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For the basic case of $L_2$ optimal transport between two probability measures on a Euclidean space, the regularity of the coupling measure and the transport map in the tail regions of these measures is studied. For this purpose, Robert…

概率论 · 数学 2019-05-06 Cees de Valk , Johan Segers

In many areas of interest, modern risk assessment requires estimation of the extremal behaviour of sums of random variables. We derive the first order upper-tail behaviour of the weighted sum of bivariate random variables under weak…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-08-17 Jordan Richards , Jonathan A. Tawn

We obtain asymptotic approximations for the probability density function of the product of two correlated normal random variables with non-zero means and arbitrary variances. As a consequence, we deduce asymptotic approximations for the…

概率论 · 数学 2024-10-22 Robert E. Gaunt , Zixin Ye

The upper tail problem for the largest eigenvalue of the Erd\H{o}s--R\'enyi random graph $\mathcal{G}_{n,p}$ is to estimate the probability that the largest eigenvalue of the adjacency matrix of $\mathcal{G}_{n,p}$ exceeds its typical value…

概率论 · 数学 2020-12-01 Bhaswar B. Bhattacharya , Shirshendu Ganguly

Let (X,Y) be a bivariate elliptical random vector with associated random radius in the Gumbel max-domain of attraction. In this paper we obtain a second order asymptotic expansion of the joint survival probability P(X > x, Y> y) for x,y…

概率论 · 数学 2008-05-15 Enkelejd Hashorva

We provide bounds on the tail probabilities for simple procedures that generate random samples _without replacement_, when the probabilities of being selected need not be equal.

概率论 · 数学 2024-11-07 Dean P. Foster , Sergiu Hart

There is given a method for estimation of a probability distribution tail in terms of characteristic function. Key words: characteristic function; tail of a distribution.

概率论 · 数学 2016-07-12 Lev B. Klebanov , Andrea Karlova

Let $M_n$ be the maximum of $n$ zero-mean gaussian variables $X_1,..,X_n$ with covariance matrix of minimum eigenvalue $\lambda$ and maximum eigenvalue $\Lambda$. Then, for $n \ge 70$, $$\Pr\{M_n \ge \lambda \left (2 \log n - 2.5 - \log(2…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-12-05 J. A. Hartigan

We consider solutions to so-called stochastic fixed point equation $R \stackrel{d}{=} \Psi(R)$, where $\Psi $ is a random Lipschitz function and $R$ is a random variable independent of $\Psi$. Under the assumption that $\Psi$ can be…

概率论 · 数学 2017-06-14 Ewa Damek , Piotr Dyszewski

Using an intrinsic approach, we study some properties of random fields which appear as tail fields of regularly varying stationary random fields. The index set is allowed to be a general locally compact Hausdorff Abelian group $\mathbb{G}$.…

概率论 · 数学 2023-01-11 Günter Last

In this paper a result of Latala about the tail behavior of Gaussian polynomials will be discussed. Latala proved an interesting result about this problem in paper [2]. But his proof applied an incorrect statement at a crucial point. Hence…

概率论 · 数学 2009-12-14 Peter Major

Empirical distributions have their in-sample maxima as natural censoring. We look at the "hidden tail", that is, the part of the distribution in excess of the maximum for a sample size of $n$. Using extreme value theory, we examine the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-04-14 Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Let $S$ and $X$ be independent random variables, assuming values in the set of non-negative integers, and suppose further that both $\mathbb{E}(S)$ and $\mathbb{E}(X)$ are integers satisfying $\mathbb{E}(S)\ge \mathbb{E}(X)$. We establish a…

概率论 · 数学 2021-03-31 Robbert Fokkink , Symeon Papavassiliou , Christos Pelekis

We consider Gaussian signals, i.e. random functions $u(t)$ ($t/L \in [0,1]$) with independent Gaussian Fourier modes of variance $\sim 1/q^{\alpha}$, and compute their statistical properties in small windows $[x, x+\delta]$. We determine…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2010-09-16 Alberto Rosso , Raoul Santachiara , Werner Krauth

In 2017-2020 Jordanova and co-authors investigate probabilities for p-outside values and determine them in many particular cases. They show that these probabilities are closely related to the concept for heavy tails. Tukey's boxplots are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-22 Pavlina K. Jordanova

George and Wilson [Acta. Cryst. D 50, 361 (1994)] looked at the distribution of values of the second virial coefficient of globular proteins, under the conditions at which they crystallise. They found the values to lie within a fairly…

软凝聚态物质 · 物理学 2009-11-07 Richard P. Sear

We consider a type of random processes which satisfies the conditional increment condition and obtain an estimate for the tail probability and a Doob-type inequality of the maximum of the process. The main result is that, for processes…

概率论 · 数学 2016-06-21 Xuan Liu

We study the small ball probability of an order-$\ell$ simple random tensor $X=X^{(1)}\otimes\cdots\otimes X^{(\ell)}$ where $X^{(i)}, 1\leq i\leq\ell$ are independent random vectors in $\mathbb{R}^n$ that are log-concave or have…

概率论 · 数学 2024-04-01 Xuehan Hu , Grigoris Paouris

It is known that large deviations of sums of subexponential random variables are most likely realised by deviations of a single random variable. In this article we give a detailed picture of how subexponential random variables are…

概率论 · 数学 2013-06-25 Inés Armendáriz , Michail Loulakis

Using a family of modified Weibull distributions, encompassing both sub-exponentials and super-exponentials, to parameterize the marginal distributions of asset returns and their multivariate generalizations with Gaussian copulas, we offer…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Y. Malevergne , D. Sornette