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Human close-range proximity interactions are the key determinant for spreading processes like knowledge diffusion, norm adoption, and infectious disease transmission. These dynamical processes can be modeled with time-respecting paths on…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2026-05-28 Silvia Guerrini , Ciro Cattuto , Lorenzo Dall'Amico

Brain can recognize different objects as ones that it has experienced before. The recognition accuracy and its processing time depend on task properties such as viewing condition, level of noise and etc. Recognition accuracy can be well…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2018-11-27 Hamed Heidari Gorji , Sajjad Zabbah , Reza Ebrahimpour

Selection bias arises when the probability that an observation enters a dataset depends on variables related to the quantities of interest, leading to systematic distortions in estimation and uncertainty quantification. For example, in…

Implicit sampling is a weighted sampling method that is used in data assimilation, where one sequentially updates estimates of the state of a stochastic model based on a stream of noisy or incomplete data. Here we describe how to use…

数值分析 · 数学 2016-01-20 Matthias Morzfeld , Xuemin Tu , Jon Wilkening , Alexandre J. Chorin

We extend the recently introduced regularization/Bayesian System Identification procedures to the estimation of time-varying systems. Specifically, we consider an online setting, in which new data become available at given time steps. The…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2016-09-26 Giulia Prando , Diego Romeres , Alessandro Chiuso

The study of animal movement is challenging because it is a process modulated by many factors acting at different spatial and temporal scales. Several models have been proposed which differ primarily in the temporal conceptualization,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-07-25 Sofia Ruiz-Suarez , Vianey Leos-Barajas , Ignacio Alvarez-Castro , Juan M. Morales

The diffusion of molecules in complex intracellular environments can be strongly influenced by spatial heterogeneity and stochasticity. A key challenge when modelling such processes using stochastic random walk frameworks is that negative…

生物物理 · 物理学 2019-01-31 Elliot J. Carr , Matthew J. Simpson

Accurate comparisons between theoretical models and experimental data are critical for scientific progress. However, inferred physical model parameters can vary significantly with the chosen physics model, highlighting the importance of…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2025-10-27 Sunil Jaiswal , Chun Shen , Richard J. Furnstahl , Ulrich Heinz , Matthew T. Pratola

Bosonic modes are prevalent in all aspects of quantum information processing. However, existing tools for characterizing the quality, stability, and noise properties of bosonic modes are limited, especially in a driven setting. Here, we…

量子物理 · 物理学 2025-06-13 Christophe H. Valahu , Tomas Navickas , Michael J. Biercuk , Ting Rei Tan

Recent crash frequency studies incorporate spatiotemporal correlations, but these studies have two key limitations: i) none of these studies accounts for temporal variation in model parameters; and ii) Gibbs sampler suffers from convergence…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-08-11 Prasad Buddhavarapu , Prateek Bansal , Jorge A. Prozzi

Existing models to extract temporal relations between events lack a principled method to incorporate external knowledge. In this study, we introduce Bayesian-Trans, a Bayesian learning-based method that models the temporal relation…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-02-13 Xingwei Tan , Gabriele Pergola , Yulan He

The evolution of epidemiological parameters, such as instantaneous reproduction number Rt, is important for understanding the transmission dynamics of infectious diseases. Current estimates of time-varying epidemiological parameters often…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-10-26 Xian Yang , Shuo Wang , Yuting Xing , Ling Li , Richard Yi Da Xu , Karl J. Friston , Yike Guo

Many recently introduced enhanced sampling techniques are based on biasing coarse descriptors (collective variables) of a molecular system on the fly. Sometimes the calculation of such collective variables is expensive and becomes a…

计算物理 · 物理学 2015-09-01 Marco Jacopo Ferrarotti , Sandro Bottaro , Andrea Pérez-Villa , Giovanni Bussi

We propose a robust parameter estimation method for dynamical systems based on Statistical Learning techniques which aims to estimate a set of parameters that well fit the dynamics in order to obtain robust evidences about the qualitative…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-02-26 Diego Marcondes

Approximate Bayesian Computation is widely used in systems biology for inferring parameters in stochastic gene regulatory network models. Its performance hinges critically on the ability to summarize high-dimensional system responses such…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-04-13 Mattias Åkesson , Prashant Singh , Fredrik Wrede , Andreas Hellander

We present a new transport-based approach to efficiently perform sequential Bayesian inference of static model parameters. The strategy is based on the extraction of conditional distribution from the joint distribution of parameters and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-29 Paul-Baptiste Rubio , Youssef Marzouk , Matthew Parno

Accurate travel time estimation is essential for navigation and itinerary planning. While existing research employs probabilistic modeling to assess travel time uncertainty and account for correlations between multiple trips, modeling the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-28 Chen Xu , Qiang Wang , Lijun Sun

Mechanistic mathematical models of within-host viral dynamics are tools for understanding how a virus' biology and its interaction with the immune system shape the infectivity of a host. The biology of the process is encoded by the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-12-11 Dylan J. Morris , Lauren Kennedy , Andrew J. Black

Substantial improvement in accuracy of identified linear time-invariant single-input multi-output (SIMO) dynamical models is possible when the disturbances affecting the output measurements are spatially correlated. Using an orthogonal…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2015-01-14 Niklas Everitt , Giulio Bottegal , Cristian R. Rojas , Håkan Hjalmarsson

Understanding human mobility is of vital importance for urban planning, epidemiology, and many other fields that aim to draw policies from the activities of humans in space. Despite recent availability of large scale data sets related to…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-08-18 Oleguer Sagarra , Michael Szell , Paolo Santi , Albert Diaz-Guilera , Carlo Ratti