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The complex nature of organizational culture challenges our ability to infers its underlying dynamics from observational studies. Recent computational studies have adopted a distinct different view, where plausible mechanisms are proposed…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2018-02-07 Christos Ellinas , Neil Allan , Anders Johansson

The issue of confidence factors in Knowledge Based Systems has become increasingly important and Dempster-Shafer (DS) theory has become increasingly popular as a basis for these factors. This paper discusses the need for an empirical…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-04-15 John F. Lemmer

Inferring the effect of interventions within complex systems is a fundamental problem of statistics. A widely studied approach employs structural causal models that postulate noisy functional relations among a set of interacting variables.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-14 David Strieder , Mathias Drton

(shortened version) Religions and languages are social variables, like age, sex, wealth or political opinions, to be studied like any other organizational parameter. In fact, religiosity is one of the most important sociological aspects of…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2012-09-25 M. Ausloos

Causal belief is a cognitive practice that humans apply everyday to reason about cause and effect relations between factors, phenomena, or events. Like optical illusions, humans are prone to drawing causal relations between events that are…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2024-01-17 Shahreen Salim , Md Naimul Hoque , Klaus Mueller

A conceptual foundation for approximation of belief functions is proposed and investigated. It is based on the requirements of consistency and closeness. An optimal approximation is studied. Unfortunately, the computation of the optimal…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-01-30 David Harmanec

This paper formalizes religious epistemology through the mathematics of Variational Autoencoders. We model religious traditions as distinct generative mappings from a shared, low-dimensional latent space to the high-dimensional space of…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2026-02-18 Arthur Juliani

A common assumption in belief revision is that the reliability of the information sources is either given, derived from temporal information, or the same for all. This article does not describe a new semantics for integration but the…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-04-09 Paolo Liberatore

Merging beliefs requires the plausibility of the sources of the information to be merged. They are typically assumed equally reliable in lack of hints indicating otherwise; yet, a recent line of research spun from the idea of deriving this…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-03-23 Paolo Liberatore

A representative researcher has repeated opportunities for empirical research. To process findings, she must impose an "identifying assumption." She conducts research when the assumption is sufficiently plausible (taking into account both…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2025-01-17 Andrew Ellis , Ran Spiegler

Religious adherence can be considered as a degree of freedom, in a statistical physics sense, for a human agent belonging to a population. The distribution, performance and life time of religions can thus be studied having in mind…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2008-01-08 M. Ausloos , F. Petroni

Exploratory factor analysis is often used in the social sciences to estimate potential measurement models. To do this, several important issues need to be addressed: (1) determining the number of factors, (2) learning constraints in the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-28 Dale S. Kim , Audrey Lu , Qing Zhou

Probabilistic graphical models are a powerful concept for modeling high-dimensional distributions. Besides modeling distributions, probabilistic graphical models also provide an elegant framework for performing statistical inference;…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-09-13 Christian Knoll

Causal probing aims to analyze foundation models by examining how intervening on their representation of various latent properties impacts their outputs. Recent works have cast doubt on the theoretical basis of several leading causal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-23 Marc Canby , Adam Davies , Chirag Rastogi , Julia Hockenmaier

In the past two decades, psychological science has experienced an unprecedented replicability crisis which uncovered several issues. Among others, statistical inference is too often viewed as an isolated procedure limited to the analysis of…

Note: This paper includes examples of potentially offensive content related to religious bias, presented solely for academic purposes. The widespread adoption of language models highlights the need for critical examinations of their…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-11-06 Ajwad Abrar , Nafisa Tabassum Oeshy , Mohsinul Kabir , Sophia Ananiadou

It is shown, with two sets of indicators that separately load on two distinct factors, independent of one another conditional on the past, that if it is the case that at least one of the factors causally affects the other, then, in many…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-04-18 Tyler J. VanderWeele , Charles J. K. Batty

Objectives: The aim of this paper is to contrast the retrospective and prospective use of experts beliefs in choosing between survival models in economic evaluations. Methods: The use of experts retrospective (posterior) beliefs is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-15 J. W. Stevens , M. Orr

Research and development in computer science and statistics have produced increasingly sophisticated software interfaces for interactive and exploratory analysis, optimized for easy pattern finding and data exposure. But design philosophies…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2021-07-08 Jessica Hullman , Andrew Gelman

The problem of belief tracking in the presence of stochastic actions and observations is pervasive and yet computationally intractable. In this work we show however that probabilistic beliefs can be maintained in factored form exactly and…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2019-10-01 Blai Bonet , Hector Geffner