Friede

Established frameworks to understand problems with reproducibility in science begin with the relationship between our understanding of the prior probability of a claim and the statistical certainty that should be demanded of it, and explore…

其他统计学 · 统计学 2022-05-30 Maria Chikina , Wesley Pegden

We develop a statistical framework for empirical Bayes learning from selectively reported confidence intervals, and apply it to provide context for interpreting results published in MEDLINE abstracts. We use a collection of 326,060 z-scores…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-16 Hunter Chen , Junming Guan , Erik van Zwet , Nikolaos Ignatiadis

Meta-analysis is a powerful tool to synthesize findings from multiple studies. The normal-normal random-effects model is widely used to account for between-study heterogeneity. However, meta-analysis of sparse data, which may arise when the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-10 Taojun Hu , Yi Zhou , Satoshi Hattori

In meta-analyses, publication bias is a well-known, important and challenging issue because the validity of the results from a meta-analysis is threatened if the sample of studies retrieved for review is biased. One popular method to deal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-03 Rui Duan , Jin Piao , Arielle Marks-Anglin , Jiayi Tong , Lifeng Lin , Haitao Chu , Jing Ning , Yong Chen

An academic scientist's professional success depends on publishing. Publishing norms emphasize novel, positive results. As such, disciplinary incentives encourage design, analysis, and reporting decisions that elicit positive results and…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2012-05-29 Brian A. Nosek , Jeffrey R. Spies , Matt Motyl

Publication selection bias undermines the systematic accumulation of evidence. To assess the extent of this problem, we survey over 68,000 meta-analyses containing over 700,000 effect size estimates from medicine (67,386/597,699),…

Meta analysis is commonly-used to synthesize multiple results from individual studies. However, its validation is usually threatened by publication bias and between-study heterogeneity, which can be captured by the Copas selection model.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-21 Mengke Li , Yukun Liu , Pengfei Li , Jing Qin

The Open Science Collaboration recently reported that 36% of published findings from psychological studies were reproducible by independent researchers. We can use this information together with Bayes theorem to estimate the statistical…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-09-13 Michael Ingre
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