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相关论文: Multi-scale analysis of lead-lag relationships in …

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We propose a novel framework to investigate lead-lag relationships between two financial assets. Our framework bridges a gap between continuous-time modeling based on Brownian motion and the existing wavelet methods for lead-lag analysis…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-11-13 Takaki Hayashi , Yuta Koike

Lead/lag relationships are an important stylized fact at high frequency. Some assets follow the path of others with a small time lag. We provide indicators to measure this phenomenon using tick-by-tick data. Strongly asymmetric…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2012-01-19 Nicolas Huth , Frédéric Abergel

Recently the interest of researchers has shifted from the analysis of synchronous relationships of financial instruments to the analysis of more meaningful asynchronous relationships. Both of those analyses are concentrated only on…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2014-06-18 Paweł Fiedor

We propose a novel two-stage framework to detect lead-lag relationships in the Chinese A-share market. First, long-term coupling between stocks is measured via daily data using correlation, dynamic time warping, and rank-based metrics.…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2025-06-25 Jianyong Fang , Sitong Wu , Junfan Tong

According to the leading models in modern finance, the presence of intraday lead-lag relationships between financial assets is negligible in efficient markets. With the advance of technology, however, markets have become more sophisticated.…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2014-01-03 Chester Curme , Michele Tumminello , Rosario N. Mantegna , H. Eugene Stanley , Dror Y. Kenett

This paper introduces a new theoretical framework for analyzing lead-lag relationships between point processes, with a special focus on applications to high-frequency financial data. In particular, we are interested in lead-lag…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-01-06 Takaaki Shiotani , Takaki Hayashi , Yuta Koike

Lead-lag relationships among assets represent a useful tool for analyzing high frequency financial data. However, research on these relationships predominantly focuses on correlation analyses for the dynamics of stock prices, spots and…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-01-08 Lasko Basnarkov , Viktor Stojkoski , Zoran Utkovski , Ljupco Kocarev

In multivariate time series systems, it has been observed that certain groups of variables partially lead the evolution of the system, while other variables follow this evolution with a time delay; the result is a lead-lag structure amongst…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-01-21 Stefanos Bennett , Mihai Cucuringu , Gesine Reinert

We propose a novel approach that allows to calculate Hilbert transform based complex correlation for unevenly spaced data. This method is especially suitable for high frequency trading data, which are of a particular interest in finance.…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2018-03-14 Mateusz Wilinski , Yuichi Ikeda , Hideaki Aoyama

In time-series analysis, the term "lead-lag effect" is used to describe a delayed effect on a given time series caused by another time series. lead-lag effects are ubiquitous in practice and are specifically critical in formulating…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-02-04 Katsuya Ito , Kei Nakagawa

We propose a simple continuous time model for modeling the lead-lag effect between two financial assets. A two-dimensional process $(X_t,Y_t)$ reproduces a lead-lag effect if, for some time shift $\vartheta\in \mathbb{R}$, the process…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-03-21 M. Hoffmann , M. Rosenbaum , N. Yoshida

In multivariate time series systems, key insights can be obtained by discovering lead-lag relationships inherent in the data, which refer to the dependence between two time series shifted in time relative to one another, and which can be…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-09-20 Yichi Zhang , Mihai Cucuringu , Alexander Y. Shestopaloff , Stefan Zohren

In multivariate time series systems, lead-lag relationships reveal dependencies between time series when they are shifted in time relative to each other. Uncovering such relationships is valuable in downstream tasks, such as control,…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-09-19 Yichi Zhang , Mihai Cucuringu , Alexander Y. Shestopaloff , Stefan Zohren

The study of time series has motivated many researchers, particularly on the area of multivariate-analysis. The study of co-movements and dependency between random variables leads us to develop metrics to describe existing connection…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-08 Hugo Schnoering , Hugo Inzirillo

The lead-lag effect, where the price movement of one asset systematically precedes that of another, has been widely observed in financial markets and conveys valuable predictive signals for trading. However, traditional lead-lag detection…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-11-04 Wanyun Zhou , Saizhuo Wang , Mihai Cucuringu , Zihao Zhang , Xiang Li , Jian Guo , Chao Zhang , Xiaowen Chu

The lead-lag relationship plays a vital role in financial markets. It is the phenomenon where a certain price-series lags behind and partially replicates the movement of leading time-series. The present research proposes a new technique…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-05-12 Kartikay Gupta , Niladri Chatterjee

The existence of time-lagged cross-correlations between the returns of a pair of assets, which is known as the lead-lag relationship, is a well-known stylized fact in financial econometrics. Recently some continuous-time models have been…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2017-12-29 Takaki Hayashi , Yuta Koike

Financial time series exhibit two different type of non linear correlations: (i) volatility autocorrelations that have a very long range memory, on the order of years, and (ii) asymmetric return-volatility (or `leverage') correlations that…

统计力学 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Josep Perello , Jaume Masoliver , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

An extensive empirical literature documents a generally negative correlation, named the "leverage effect," between asset returns and changes of volatility. It is more challenging to establish such a return-volatility relationship for jumps…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-12-11 Markus Bibinger , Christopher Neely , Lars Winkelmann

Linear causal analysis is central to a wide range of important application spanning finance, the physical sciences, and engineering. Much of the existing literature in linear causal analysis operates in the time domain. Unfortunately, the…

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