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When drawing causal inference from observational data, there is always concern about unmeasured confounding. One way to tackle this is to conduct a sensitivity analysis. One widely-used sensitivity analysis framework hypothesizes the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-22 Bo Zhang , Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen

Causal Machine Learning has emerged as a powerful tool for flexibly estimating causal effects from observational data in both industry and academia. However, causal inference from observational data relies on untestable assumptions about…

The development of global sensitivity analysis of numerical model outputs has recently raised new issues on 1-dimensional Poincar\'e inequalities. Typically two kind of sensitivity indices are linked by a Poincar\'e type inequality, which…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-12-13 Olivier Roustant , Franck Barthe , Bertrand Iooss

New global sensitivity measures based on quantiles of the output are introduced. Such measures can be used for global sensitivity analysis of problems in which quantiles are explicitly the functions of interest and for identification of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-08-09 Sergei Kucherenko , Shufang Song

In this paper, sensitivity analysis of the efficient sets in parametric convex vector optimization is considered. Namely, the perturbation, weak perturbation, and proper perturbation maps are defined as set-valued maps. We establish the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-06-13 Duong Thi Viet An , Le Thanh Tung

Inspired by the well-established variance-based methods for global sensitivity analysis, we develop a local total sensitivity index that decomposes the global total sensitivity conditions by independent variables' values. We employ this…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-21 Brian W. Bush , Joanne Wendelberger , Rebecca Hanes

The quantum variables that can be accessed directly by experiments are described by observables. Therefore, physical parameters can only be evaluated indirectly, via estimations based on experimental measurement results. I show that the…

量子物理 · 物理学 2012-12-12 B. M. Escher

The sensitivity properties of intermittent control are analysed and the conditions for a limit cycle derived theoretically and verified by simulation.

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2017-05-24 Peter J. Gawthrop

This paper presents a general method for producing randomly perturbed density operators subject to different sets of constraints. The perturbed density operators are a specified "distance" away from the state described by the original…

Given a statistical model, we propose a novel estimation method that yields randomised estimators for the unknown distribution of an observed random variable. We establish non-asymptotic bounds for the performance of these estimators and…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-05-06 Yannick Baraud

The class-imbalance issue is intrinsic to many real-world machine learning tasks, particularly to the rare-event classification problems. Although the impact and treatment of imbalanced data is widely known, the magnitude of a metric's…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-22 Azim Ahmadzadeh , Rafal A. Angryk

For dynamical systems that can be modelled as asymptotically stable linear systems forced by Gaussian noise, this paper develops methods to infer or estimate their modes from observations in real time. The modes can be real or complex. For…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-10-30 Robert S. MacKay

Sensitivity analyses reveal the influence of various modeling choices on the outcomes of statistical analyses. While theoretically appealing, they are overwhelmingly inefficient for complex Bayesian models. In this work, we propose…

High fidelity models used in many science and engineering applications couple multiple physical states and parameters. Inverse problems arise when a model parameter cannot be determined directly, but rather is estimated using (typically…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-12-30 Isaac Sunseri , Joseph Hart , Bart van Bloemen Waanders , Alen Alexanderian

Sobol' sensitivity indices allow to quantify the respective effects of random input variables and their combinations on the variance of mathematical model output. We focus on the problem of Sobol' indices estimation via a metamodeling…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-01-07 Ivan I. Panin

We demonstrate that centered likelihood ratio estimators for the sensitivity indices of complex stochastic dynamics are highly efficient with low, constant in time variance and consequently they are suitable for sensitivity analysis in…

数值分析 · 数学 2016-03-23 Georgios Arampatzis , Markos A. Katsoulakis , Luc Rey-Bellet

The class of $\alpha$-stable distributions is widely used in various applications, especially for modelling heavy-tailed data. Although the $\alpha$-stable distributions have been used in practice for many years, new methods for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-29 Kewin Pączek , Damian Jelito , Marcin Pitera , Agnieszka Wyłomańska

In longitudinal studies, it is not uncommon to make multiple attempts to collect a measurement after baseline. Recording whether these attempts are successful provides useful information for the purposes of assessing missing data…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-10 Michael J. Daniels , Minji Lee , Wei Feng

We perform the sensitivity analysis of a level-dependent QBD with a particular focus on applications in modelling healthcare systems.

概率论 · 数学 2023-02-07 Anna Aksamit , Małgorzata M. O'Reilly , Zbigniew Palmowski

The insensitive parameter in support vector regression determines the set of support vectors that greatly impacts the prediction. A data-driven approach is proposed to determine an approximate value for this insensitive parameter by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-03-10 Jinran Wu , You-Gan Wang