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We present a re-parameterization of vector autoregressive moving average (VARMA) models that allows estimation of parameters under the constraints of causality and invertibility. The parameter constraints associated with a causal invertible…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-06-19 Anindya Roy , Tucker S. McElroy , Peter Linton

In this paper, we explore a specific optimization problem that combines a differentiable nonconvex function with a nondifferentiable function for multi-block variables, which is particularly relevant to tackle the multilinear…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-01-10 Zehui Liu , Qingsong Wang , Chunfeng Cui

High-dimensional predictive models, those with more measurements than observations, require regularization to be well defined, perform well empirically, and possess theoretical guarantees. The amount of regularization, often determined by…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-07-16 Darren Homrighausen , Daniel J. McDonald

This article proposes a dynamical system modeling approach for the analysis of longitudinal data of self-regulated systems experiencing multiple excitations. The aim of such an approach is to focus on the evolution of a signal (e.g., heart…

Many key problems in machine learning and data science are routinely modeled as optimization problems and solved via optimization algorithms. With the increase of the volume of data and the size and complexity of the statistical models used…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-08-28 Filip Hanzely

Vector autoregressive models characterize a variety of time series in which linear combinations of current and past observations can be used to accurately predict future observations. For instance, each element of an observation vector…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-06-27 Eric C. Hall , Garvesh Raskutti , Rebecca Willett

After coarse-graining a complex system, the dynamics of its macro-state may exhibit more pronounced causal effects than those of its micro-state. This phenomenon, known as causal emergence, is quantified by the indicator of effective…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2025-02-13 Kaiwei Liu , Bing Yuan , Jiang Zhang

This thesis develops exact analytical tools to study strongly correlated stochastic systems, with a focus on extreme value statistics, gap statistics, and full counting statistics in multi-particle processes. A central contribution is the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2025-08-19 Marco Biroli

We develop a machine-learning framework to learn hyperparameter sequences for accelerated first-order methods (e.g., the step size and momentum sequences in accelerated gradient descent) to quickly solve parametric convex optimization…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-10-07 Rajiv Sambharya , Jinho Bok , Nikolai Matni , George Pappas

Estimation of the mean vector and covariance matrix is of central importance in the analysis of multivariate data. In the framework of generalized linear models, usually the variances are certain functions of the means with the normal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-01-25 Anupam Kundu , Mohsen Pourahmadi

In this paper we introduce a class of novel distributed algorithms for solving stochastic big-data convex optimization problems over directed graphs. In the addressed set-up, the dimension of the decision variable can be extremely high and…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-10-06 Francesco Farina , Giuseppe Notarstefano

Generalized Linear Models are routinely used in data analysis. The classical procedures for estimation are based on Maximum Likelihood and it is well known that the presence of outliers can have a large impact on this estimator. Robust…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-10-02 Marina Valdora , Claudio Agostinelli , Victor J. Yohai

Complex dynamic systems can be investigated by fitting mechanistic stochastic dynamic models to time series data. In this context, commonly used Monte Carlo inference procedures for model selection and parameter estimation quickly become…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-24 Jesse Wheeler , Aaron J. Abkemeier , Edward L. Ionides

Natural and social multivariate systems are commonly studied through sets of simultaneous and time-spaced measurements of the observables that drive their dynamics, i.e., through sets of time series. Typically, this is done via hypothesis…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-07-01 Riccardo Marcaccioli , Giacomo Livan

In high-dimensional regression, we attempt to estimate a parameter vector $\beta_0\in\mathbb{R}^p$ from $n\lesssim p$ observations $\{(y_i,x_i)\}_{i\leq n}$ where $x_i\in\mathbb{R}^p$ is a vector of predictors and $y_i$ is a response…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-02-08 Michael Celentano , Andrea Montanari

Factor analysis, a classical multivariate statistical technique is popularly used as a fundamental tool for dimensionality reduction in statistics, econometrics and data science. Estimation is often carried out via the Maximum Likelihood…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-01-19 Koulik Khamaru , Rahul Mazumder

We introduce a general framework for analyzing learning algorithms based on the notion of self-regularization, which captures implicit complexity control without requiring explicit regularization. This is motivated by previous observations…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-19 Max Schölpple , Liu Fanghui , Ingo Steinwart

Granger causality is a widely-used criterion for analyzing interactions in large-scale networks. As most physical interactions are inherently nonlinear, we consider the problem of inferring the existence of pairwise Granger causality…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-01-15 Saurabh Khanna , Vincent Y. F. Tan

Regularized nonnegative low-rank approximations, such as sparse Nonnegative Matrix Factorization or sparse Nonnegative Tucker Decomposition, form an important branch of dimensionality reduction models known for their enhanced…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-31 Jeremy E. Cohen , Valentin Leplat

In this paper we present a general convex optimization approach for solving high-dimensional multiple response tensor regression problems under low-dimensional structural assumptions. We consider using convex and weakly decomposable…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-04-17 Garvesh Raskutti , Ming Yuan , Han Chen