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I examine changes in matching efficiency and elasticities in Japan's labor market via Hello Work for unemployed workers from January 1972 to April 2024 using a nonparametric identification approach by y Lange and Papageorgiou (2020). I find…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2024-12-31 Suguru Otani

In many settings, multiple uninformed agents bargain simultaneously with a single informed agent in each of multiple periods. For example, workers and firms negotiate each year over salaries, and the firm has private information about the…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2020-11-10 Quitzé Valenzuela-Stookey

Youth unemployment is a major socioeconomic problem in Nigeria, and several youth-employment programs have been initiated and implemented to address the challenge. While detailed analyses of the impacts of some of these programs have been…

"Big data" gives markets access to previously unmeasured characteristics of individual agents. Policymakers must decide whether and how to regulate the use of this data. We study how new data affects incentives for agents to exert effort in…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2022-09-05 Annie Liang , Erik Madsen

During the past decades the importance of soft skills for labour market outcomes has grown substantially. This carries implications for labour market inequality, since previous research shows that soft skills are not valued equally across…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2019-04-03 Federica Calanca , Luiza Sayfullina , Lara Minkus , Claudia Wagner , Eric Malmi

Unobserved heterogeneous treatment effects have been emphasized in the recent policy evaluation literature (see e.g., Heckman and Vytlacil, 2005). This paper proposes a nonparametric test for unobserved heterogeneous treatment effects in a…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-08-17 Yu-Chin Hsu , Ta-Cheng Huang , Haiqing Xu

Historical studies of labor markets frequently lack data on individual income. The occupational income score (OCCSCORE) is often used as an alternative measure of labor market outcomes. We consider the consequences of using OCCSCORE when…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-09-24 Martin Saavedra , Tate Twinam

In this paper we apply a time series based Vector Auto Regressive (VAR) approach to the problem of predicting unemployment insurance claims in different census regions of the United States. Unemployment insurance claims data, reported…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-05-20 Avleen S. Bijral , Richard Johnston , Juan Lavista Ferres

Existing research on the static effects of the manipulation of welfare program benefit parameters on labor supply has allowed only restrictive forms of heterogeneity in preferences. Yet preference heterogeneity implies that the marginal…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2022-02-08 Robert A. Moffitt , Matthew V. Zahn

We propose a new, flexible model for inference of the effect of a binary treatment on a continuous outcome observed over subsequent time periods. The model allows to seperate association due to endogeneity of treatment selection from…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-02 Helga Wagner , Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter , Liana Jacobi

As an intrinsic and fundamental property of big data, data heterogeneity exists in a variety of real-world applications, such as precision medicine, autonomous driving, financial applications, etc. For machine learning algorithms, the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-04 Jiashuo Liu , Jiayun Wu , Bo Li , Peng Cui

We study the accuracy of job seekers' wage expectations by comparing subjective beliefs to objective benchmarks using linked administrative and survey data. Our findings show that especially job seekers with low objective earnings potential…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2024-09-11 Marco Caliendo , Robert Mahlstedt , Aiko Schmeißer , Sophie Wagner

Skill shortages are a drain on society. They hamper economic opportunities for individuals, slow growth for firms, and impede labor productivity in aggregate. Therefore, the ability to understand and predict skill shortages in advance is…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2021-02-05 Nik Dawson , Marian-Andrei Rizoiu , Benjamin Johnston , Mary-Anne Williams

Using machine learning methods in a quasi-experimental setting, I study the heterogeneous effects of introducing waste prices - unit prices on household unsorted waste disposal on - waste demands, municipal costs and pollution. Using a…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2022-11-04 Marica Valente

I analyze proprietary data from BizReach (2014-2024) to estimate the matching function for high-skill workers on a private on-the-job search platform using Lange and Papageorgiou (2020) nonparametric approach. Comparing it to Hello Work, I…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-11-18 Suguru Otani

A broad set of empirical phenomenon in the study of social, economic and machine behaviour can be modelled as complex systems with averaging dynamics. However many of these models naturally result in consensus or consensus-like outcomes. In…

多智能体系统 · 计算机科学 2020-07-03 Orowa Sikder

This study explores the impact of appearance discrimination in the labor market and whether education can mitigate this issue. A statistical analysis of approximately 1.058 million job advertisements in China from 2008 to 2010 found that…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2024-11-05 Hambur Wang

This study focuses on recurring unemployment, that is people with two or more spells of unemployment during the period of observation (July 1993 - August 1996). First, a classification is obtained which is then used to examine the specific…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Marie Cottrell , Patrice Gaubert

This paper explores the potential impacts of large language models (LLMs) on the Chinese labor market. We analyze occupational exposure to LLM capabilities by incorporating human expertise and LLM classifications, following the methodology…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-05-06 Qin Chen , Jinfeng Ge , Huaqing Xie , Xingcheng Xu , Yanqing Yang

Longitudinal data tracking repeated measurements on individuals are highly valued for research because they offer controls for unmeasured individual heterogeneity that might otherwise bias results. Random effects or mixed models approaches,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2009-09-29 J. R. Lockwood , Daniel F. McCaffrey