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Ten years ago we presented a modified version of Okun law for the biggest developed economies and reported its excellent predictive power. In this study, we revisit the original models using the estimates of real GDP per capita and…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2021-04-13 Ivan Kitov

Recent years have seen a huge development in spatial modelling and prediction methodology, driven by the increased availability of remote-sensing data and the reduced cost of distributed-processing technology. It is well known that…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-02-18 Andrew Zammit-Mangion , Jonathan Rougier

This paper develops a new data-driven approach to characterizing latent worker skill and job task heterogeneity by applying an empirical tool from network theory to large-scale Brazilian administrative data on worker--job matching. We…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2023-11-03 Jamie Fogel , Bernardo Modenesi

Deploying an algorithmically informed policy is a significant intervention in society. Prominent methods for algorithmic fairness focus on the distribution of predictions at the time of training, rather than the distribution of social goods…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2024-06-18 Sebastian Zezulka , Konstantin Genin

Spatial confounding is how is called the confounding between fixed and spatial random effects. It has been widely studied and it gained attention in the past years in the spatial statistics literature, as it may generate unexpected results…

We discuss a graph-based approach for testing spatial point patterns. This approach falls under the category of data-random graphs, which have been introduced and used for statistical pattern recognition in recent years. Our goal is to test…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2008-02-06 E. Ceyhan , C. E. Priebe , D. J. Marchette

Satellite-based slum segmentation holds significant promise in generating global estimates of urban poverty. However, the morphological heterogeneity of informal settlements presents a major challenge, hindering the ability of models…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-11-14 Sumin Lee , Sungwon Park , Jeasurk Yang , Jihee Kim , Meeyoung Cha

We have modeled the employment/population ratio in the largest developed countries. Our results show that the evolution of the employment rate since 1970 can be predicted with a high accuracy by a linear dependence on the logarithm of real…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2011-09-21 Ivan Kitov , Oleg Kitov

We have developed two scan statistics for detecting clusters of functional data indexed in space. The first method is based on an adaptation of a functional analysis of variance and the second one is based on a distribution-free spatial…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-10 Camille Frévent , Mohamed-Salem Ahmed , Matthieu Marbac , Michaël Genin

Researchers have been long preoccupied with the measuring and monitoring of economic and social deprivation at small scales, neighbourhood, level in order to provide official government agencies and policy makers with more precise data…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-02-26 Eduardo Viegas , Tim S. Evans

Labor productivity in Turkey, Spain, Belgium, Austria, Switzerland, and New Zealand has been analyzed and modeled. These counties extend the previously analyzed set of the US, UK, Japan, France, Italy, and Canada. Modelling is based on the…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2010-01-28 Ivan O. Kitov

Poverty maps derived from satellite imagery are increasingly used to inform high-stakes policy decisions, such as the allocation of humanitarian aid and the distribution of government resources. Such poverty maps are typically constructed…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-04 Emily Aiken , Esther Rolf , Joshua Blumenstock

Nursing homes are critical facilities for caring frail older adults with round-the-clock formal care and personal assistance. To ensure quality care for nursing home residents, adequate staffing level is of great importance. Current nursing…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-02-09 Xuxue Sun , Nan Kong , Nazmus Sakib , Chao Meng , Kathryn Hyer , Hongdao Meng , Chris Masterson , Mingyang Li

Socioeconomic segregation is considered one of the main factors behind the emergence of large-scale inequalities in urban areas, and its characterisation is an active area of research in urban studies. There are currently many available…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-10-21 Sandro Sousa , Vincenzo Nicosia

Motivated by problems from neuroimaging in which existing approaches make use of "mass univariate" analysis which neglects spatial structure entirely, but the full joint modelling of all quantities of interest is computationally infeasible,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-04-19 Denishrouf Thesingarajah , Adam M. Johansen

This study downscales the population and gross domestic product (GDP) scenarios given under Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) into 0.5-degree grids. Our downscale approach has the following features: (i) it explicitly considers spatial…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-04-14 Daisuke Murakami , Yoshiki Yamagata

Policy targets are being set increasingly for social and economic variables in the UK. This approach requires that reasonably successful ex ante forecasts can be made. We propose a general methodology for assessing the extent to which this…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Paul Ormerod , Laurence Smith

The spatial lag model (SLM) has been widely studied in the literature for spatialised data modeling in various disciplines such as geography, economics, demography, regional sciences, etc. This is an extension of the classical linear model…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-08-08 Alassane Aw , Emmanuel Nicolas Cabral

International migration is now a significant driver of population change across Europe but the methods available to estimate its true impact upon sub-national areas remain inconsistent, constrained by inadequate systems of measurement and…

应用统计 · 统计学 2009-08-24 Peter Boden , Phil Rees

In many metropolitan areas efforts are made to count the homeless to ensure proper provision of social services. Some areas are very large, which makes spatial sampling a viable alternative to an enumeration of the entire terrain. Counts…

应用统计 · 统计学 2010-11-15 Brian Kriegler , Richard Berk