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We prove new lower bounds for the upper tail probabilities of suprema of Gaussian processes. Unlike many existing bounds, our results are not asymptotic, but supply strong information when one is only a little into the upper tail. We…

概率论 · 数学 2013-02-25 Adam J. Harper

We consider the tail behavior of random variables $R$ which are solutions of the distributional equation $R\stackrel{d}{=}Q+MR$, where $(Q,M)$ is independent of $R$ and $|M|\le 1$. Goldie and Gr\"{u}bel showed that the tails of $R$ are no…

概率论 · 数学 2010-02-08 Paweł Hitczenko , Jacek Wesołowski

In this article we study the tail probability of the mass of critical Gaussian multiplicative chaos (GMC) associated to a general class of log-correlated Gaussian fields in any dimension, including the Gaussian free field (GFF) in dimension…

概率论 · 数学 2019-12-06 Mo Dick Wong

We study the hole probability of Gaussian entire functions. More specifically, we work with entire functions in Taylor series form with i.i.d complex Gaussian random variables and arbitrary non-random coefficients. A hole is the event where…

复变函数 · 数学 2011-06-06 Alon Nishry

Our work aims to study the tail behaviour of weighted sums of the form $\sum_{i=1}^{\infty} X_{i} \prod_{j=1}^{i}Y_{j}$, where $(X_{i}, Y_{i})$ are independent and identically distributed, with common joint distribution bivariate Sarmanov.…

概率论 · 数学 2017-09-05 Krishanu Maulik , Moumanti Podder

Let $\Lambda$ be the limiting smallest eigenvalue in the general (\beta, a)-Laguerre ensemble of random matrix theory. Here \beta>0, a >-1; for \beta=1,2,4 and integer a, this object governs the singular values of certain rank n Gaussian…

概率论 · 数学 2011-11-21 Jose A. Ramirez , Brian Rider , Ofer Zeitouni

Random deflated risk models have been considered in recent literatures. In this paper, we investigate second-order tail behavior of the deflated risk X=RS under the assumptions of second-order regular variation on the survival functions of…

概率论 · 数学 2013-05-14 E. Hashorva , C. Ling , Z. Peng

We provide a new extension of Breiman's Theorem on computing tail probabilities of a product of random variables to a multivariate setting. In particular, we give a complete characterization of regular variation on cones in $[0,\infty)^d$…

概率论 · 数学 2020-06-09 Bikramjit Das , Vicky Fasen-Hartmann , Claudia Klüppelberg

Let $\{X_t, t \geq 1\}$ be a sequence of identically distributed and pairwise asymptotically independent random variables with regularly varying tails and $\{ \Theta_t, t\geq1 \}$ be a sequence of positive random variables independent of…

概率论 · 数学 2017-09-05 Rajat Subhra Hazra , Krishanu Maulik

We consider the Gumbel or extreme value statistics describing the distribution function p_G(x_max) of the maximum values of a random field x within patches of fixed size. We present, for smooth Gaussian random fields in two and three…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2015-05-27 S. Colombi , O. Davis , J. Devriendt , S. Prunet , J. Silk

In this paper, we derive tail approximations of integrals of exponential functions of Gaussian random fields with varying mean functions and approximations of the associated point processes. This study is motivated naturally by multiple…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-12-05 Jingchen Liu , Gongjun Xu

Let $\xi$ be a real random variable with mean zero and variance one and $A={a_1,...,a_n}$ be a multi-set in $\R^d$. The random sum $$S_A := a_1 \xi_1 + ... + a_n \xi_n $$ where $\xi_i$ are iid copies of $\xi$ is of fundamental importance in…

组合数学 · 数学 2013-01-03 Hoi H. Nguyen , Van H. Vu

The class of subweibull distributions has recently been shown to generalize the important properties of subexponential and subgaussian random variables. We describe alternative characterizations of subweibull distributions and detail the…

概率论 · 数学 2025-11-12 F. William Townes

Gaussian random fields on Euclidean spaces whose variances reach their maximum values at unique points are considered. Exact asymptotic behaviors of probabilities of large absolute maximum of theirs trajectories have been evaluated using…

概率论 · 数学 2019-04-12 Sergey G. Kobelkov , Vladimir I. Piterbarg

Poisson approximation using Stein's method has been extensively studied in the literature. The main focus has been on bounding the total variation distance. This paper is a first attempt on moderate deviations in Poisson approximation for…

概率论 · 数学 2013-06-21 Louis H. Y. Chen , Xiao Fang , Qi-Man Shao

We obtain new upper tail probabilities of $m$-times integrated Brownian motions under the uniform norm and the $L^p$ norm. For the uniform norm, Talagrand's approach is used, while for the $L^p$ norm, Zolotare's approach together with…

概率论 · 数学 2015-06-23 Fuchang Gao , Xiangfeng Yang

We suggest approximating the distribution of the sum of independent and identically distributed random variables with a Pareto-like tail by combining extreme value approximations for the largest summands with a normal approximation for the…

概率论 · 数学 2018-02-05 Ulrich K. Mueller

We estimate the probability that the discrete Gaussian free field on a planar domain with Dirichlet boundary conditions stays positive in the bulk. Improving upon the result by Bolthausen, Deuschel and Giacomin from 2001, we derive the…

概率论 · 数学 2026-01-21 Maximilian Fels , Oren Louidor , Tianqi Wu

Using a non-perturbative method developed in a previous article (paper II) we investigate the tails of the probability distribution $P(\rho_R)$ of the overdensity within spherical cells. We show that our results for the low-density tail of…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2009-11-06 P. Valageas

Constant-specified and exponential concentration inequalities play an essential role in the finite-sample theory of machine learning and high-dimensional statistics area. We obtain sharper and constants-specified concentration inequalities…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-07-04 Huiming Zhang , Haoyu Wei