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Multi-model ensemble analysis integrates information from multiple climate models into a unified projection. However, existing integration approaches based on model averaging can dilute fine-scale spatial information and incur bias from…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-04-12 Trevor Harris , Bo Li , Ryan Sriver

In this work, we study a family of wireless channel simulation models called geometry-based stochastic channel models (GBSCMs). Compared to more complex ray-tracing simulation models, GBSCMs do not require an extensive characterization of…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2018-06-12 Paul Ferrand

With the widespread availability of satellite-based instruments, many geophysical processes are measured on a global scale and they often show strong nonstationarity in the covariance structure. In this paper we present a flexible class of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2009-01-27 Mikyoung Jun , Michael L. Stein

This work addresses the problem of simulating Gaussian random fields that are continuously indexed over a class of metric graphs, termed graphs with Euclidean edges, being more general and flexible than linear networks. We introduce three…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-04-29 Alfredo Alegría , Xavier Emery , Tobia Filosi , Emilio Porcu

We introduce state-space models where the functionals of the observational and the evolutionary equations are unknown, and treated as random functions evolving with time. Thus, our model is nonparametric and generalizes the traditional…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-02-24 Anurag Ghosh , Soumalya Mukhopadhyay , Sandipan Roy , Sourabh Bhattacharya

Many real-world spatio-temporal processes exhibit nonlinear dynamics that can often be described through stochastic partial differential equations. These models are flexible and scientifically motivated, however, implementing them in a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-30 Madelyn Clinch , Jonathan R. Bradley

The Log-Gaussian Cox Process is a commonly used model for the analysis of spatial point patterns. Fitting this model is difficult because of its doubly-stochastic property, i.e., it is an hierarchical combination of a Poisson process at the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-01-05 Ming Teng , Farouk S. Nathoo , Timothy D. Johnson

In this article, we primarily propose a novel Bayesian characterization of stationary and nonstationary stochastic processes. In practice, this theory aims to distinguish between global stationarity and nonstationarity for both parametric…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-05-04 Sucharita Roy , Sourabh Bhattacharya

State-space models are successfully used in many areas of science, engineering and economics to model time series and dynamical systems. We present a fully Bayesian approach to inference \emph{and learning} (i.e. state estimation and system…

机器学习 · 统计学 2013-12-18 Roger Frigola , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön , Carl E. Rasmussen

Cokriging is the common method of spatial interpolation (best linear unbiased prediction) in multivariate geostatistics. While best linear prediction has been well understood in univariate spatial statistics, the literature for the…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-07-30 François Bachoc , Emilio Porcu , Moreno Bevilacqua , Reinhard Furrer , Tarik Faouzi

Gaussian processes are a natural way of defining prior distributions over functions of one or more input variables. In a simple nonparametric regression problem, where such a function gives the mean of a Gaussian distribution for an…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2008-02-03 Radford M. Neal

Gaussian process regression is a widely-applied method for function approximation and uncertainty quantification. The technique has gained popularity recently in the machine learning community due to its robustness and interpretability. The…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-10-12 Marcus M. Noack , James A. Sethian

The advent of data science has provided an increasing number of challenges with high data complexity. This paper addresses the challenge of space-time data where the spatial domain is not a planar surface, a sphere, or a linear network, but…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-09 Emilio Porcu , Philip A. White , Marc G. Genton

We define a new class of Gaussian processes on compact metric graphs such as street or river networks. The proposed models, the Whittle--Mat\'ern fields, are defined via a fractional stochastic differential equation on the compact metric…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-04-07 David Bolin , Alexandre B. Simas , Jonas Wallin

The second-order, small-scale dependence structure of a stochastic process defined in the space-time domain is key to prediction (or kriging). While great efforts have been dedicated to developing models for cases in which the spatial…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-10-01 Jun Tang , Dale Zimmerman

Covariance tapering is a popular approach for reducing the computational cost of spatial prediction and parameter estimation for Gaussian process models. However, tapering can have poor performance when the process is sampled at spatially…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-02-22 David Bolin , Jonas Wallin

Monitoring daily weather fields is critical for climate science, agriculture, and environmental planning, yet fully probabilistic spatio-temporal models become computationally prohibitive at continental scale. We present a case study on…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-02-12 Tim Gyger , Reinhard Furrer , Fabio Sigrist

Spatial models for areal data are often constructed such that all pairs of adjacent regions are assumed to have near-identical spatial autocorrelation. In practice, data can exhibit dependence structures more complicated than can be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-04 Michael F. Christensen , Peter D. Hoff

For many applications with multivariate data, random field models capturing departures from Gaussianity within realisations are appropriate. For this reason, we formulate a new class of multivariate non-Gaussian models based on systems of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-01-01 David Bolin , Jonas Wallin

It is increasingly understood that the assumption of stationarity is unrealistic for many spatial processes. In this article, we combine dimension expansion with a spectral method to model big non-stationary spatial fields in a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-01-20 Hou-Cheng Yang , Jonathan R. Bradley