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Risk assessment of hurricane-driven storm surge relies on deterministic computer models that produce outputs over a large spatial domain. The surge models can often be run at a range of fidelity levels, with greater precision yielding more…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-31 Cyrus S. McCrimmon , Pulong Ma

Covariance functions are the core of spatial statistics, stochastic processes, machine learning as well as many other theoretical and applied disciplines. The properties of the covariance function at small and large distances determine the…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-01-16 Alfredo Alegría , Fabián Ramírez , Emilio Porcu

With the proliferation of modern high-resolution measuring instruments mounted on satellites, planes, ground-based vehicles and monitoring stations, a need has arisen for statistical methods suitable for the analysis of large spatial…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-11-26 Matthias Katzfuss

Circular data arise in many areas of application. Recently, there has been interest in looking at circular data collected separately over time and over space. Here, we extend some of this work to the spatio-temporal setting, introducing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-04-18 Gianluca Mastrantonio , Giovanna Jona Lasinio , Alan E. Gelfand

Fractional Gaussian fields provide a rich class of spatial models and have a long history of applications in multiple branches of science. However, estimation and inference for fractional Gaussian fields present significant challenges. This…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-02-22 Somak Dutta , Debashis Mondal

Bayesian models based on Gaussian processes (GPs) offer a flexible framework to predict spatially distributed variables with uncertainty. But the use of nonstationary priors, often necessary for capturing complex spatial patterns, makes…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-06-02 Gabriel V Cardoso , Mike Pereira

This research proposes a flexible Bayesian extension of the composite Gaussian process (CGP) model of Ba and Joseph (2012) for predicting (stationary or) non-stationary $y(\mathbf{x})$. The CGP generalizes the regression plus stationary…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-06-27 Casey B. Davis , Christopher M. Hans , Thomas J. Santner

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a popular model for spatially referenced data and allow descriptive statements, predictions at new locations, and simulation of new fields. Often a few parameters are sufficient to parameterize the covariance…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-01-01 Florian Gerber , Douglas W. Nychka

Spatio-temporal forecasting is challenging attributing to the high nonlinearity in temporal dynamics as well as complex location-characterized patterns in spatial domains, especially in fields like weather forecasting. Graph convolutions…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-14 Haitao Lin , Zhangyang Gao , Yongjie Xu , Lirong Wu , Ling Li , Stan. Z. Li

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a ubiquitous tool for geostatistical modeling with high levels of flexibility and interpretability, and the ability to make predictions at unseen spatial locations through a process called Kriging. Estimation of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-11-12 Brandon R. Feng , Reetam Majumder , Brian J. Reich , Mohamed A. Abba

Stationary points embedded in the derivatives are often critical for a model to be interpretable and may be considered as key features of interest in many applications. We propose a semiparametric Bayesian model to efficiently infer the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-11 Cheng-Han Yu , Meng Li , Colin Noe , Simon Fischer-Baum , Marina Vannucci

Statistical inference for time series such as curve estimation for time-varying models or testing for existence of change-point have garnered significant attention. However, these works are generally restricted to the assumption of…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-08-08 Soham Bonnerjee , Sayar Karmakar , Wei Biao Wu

Future climate change impacts depend on temperatures not only through changes in their means but also through changes in their variability. General circulation models (GCMs) predict changes in both means and variability; however, GCM output…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-11-03 Andrew Poppick , David J. McInerney , Elisabeth J. Moyer , Michael L. Stein

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a popular class of Bayesian nonparametric models, but its training can be computationally burdensome for massive training datasets. While there has been notable work on scaling up these models for big data,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-16 Kevin Li , Simon Mak

We consider latent Gaussian fields for modelling spatial dependence in the context of both spatial point patterns and areal data, providing two different applications. The inhomogeneous Log-Gaussian Cox Process model is specified to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-04-01 Nicoletta D'Angelo , Antonino Abbruzzo , Giada Adelfio

Despite the widespread utilization of Gaussian process models for versatile nonparametric modeling, they exhibit limitations in effectively capturing abrupt changes in function smoothness and accommodating relationships with heteroscedastic…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-09-01 Taehee Lee , Jun S. Liu

Many applications of Gaussian random fields and Gaussian random processes are limited by the computational complexity of evaluating the probability density function, which involves inverting the relevant covariance matrix. In this work, we…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2018-12-26 Theodor Bjorkmo , M. C. David Marsh

Nonstationary and non-Gaussian spatial data are common in various fields, including ecology (e.g., counts of animal species), epidemiology (e.g., disease incidence counts in susceptible regions), and environmental science (e.g.,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-01 Remy MacDonald , Benjamin Seiyon Lee

A multivariate distribution can be described by a triangular transport map from the target distribution to a simple reference distribution. We propose Bayesian nonparametric inference on the transport map by modeling its components using…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-01-18 Matthias Katzfuss , Florian Schäfer

Gaussian Process State Space Models (GP-SSMs) are a non-parametric model class suitable to represent nonlinear dynamics. They become increasingly popular in data-driven modeling approaches, i.e. when no first-order physics-based models are…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2018-11-19 Thomas Beckers , Sandra Hirche