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The Log-Gaussian Cox Process is a commonly used model for the analysis of spatial point patterns. Fitting this model is difficult because of its doubly-stochastic property, i.e., it is an hierarchical combination of a Poisson process at the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-01-05 Ming Teng , Farouk S. Nathoo , Timothy D. Johnson

We investigate the spatiotemporal dynamics of traffic accidents in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, using 2016--2019 data. We formulate the traffic accident intensity as a log-Gaussian Cox Process and model it as a spatiotemporal point process with…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-08-06 Yassin Tesfaw Abebe , Abdu Mohammed Seid , Lassi Roininen

The life course perspective in criminology has become prominent last years, offering valuable insights into various patterns of criminal offending and pathways. The study of criminal trajectories aims to understand the beginning,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-30 Alisson C. C. Silva , Fábio N. Demarqui , Bráulio F. Silva , Marcos O. Prates

Generalized evolutionary point processes offer a class of point process models that allows for either excitation or inhibition based upon the history of the process. In this regard, we propose modeling which comprises generalization of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-01-06 Philip A. White , Alan E. Gelfand

A new discrete-time shot noise Cox process for spatiotemporal data is proposed. The random intensity is driven by a dependent sequence of latent gamma random measures. Some properties of the latent process are derived, such as an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-17 Federico Bassetti , Roberto Casarin , Matteo Iacopini

The aim of this paper is to analyze a class of random motions which models the motion of a particle on the real line with random velocity and subject to the action of the friction. The speed randomly changes when a Poissonian event occurs.…

概率论 · 数学 2009-12-31 Alessandro De Gregorio

Crime prediction plays an impactful role in enhancing public security and sustainable development of urban. With recent advances in data collection and integration technologies, a large amount of urban data with rich crime-related…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-01-23 Xiangyu Zhao , Jiliang Tang

An important task in the statistical analysis of inhomogeneous point processes is to investigate the influence of a set of covariates on the point-generating mechanism. In this article, we consider the nonparametric Bayesian approach to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-19 Patric Dolmeta , Matteo Giordano

Understanding the spread of infectious diseases such as COVID-19 is crucial for informed decision-making and resource allocation. A critical component of disease behavior is the velocity with which disease spreads, defined as the rate of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-12-23 Fernando Rodriguez Avellaneda , Jorge Mateu , Paula Moraga

Event of the same type occurring several times for one individual (recurrent events) are present in various domains (industrial systems reliability, episodes of unemployment, political conflicts, chronic diseases episodes). Analysis of such…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-01-24 Génia Babykina , Vincent Vandewalle

Random fields are useful mathematical tools for representing natural phenomena with complex dependence structures in space and/or time. In particular, the Gaussian random field is commonly used due to its attractive properties and…

This work studies nonparametric Bayesian estimation of the intensity function of an inhomogeneous Poisson point process in the important case where the intensity depends on covariates, based on the observation of a single realisation of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-05-09 Matteo Giordano , Alisa Kirichenko , Judith Rousseau

We investigate spatio-temporal event analysis using point processes. Inferring the dynamics of event sequences spatiotemporally has many practical applications including crime prediction, social media analysis, and traffic forecasting. In…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-17 Fatih Ilhan , Suleyman Serdar Kozat

We generalize the log Gaussian Cox process (LGCP) framework to model multiple correlated point data jointly. The observations are treated as realizations of multiple LGCPs, whose log intensities are given by linear combinations of latent…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-03-18 Virginia Aglietti , Theodoros Damoulas , Edwin Bonilla

Modelling the first-order intensity function is one of the main aims in point process theory, and it has been approached so far from different perspectives. One appealing model describes the intensity as a function of a spatial covariate.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-07-03 M. I. Borrajo , W. González-Manteiga , M. D. Martínez-Miranda

We study adaptive sensing of Cox point processes, a widely used model from spatial statistics. We introduce three tasks: maximization of captured events, search for the maximum of the intensity function and learning level sets of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-31 Mojmír Mutný , Andreas Krause

Complex behaviour in many systems arises from the stochastic interactions of spatially distributed particles or agents. Stochastic reaction-diffusion processes are widely used to model such behaviour in disciplines ranging from biology to…

统计力学 · 物理学 2016-08-23 David Schnoerr , Ramon Grima , Guido Sanguinetti

We suggest a novel method of clustering and exploratory analysis of temporal event sequences data (also known as categorical time series) based on three-dimensional data grid models. A data set of temporal event sequences can be represented…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2015-05-07 Dominique Gay , Romain Guigourès , Marc Boullé , Fabrice Clérot

We propose a scalable framework for inference in an inhomogeneous Poisson process modeled by a continuous sigmoidal Cox process that assumes the corresponding intensity function is given by a Gaussian process (GP) prior transformed with a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-06-10 Virginia Aglietti , Edwin V. Bonilla , Theodoros Damoulas , Sally Cripps

We observe $n$ inhomogeneous Poisson processes with covariates and aim at estimating their intensities. We assume that the intensity of each Poisson process is of the form $s (\cdot, x)$ where $x$ is the covariate and where $s$ is an…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-06-14 Mathieu Sart