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While the Quasi-Monte Carlo method of numerical integration achieves smaller integration error than standard Monte Carlo, its use in particle physics phenomenology has been hindered by the abscence of a reliable way to estimate that error.…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2009-11-11 R. H. Kleiss , A. Lazopoulos

Stochastic domains often involve risk-averse decision makers. While recent work has focused on how to model risk in Markov decision processes using risk measures, it has not addressed the problem of solving large risk-averse formulations.…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2012-10-19 Marek Petrik , Dharmashankar Subramanian

As the size of engineered systems grows, problems in reliability theory can become computationally challenging, often due to the combinatorial growth in the cut sets. In this paper we demonstrate how Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) - a…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-03-14 Louis J. M. Aslett , Tigran Nagapetyan , Sebastian J. Vollmer

We study approximations of evolving probability measures by an interacting particle system. The particle system dynamics is a combination of independent Markov chain moves and importance sampling/resampling steps. Under global regularity…

概率论 · 数学 2011-12-12 Andreas Eberle , Carlo Marinelli

Deep learning algorithms have been widely used to solve linear Kolmogorov partial differential equations~(PDEs) in high dimensions, where the loss function is defined as a mathematical expectation. We propose to use the randomized…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-06-25 Jichang Xiao , Fengjiang Fu , Xiaoqun Wang

Quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) methods are applied to multi-level Finite Element (FE) discretizations of elliptic partial differential equations (PDEs) with a random coefficient, to estimate expected values of linear functionals of the solution.…

数值分析 · 数学 2014-05-16 Frances Y. Kuo , Christoph Schwab , Ian H. Sloan

In this article we consider the approximation of expectations w.r.t. probability distributions associated to the solution of partial differential equations (PDEs); this scenario appears routinely in Bayesian inverse problems. In practice,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-02-07 Alexandros Beskos , Ajay Jasra , Kody Law , Raul Tempone , Yan Zhou

Local volatility models usually capture the surface of implied volatilities more accurately than other approaches, such as stochastic volatility models. We present the results of application of Monte Carlo (MC) and Quasi Monte Carlo (QMC)…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2021-06-17 Julien Hok , Sergei Kucherenko

Quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) methods are being adopted in statistical applications due to the increasingly challenging nature of numerical integrals that are now routinely encountered. For integrands with $d$-dimensions and derivatives of order…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-04-04 Chris. J. Oates , Mark Girolami

We consider the problem of estimating an expectation $ \mathbb{E}\left[ h(W)\right]$ by quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) methods, where $ h $ is an unbounded smooth function on $ \mathbb{R}^d $ and $ W$ is a standard normal distributed random…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-11-08 Du Ouyang , Xiaoqun Wang , Zhijian He

This paper addresses optimization problems constrained by partial differential equations with uncertain coefficients. In particular, the robust control problem and the average control problem are considered for a tracking type cost…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-11-08 Andreas Van Barel , Stefan Vandewalle

In a previous paper (J. Comp. Phys. 230 (2011), 3668--3694), the authors proposed a new practical method for computing expected values of functionals of solutions for certain classes of elliptic partial differential equations with random…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-04-03 Ivan G. Graham , Frances Y. Kuo , Dirk Nuyens , Rob Scheichl , Ian H. Sloan

We consider the problem of estimating expectations with respect to a target distribution with an unknown normalizing constant, and where even the unnormalized target needs to be approximated at finite resolution. This setting is ubiquitous…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-03-23 Kody J. H. Law , Neil Walton , Shangda Yang , Ajay Jasra

In statistical analysis, Monte Carlo (MC) stands as a classical numerical integration method. When encountering challenging sample problem, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a commonly employed method. However, the MCMC estimator is biased…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-11-05 Jiarui Du , Zhijian He

We propose a multilevel Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method for the Bayesian inference of random field parameters in PDEs using high-resolution data. Compared to existing multilevel MCMC methods, we additionally consider level-dependent…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-08-19 Pieter Vanmechelen , Geert Lombaert , Giovanni Samaey

Lundberg-type inequalities for ruin probabilities of non-homogeneous risk models are presented in this paper. By employing martingale method, the upper bounds of ruin probabilities are obtained for the general risk models under weak…

概率论 · 数学 2020-06-05 Qianqian Zhou , Alexander Sakhanenko , Junyi Guo

In this paper, we study Runge--Kutta methods for the computation of ruin probabilities in the classical risk model through the associated Volterra integro-differential equation. The proposed framework combines fourth-order one-step and…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-05-26 George Kanakoudis , Lazaros Kanellopoulos

For basic machine learning problems, expected error is used to evaluate model performance. Since the distribution of data is usually unknown, we can make simple hypothesis that the data are sampled independently and identically distributed…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-01 Xuli Shen , Qing Xu , Xiangyang Xue

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) includes the characterization, integration, and propagation of uncertainties that result from stochastic variations and a lack of knowledge or data in the natural world. Monte Carlo (MC) method is a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-11-03 Jiaxin Zhang

This article reviews the application of advanced Monte Carlo techniques in the context of Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC). MLMC is a strategy employed to compute expectations which can be biased in some sense, for instance, by using the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-04-25 Ajay Jasra , Kody Law , Carina Suciu