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The goal of online display advertising is to entice users to "convert" (i.e., take a pre-defined action such as making a purchase) after clicking on the ad. An important measure of the value of an ad is the probability of conversion. The…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-10-25 Abdollah Safari , Rachel MacKay Altman , Thomas M. Loughin

In a multi-channel marketing world, the purchase decision journey encounters many interactions (e.g., email, mobile notifications, display advertising, social media, and so on). These impressions have direct (main effects), as well as…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-06-01 Ritwik Sinha , David Arbour , Aahlad Manas Puli

The causal effect of showing an ad to a potential customer versus not, commonly referred to as "incrementality", is the fundamental question of advertising effectiveness. In digital advertising three major puzzle pieces are central to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-08-30 Randall Lewis , Jeffrey Wong

In digital advertising, Click-Through Rate (CTR) and Conversion Rate (CVR) are very important metrics for evaluating ad performance. As a result, ad event prediction systems are vital and widely used for sponsored search and display…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-07-04 Saeid Soheily Khah , Yiming Wu

Online display advertising is growing rapidly in recent years thanks to the automation of the ad buying process. Real-time bidding (RTB) allows the automated trading of ad impressions between advertisers and publishers through real-time…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-08-31 Yang Qiu , Nikolaos Tziortziotis , Martial Hue , Michalis Vazirgiannis

This paper presents models for predicted click-through rates in position auctions that take into account two possibilities that are not normally considered---that the identities of ads shown in other positions may affect the probability…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2014-09-17 Patrick Hummel , R. Preston McAfee

In this paper, we deal with the uncertainty of bidding for display advertising. Similar to the financial market trading, real-time bidding (RTB) based display advertising employs an auction mechanism to automate the impression level media…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2017-01-23 Haifeng Zhang , Weinan Zhang , Yifei Rong , Kan Ren , Wenxin Li , Jun Wang

Bidding strategies that help advertisers determine bidding prices are receiving increasing attention as more and more ad impressions are sold through real-time bidding systems. This paper first describes the problem and challenges of…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2022-12-06 Mengjuan Liu , Zhengning Hu , Zhi Lai , Daiwei Zheng , Xuyun Nie

Real-time bidding has transformed the digital advertising landscape, allowing companies to buy website advertising space in a matter of milliseconds in the time it takes a webpage to load. Joint research between Cardiff University and…

Real-time bidding (RTB) has become one of the largest online advertising markets in the world. Today the bid price per ad impression is typically decided by the expected value of how it can lead to a desired action event (e.g., registering…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2016-02-16 Jian Xu , Xuhui Shao , Jianjie Ma , Kuang-chih Lee , Hang Qi , Quan Lu

Auto-bidding is widely used in advertising systems, serving a diverse range of advertisers. Generative bidding is increasingly gaining traction due to its strong planning capabilities and generalizability. Unlike traditional reinforcement…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-26 Yunshan Peng , Wenzheng Shu , Jiahao Sun , Yanxiang Zeng , Jinan Pang , Wentao Bai , Yunke Bai , Xialong Liu , Peng Jiang

We address the problem of training conversion prediction models in advertising domains under privacy constraints, where direct links between ad clicks and conversions are unavailable. Motivated by privacy-preserving browser APIs and the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-09 Lorne Applebaum , Robert Busa-Fekete , August Y. Chen , Claudio Gentile , Tomer Koren , Aryan Mokhtari

Simultaneous ascending auctions present agents with the exposure problem: bidding to acquire a bundle risks the possibility of obtaining an undesired subset of the goods. Auction theory provides little guidance for dealing with this…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2012-07-09 Anna Osepayshvili , Michael P. Wellman , Daniel Reeves , Jeffrey K. MacKie-Mason

In online advertising, a set of potential advertisements can be ranked by a certain auction system where usually the top-1 advertisement would be selected and displayed at an advertising space. In this paper, we show a selection bias issue…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2022-06-09 Shinya Suzumura , Hitoshi Abe

This paper re-examines the Shapley value methods for attribution analysis in the area of online advertising. As a credit allocation solution in cooperative game theory, Shapley value method directly quantifies the contribution of online…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2018-04-17 Kaifeng Zhao , Seyed Hanif Mahboobi , Saeed R. Bagheri

In this work, we introduce the notion of Context-Based Prediction Models. A Context-Based Prediction Model determines the probability of a user's action (such as a click or a conversion) solely by relying on user and contextual features,…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2023-08-03 Jan Hartman , Assaf Klein , Davorin Kopič , Natalia Silberstein

Conventional bidding strategies for online display ad auction heavily relies on observed performance indicators such as clicks or conversions. A bidding strategy naively pursuing these easily observable metrics, however, fails to optimize…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-07-10 Daisuke Moriwaki , Yuta Hayakawa , Isshu Munemasa , Yuta Saito , Akira Matsui

In computational advertising, a challenging problem is how to recommend the bid for advertisers to achieve the best return on investment (ROI) given budget constraint. This paper presents a bid recommendation scenario that discovers the…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2022-12-29 Deguang Kong , Konstantin Shmakov , Jian Yang

Auctions are becoming an increasingly popular method for transacting business, especially over the Internet. This article presents a general approach to building autonomous bidding agents to bid in multiple simultaneous auctions for…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2011-06-28 J. A. Csirik , M. L. Littman , D. McAllester , R. E. Schapire , P. Stone

The effectiveness of advertising in e-commerce largely depends on the ability of merchants to bid on and win impressions for their targeted users. The bidding procedure is highly complex due to various factors such as market competition,…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2023-12-29 Artem Betlei , Mariia Vladimirova , Mehdi Sebbar , Nicolas Urien , Thibaud Rahier , Benjamin Heymann
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