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This paper proposes novel noise-free Bayesian optimization strategies that rely on a random exploration step to enhance the accuracy of Gaussian process surrogate models. The new algorithms retain the ease of implementation of the classical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-18 Hwanwoo Kim , Daniel Sanz-Alonso

We present two approximate Bayesian inference methods for parameter estimation in partial differential equation (PDE) models with space-dependent and state-dependent parameters. We demonstrate that these methods provide accurate and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-09-04 David A. Barajas-Solano , Alexandre M. Tartakovsky

Regression models for dichotomous data are ubiquitous in statistics. Besides being useful for inference on binary responses, these methods serve also as building blocks in more complex formulations, such as density regression, nonparametric…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-11-19 Daniele Durante

We study the rate of Bayesian consistency for hierarchical priors consisting of prior weights on a model index set and a prior on a density model for each choice of model index. Ghosal, Lember and Van der Vaart [2] have obtained general…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-09-23 Yang Xing

We discuss efficient Bayesian estimation of dynamic covariance matrices in multivariate time series through a factor stochastic volatility model. In particular, we propose two interweaving strategies (Yu and Meng, Journal of Computational…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-08-07 Gregor Kastner , Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter , Hedibert Freitas Lopes

We consider nonparametric Bayesian inference in a multidimensional diffusion model with reflecting boundary conditions based on discrete high-frequency observations. We prove a general posterior contraction rate theorem in $L^2$-loss, which…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-08-12 Marc Hoffmann , Kolyan Ray

With extreme weather events becoming more common, the risk posed by surface water flooding is ever increasing. In this work we propose a model, and associated Bayesian inference scheme, for generating probabilistic (high-resolution…

Using an asymmetric Laplace distribution, which provides a mechanism for Bayesian inference of quantile regression models, we develop a fully Bayesian approach to fitting single-index models in conditional quantile regression. In this work,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-03-19 Yuao Hua , Robert B. Gramacy , Heng Lian

Divide-and-conquer Bayesian methods consist of three steps: dividing the data into smaller computationally manageable subsets, running a sampling algorithm in parallel on all the subsets, and combining parameter draws from all the subsets.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-06-01 Chunlei Wang , Sanvesh Srivastava

This paper seeks an efficient algorithm for stochastic precoding to maximize the long-term average weighted sum rates throughout a multiple-input multiple-output (MIMO) network. Unlike many existing works that assume a particular…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2026-03-10 Wenyu Wang , Kaiming Shen

This paper proposes a flexible Bayesian approach to multiple imputation using conditional Gaussian mixtures. We introduce novel shrinkage priors for covariate-dependent mixing proportions in the mixture models to automatically select the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-17 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Jae Kwang Kim , Kosuke Morikawa

To address the common problem of high dimensionality in tensor regressions, we introduce a generalized tensor random projection method that embeds high-dimensional tensor-valued covariates into low-dimensional subspaces with minimal loss of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-03 Roberto Casarin , Radu Craiu , Qing Wang

Statistical learning additions to physically derived mathematical models are gaining traction in the literature. A recent approach has been to augment the underlying physics of the governing equations with data driven Bayesian statistical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-05-25 Connor Duffin , Edward Cripps , Thomas Stemler , Mark Girolami

Inference for doubly intractable distributions is challenging because the intractable normalizing functions of these models include parameters of interest. Previous auxiliary variable MCMC algorithms are infeasible for multi-dimensional…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-08-07 Jaewoo Park

In recent years dynamical modelling has been provided with a range of breakthrough methods to perform exact Bayesian inference. However it is often computationally unfeasible to apply exact statistical methodologies in the context of large…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-12-24 Umberto Picchini , Julie Lyng Forman

Multivariate spatial fields are of interest in many applications, including climate model emulation. Not only can the marginal spatial fields be subject to nonstationarity, but the dependence structure among the marginal fields and between…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-21 Paul F. V. Wiemann , Matthias Katzfuss

We consider the problem of estimating cross-spectral quantities in the low-frequency regime, where long observation times limit averaging over large ensembles of periodograms, thereby preventing the use of approximate Gaussian statistics.…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2026-04-16 Lorenzo Sala , Stefano Vitale

Bayesian methods constitute a popular approach for estimating the conditional independence structure in Gaussian graphical models, since they can quantify the uncertainty through the posterior distribution. Inference in this framework is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-14 Marcus Gehrmann , Håkon Tjelmeland

We consider the numerical approximation of a generalized fractional Oldroyd-B fluid problem involving two Riemann-Liouville fractional derivatives in time. We establish regularity results for the exact solution which play an important role…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-11-06 Mariam Al-Maskari , Samir Karaa

Solving inverse problems in cardiovascular modeling is particularly challenging due to the high computational cost of running high-fidelity simulations. In this work, we focus on Bayesian parameter estimation and explore different methods…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-22 Chloe H. Choi , Andrea Zanoni , Daniele E. Schiavazzi , Alison L. Marsden