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This paper introduces a novel framework for designing fair and sustainable unemployment benefits, grounded in cooperative game theory and real-time fiscal policy. The labor market is modeled as a coalitional game, where a random subset of…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2025-12-15 Xingwei Hu

We have modeled the employment/population ratio in the largest developed countries. Our results show that the evolution of the employment rate since 1970 can be predicted with a high accuracy by a linear dependence on the logarithm of real…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2011-09-21 Ivan Kitov , Oleg Kitov

In 2015, Germany introduced a national minimum wage. While the literature agrees on at most limited negative effects on the overall employment level, we go into detail and analyze the impact on the working hours dimension and on the subset…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2024-05-22 Mario Bossler , Ying Liang , Thorsten Schank

This paper develops a new model and estimation procedure for panel data that allows us to identify heterogeneous structural breaks. We model individual heterogeneity using a grouped pattern. For each group, we allow common structural breaks…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2018-11-27 Ryo Okui , Wendun Wang

This paper introduces a causal machine learning approach to investigate the impact of the EU-Canada Comprehensive Economic Trade Agreement (CETA). We propose a matrix completion algorithm on French customs data to obtain multidimensional…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-05-01 Lionel Fontagné , Francesca Micocci , Armando Rungi

Estimating varying treatment effects in randomized trials with noncompliance is inherently challenging since variation comes from two separate sources: variation in the impact itself and variation in the compliance rate. In this setting,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-08-28 Jared D. Fisher , David W. Puelz , Sameer K. Deshpande

The causal inference literature has increasingly recognized that explicitly targeting treatment effect heterogeneity can lead to improved scientific understanding and policy recommendations. Towards the same ends, studying the causal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-06 Angela Ting , Antonio R. Linero

Many species in nature demonstrate symbiotic relationships leading to emergent behaviors through cooperation, which are sometimes beyond the scope of the partnerships within the same species. These symbiotic relationships are classified as…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2020-12-29 Sanjay Sarma O , Ramviyas Parasuraman , Ramana Pidaparti

Workers separate from jobs, search for jobs, accept jobs, and fund consumption with their wages. Firms recruit workers to fill vacancies. Search frictions prevent firms from instantly hiring available workers. Unemployment persists. These…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2023-11-13 Rich Ryan

This study provides the first confirmation that individual employment status can be predicted from standard mobile phone network logs externally validated with household survey data. Individual welfare and households vulnerability to shocks…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2016-12-13 Pål Sundsøy , Johannes Bjelland , Bjørn-Atle Reme , Eaman Jahani , Erik Wetter , Linus Bengtsson

In this article, we formulate and analyze a new non-linear mathematical model to describe the dynamics of unemployment with a discouraged working population. We consider five dynamic variables, namely, unskilled unemployed individuals,…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2026-01-13 Poushali Das , Shraddha Sachan , Mukul Chauhan , Narendra Kumar , Amit K. Verma

The majority of Swiss children attend mandatory and cost-free kindergarten at four. We examine the effect of this policy on maternal labour market outcomes. Using administrative data, we exploit the birthday cut-off for kindergarten entry…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-03-17 Selina Gangl , Martin Huber

The empirical literature on the relationship between income inequality and economic growth has produced highly heterogeneous and often conflicting results. This paper investigates the sources of this heterogeneity using a meta-analytic…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-02-23 Lisa Capretti , Lorenzo Tonni

China's structural changes have brought new challenges to its regional employment structures, entailing labour redistribution. By now Chinese research on migration decisions with a forward-looking stand and on bilateral longitudinal…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2022-12-26 Huaxin Wang-Lu , Octasiano Miguel Valerio Mendoza

This paper considers the practically important case of nonparametrically estimating heterogeneous average treatment effects that vary with a limited number of discrete and continuous covariates in a selection-on-observables framework where…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2019-08-26 Michael Zimmert , Michael Lechner

We study the impact of strategic behavior in labor markets characterized by algorithmic monoculture, where firms compete for a shared pool of applicants using a common algorithmic evaluation. In this setting, "naive" hiring strategies lead…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2026-02-19 Jackie Baek , Hamsa Bastani , Shihan Chen

Large observational data are increasingly available in disciplines such as health, economic and social sciences, where researchers are interested in causal questions rather than prediction. In this paper, we examine the problem of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-24 Alberto Caron , Gianluca Baio , Ioanna Manolopoulou

It has long been assumed that inheritances, particularly large ones, have a negative effect on the labor supply of inheritors. Using Norwegian registry data, I examine the inheritance-induced decline in inheritors' wages and occupational…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2022-11-07 Xiaoguang Ling

An empirical model is presented linking inflation and unemployment rate to the change in the level of labour force in Switzerland. The involved variables are found to be cointegrated and we estimate lagged linear deterministic relationships…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2011-03-01 Oleg Kitov , Ivan Kitov

This paper constructs internationally consistent measures of macroeconomic uncertainty. Our econometric framework extracts uncertainty from revisions in data obtained from standardized national accounts. Applying our model to post-WWII…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-01-01 Andreas Dibiasi , Samad Sarferaz