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In this paper, we focus on the influence of heterogeneity and stochasticity of the population on the dynamical structure of a basic susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) model. First we prove that, upon a suitable mathematical…

动力系统 · 数学 2017-02-28 Andreas Widder , Christian Kuehn

We study the impact of contact heterogeneity on epidemic dynamics. A system characterized by multiple susceptible populations is considered. The description of the spread of an infectious disease is obtained through the study of a system of…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-11-11 Andrea Medaglia , Mattia Zanella

Epidemic disease spreading is conventionally often modelled and analyzed by means of rate and diffusion equations, following the paradigms of well-controlled chemical reactions and diffusive dynamics in a test tube. Yet, serious worries…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2023-01-03 Klaus Kroy

We use a stochastic metapopulation model to study the combined effects of seasonality and spatial heterogeneity on disease persistence. We find a pronounced effect of enhanced persistence associated with strong heterogeneity, intermediate…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2015-02-23 Ganna Rozhnova , Ana Nunes , Alan J. McKane

We study stochastic particle systems made up of heterogeneous units. We introduce a general framework suitable to analytically study this kind of systems and apply it to two particular models of interest in economy and epidemiology. We show…

软凝聚态物质 · 物理学 2013-02-06 Luis F. Lafuerza , Raul Toral

Recent empirical observations suggest a heterogeneous nature of human activities. The heavy-tailed inter-event time distribution at population level is well accepted, while whether the individual acts in a heterogeneous way is still under…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2015-05-28 Zimo Yang , Ai-Xiang Cui , Tao Zhou

Most spreading processes require spatial proximity between agents. The stationary state of spreading dynamics in a population of mobile agents thus depends on the interplay between the time and length scales involved in the epidemic process…

统计力学 · 物理学 2024-03-05 Jorge P. Rodríguez , Matteo Paoluzzi , Demian Levis , Michele Starnini

Fluctuations and noise may alter the behavior of dynamical systems considerably. For example, oscillations may be sustained by demographic fluctuations in biological systems where a stable fixed point is found in the absence of noise. We…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2009-11-13 Richard P. Boland , Tobias Galla , Alan J. McKane

In this work, we aim to understand the influence of the heterogeneity of infection rates on the Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) epidemic spreading. Employing the classic SIS model as the benchmark, we study the influence of the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-04-06 Bo Qu , Huijuan Wang

Empirical studies suggest that contact patterns follow heterogeneous inter-event times, meaning that intervals of high activity are followed by periods of inactivity. Combined with birth and death of individuals, these temporal constraints…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2013-03-25 Luis Enrique Correa Rocha , Vincent D. Blondel

We investigate the effects of cooperativity between contagion processes that spread and persist in a host population. We propose and analyze a dynamical model in which individuals that are affected by one transmissible agent $A$ exhibit a…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2017-11-22 Li Chen , Fakhteh Ghanbarnejad , Dirk Brockmann

A class of stochastic vector-borne infectious disease models is derived and studied. The class type is determined by a general nonlinear incidence rate of the disease. The disease spreads in a highly random environment with variability from…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-05-05 Divine Wanduku

Epidemic spreading often occurs in spatially heterogeneous environments, yet how quenched heterogeneity reshapes its onset and critical dynamics remains poorly understood. The diffusive epidemic process, a minimal reaction-diffusion model…

统计力学 · 物理学 2026-03-24 Valentin Anfray , Hong-Yan Shih

The fundamental models of epidemiology describe the progression of an infectious disease through a population using compartmentalized differential equations, but do not incorporate population-level heterogeneity in infection susceptibility.…

While noise is generally associated with uncertainties and often has a negative connotation in engineering, living organisms have evolved to adapt to (and even exploit) such uncertainty to ensure the survival of a species or implement…

分子网络 · 定量生物学 2022-09-29 Corentin Briat , Mustafa Khammash

Individual contributions to the spread of an epidemic vary widely due to an individual's location in a social network and their intrinsic ability to spread or contract diseases. While the effect of heterogeneous population structure and…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2026-05-14 Abhay Gupta , Nicholas W. Landry

We study a stochastic epidemic model consisting of elements (organisms in a community or cells in tissue) with fixed positions, in which damage or disease is transmitted by diffusing agents ("signals") emitted by infected individuals. The…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2015-06-05 Fernando P. Faria , Ronald Dickman

The effect of stochasticity, in the form of Gaussian white noise, in a predator-prey model with two distinct time-scales is presented. A supercritical singular Hopf bifurcation yields a Type II excitability in the deterministic model. We…

动力系统 · 数学 2017-07-20 Susmita Sadhu

Contacts between individuals serve as pathways where infections may propagate. These contact patterns can be represented by network structures. Static structures have been the common modeling paradigm but recent results suggest that…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2012-04-25 Luis Enrique Correa Rocha , Adeline Decuyper , Vincent D Blondel

Contagious processes, such as spread of infectious diseases, social behaviors, or computer viruses, affect biological, social, and technological systems. Epidemic models for large populations and finite populations on networks have been…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-04-14 Renato Pagliara , Naomi E. Leonard
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