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Single-chain Markov chain Monte Carlo simulates realizations from a Markov chain to estimate expectations with the empirical average. The single-chain simulation is generally of considerable length and restricts many advantages of modern…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-02-01 Austin Brown

Inference metaprogramming enables effective probabilistic programming by supporting the decomposition of executions of probabilistic programs into subproblems and the deployment of hybrid probabilistic inference algorithms that apply…

编程语言 · 计算机科学 2019-07-16 Shivam Handa , Vikash Mansinghka , Martin Rinard

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are essential tools in computational statistics for sampling from unnormalised probability distributions, but can be fragile when targeting high-dimensional, multimodal, or complex target…

This paper concerns the introduction of a new Markov Chain Monte Carlo scheme for posterior sampling in Bayesian nonparametric mixture models with priors that belong to the general Poisson-Kingman class. We present a novel compact way of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-02-22 Maria Lomeli , Stefano Favaro , Yee Whye Teh

The purpose of this work is to describe a unified, and indeed simple, mechanism for non-parametric Bayesian analysis, construction and generative sampling of a large class of latent feature models which one can describe as generalized…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-12-23 Lancelot F. James

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) provides a feasible method for inferring Hidden Markov models, however, it is often computationally prohibitive, especially constrained by the curse of dimensionality, as the Monte Carlo sampler traverses…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-09-13 Xiongming Dai , Gerald Baumgartner

Recent advances on overfitting Bayesian mixture models provide a solid and straightforward approach for inferring the underlying number of clusters and model parameters in heterogeneous datasets. The applicability of such a framework in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-03-29 Panagiotis Papastamoulis

Statistical inference methods are fundamentally important in machine learning. Most state-of-the-art inference algorithms are variants of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) or variational inference (VI). However, both methods struggle with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-10-17 Yichuan Zhang , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato

This work presents an efficient approach for accelerating multilevel Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling for large-scale problems using low-fidelity machine learning models. While conventional techniques for large-scale Bayesian…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-05-21 Sohail Reddy , Hillary Fairbanks

This study introduces a computationally efficient algorithm, delayed acceptance Markov chain Monte Carlo (DA-MCMC), designed to improve posterior simulation in quasi-Bayesian inference. Quasi-Bayesian methods, which do not require fully…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-02-16 Masahiro Tanaka

This paper introduces a Bayesian framework that combines Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling, dimensionality reduction, and neural density estimation to efficiently handle inverse problems that (i) must be solved multiple times, and…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2026-02-24 Giacomo Bottacini , Matteo Torzoni , Andrea Manzoni

We introduce Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms based on numerical approximations of piecewise-deterministic Markov processes obtained with the framework of splitting schemes. We present unadjusted as well as adjusted algorithms,…

概率论 · 数学 2025-11-04 Andrea Bertazzi , Paul Dobson , Pierre Monmarché

Inference for Dirichlet process hierarchical models is typically performed using Markov chain Monte Carlo methods, which can be roughly categorised into marginal and conditional methods. The former integrate out analytically the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2007-10-24 Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Gareth Roberts

In this work, we present, analyze, and implement a class of Multi-Level Markov chain Monte Carlo (ML-MCMC) algorithms based on independent Metropolis-Hastings proposals for Bayesian inverse problems. In this context, the likelihood function…

数值分析 · 数学 2021-05-06 Juan Pablo Madrigal-Cianci , Fabio Nobile , Raul Tempone

We propose a generic Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm to speed up computations for datasets with many observations. A key feature of our approach is the use of the highly efficient difference estimator from the survey sampling…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-08-03 Matias Quiroz , Mattias Villani , Robert Kohn

Discrete data are abundant and often arise as counts or rounded data. These data commonly exhibit complex distributional features such as zero-inflation, over-/under-dispersion, boundedness, and heaping, which render many parametric models…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-27 Daniel R. Kowal , Bohan Wu

Many problems of practical interest rely on Continuous-time Markov chains~(CTMCs) defined over combinatorial state spaces, rendering the computation of transition probabilities, and hence probabilistic inference, difficult or impossible…

The Integrated Nested Laplace Approximation (INLA) has established itself as a widely used method for approximate inference on Bayesian hierarchical models which can be represented as a latent Gaussian model (LGM). INLA is based on…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-04-06 Virgilio Gómez-Rubio , Håvard Rue

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are based on the construction of a Markov chain with transition probabilities leaving invariant a probability distribution of interest. In this work, we look at these transition probabilities as…

概率论 · 数学 2024-10-01 Rocco Caprio , Adam M. Johansen

Markov chain Monte Carlo methods are often deemed too computationally intensive to be of any practical use for big data applications, and in particular for inference on datasets containing a large number $n$ of individual data points, also…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-05-13 Rémi Bardenet , Arnaud Doucet , Chris Holmes