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This paper studies the extent to which the cyclicality of occupational mobility shapes that of aggregate unemployment and its duration distribution. We document the relation between workers' occupational mobility and unemployment duration…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2023-04-04 Carlos Carrillo-Tudela , Ludo Visschers

In many applications, data can be heterogeneous in the sense of spanning latent groups with different underlying distributions. When predictive models are applied to such data the heterogeneity can affect both predictive performance and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-05-04 Thomas Lartigue , Sach Mukherjee

This paper introduces a novel approach for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects of binary treatment in panel data, particularly focusing on short panel data with large cross-sectional data and observed confoundings. In contrast to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-05 Meijia Wang , Ignacio Martinez , P. Richard Hahn

There are many scenarios where short- and long-term causal effects of an intervention are different. For example, low-quality ads may increase short-term ad clicks but decrease the long-term revenue via reduced clicks. This work, therefore,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-12-23 Lu Cheng , Ruocheng Guo , Huan Liu

A central question for the future of work is whether person centered management can survive when algorithms take on managerial roles. Standard tools often miss what is happening because worker responses to algorithmic systems are rarely…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-30 Arunkumar V , Nivethitha S , Sharan Srinivas , Gangadharan G. R

Algorithmic tools are increasingly used in hiring to improve fairness and diversity, often by enforcing constraints such as gender-balanced candidate shortlists. However, we show theoretically and empirically that enforcing equal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-21 Prasanna Parasurama , Panos Ipeirotis

In 2016, the majority of full-time employed women in the U.S. earned significantly less than comparable men. The extent to which women were affected by gender inequality in earnings, however, depended greatly on socio-economic…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-06-08 Philipp Bach , Victor Chernozhukov , Martin Spindler

Inspired by the unsupervised learning or self-organization in the machine learning context, here we attempt to draw `learning curve' for the collective behavior of job-seeking `zero-intelligence' labors in successive job-hunting processes.…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2013-09-20 He Chen , Jun-ichi Inoue

It is well known that differences in the average number of friends among social groups can cause inequality in the average wage and/or unemployment rate. However, the impact of social network structure on inequality is not evident. In this…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2022-08-03 Yoshitaka Ogisu

In high-dimensional sparse regression, would increasing the signal-to-noise ratio while fixing the sparsity level always lead to better model selection? For high-dimensional sparse regression problems, surprisingly, in this paper we answer…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-03-10 Hua Wang , Yachong Yang , Weijie J. Su

We investigate the finite sample performance of causal machine learning estimators for heterogeneous causal effects at different aggregation levels. We employ an Empirical Monte Carlo Study that relies on arguably realistic data generation…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-10-19 Michael C. Knaus , Michael Lechner , Anthony Strittmatter

Learning heterogeneous treatment effects (HTEs) is an important problem across many fields. Most existing methods consider the setting with a single treatment arm and a single outcome metric. However, in many real world domains, experiments…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-13 Leon Yao , Caroline Lo , Israel Nir , Sarah Tan , Ariel Evnine , Adam Lerer , Alex Peysakhovich

We study a heterogeneous agent macroeconomic model with an infinite number of households and firms competing in a labor market. Each household earns income and engages in consumption at each time step while aiming to maximize a concave…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2023-03-10 Ruitu Xu , Yifei Min , Tianhao Wang , Zhaoran Wang , Michael I. Jordan , Zhuoran Yang

This paper studies variable selection and post-selection inference for high-dimensional clustered data using marginal-model-based procedures. We show that, when covariates are heterogeneously distributed across clusters, marginal-model…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-26 Shangyuan Ye , Cong Zhang , Ying Chen , Ye Liang , Guanbo Wang

Undesired bias afflicts both human and algorithmic decision making, and may be especially prevalent when information processing trade-offs incentivize the use of heuristics. One primary example is \textit{statistical discrimination} --…

We present an approach to estimate distance-dependent heterogeneous associations between point-referenced exposures to built environment characteristics and health outcomes. By estimating associations that depend non-linearly on distance…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-14 Adam Peterson , Emma Sanchez-Vaznaugh , Brisa Sanchez

We study the online busy time scheduling model on heterogeneous machines. In our setting, jobs with uniform length arrive online with a deadline that becomes known to the algorithm at the job's arrival time. An algorithm has access to…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2026-03-09 Gruia Calinescu , Sami Davies , Samir Khuller , Shirley Zhang

Lack of skills is arguably one of the most important determinants of high levels of unemployment and poverty. In response, policymakers often initiate vocational training programs in effort to enhance skill formation among the youth. Using…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-11-08 S. Chakravarty , M. Lundberg , P. Nikolov , J. Zenker

We propose a general methodology to measure labour market dynamics, inspired by the search and matching framework, based on the estimate of the transition rates between labour market states. We show how to estimate instantaneous transition…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2021-04-05 Davide Fiaschi , Cristina Tealdi

Unemployment insurance transfers should balance the provision of consumption to the unemployed with the disincentive effects on the search behavior. Developing countries face the additional challenge of informality. Workers can choose to…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2022-02-07 Martin Gonzalez-Rozada , Hernan Ruffo