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Binomial trees are widely used in the financial sector for valuing securities with early exercise characteristics, such as American stock options. However, while effective in many scenarios, pricing options with CRR binomial trees are…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2024-05-28 Yury Lebedev , Arunava Banerjee

Gaussian processes are a natural way of defining prior distributions over functions of one or more input variables. In a simple nonparametric regression problem, where such a function gives the mean of a Gaussian distribution for an…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2008-02-03 Radford M. Neal

We study the estimation of a high dimensional approximate factor model in the presence of both cross sectional dependence and heteroskedasticity. The classical method of principal components analysis (PCA) does not efficiently estimate the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-10-01 Jushan Bai , Yuan Liao

In this paper we address the complexity of solving linear programming problems with a set of differential equations that converge to a fixed point that represents the optimal solution. Assuming a probabilistic model, where the inputs are…

计算复杂性 · 计算机科学 2007-05-23 Asa Ben-Hur , Joshua Feinberg , Shmuel Fishman , Hava T. Siegelmann

A Riemannian geometric framework for Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is developed where using the Fisher-Rao metric on the manifold of probability density functions (pdfs), informed proposal densities for Metropolis-Hastings (MH) algorithms…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-08 Vivekananda Roy

Multivariate Singular Spectrum Analysis (MSSA) is a powerful and widely used nonparametric method for multivariate time series, which allows the analysis of complex temporal data from diverse fields such as finance, healthcare, ecology, and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-08 Fabio Centofanti , Mia Hubert , Biagio Palumbo , Peter J. Rousseeuw

We propose a Bayesian image super-resolution (SR) method with a causal Gaussian Markov random field (MRF) prior. SR is a technique to estimate a spatially high-resolution image from given multiple low-resolution images. An MRF model with…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2015-05-30 Takayuki Katsuki , Akira Torii , Masato Inoue

The one-point probability distribution function (PDF) is a powerful summary statistic for non-Gaussian cosmological fields, such as the weak lensing (WL) convergence reconstructed from galaxy shapes or cosmic microwave background (CMB)…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2021-01-04 Leander Thiele , J. Colin Hill , Kendrick M. Smith

Running a reliability analysis on engineering problems involving complex numerical models can be computationally very expensive, requiring advanced simulation methods to reduce the overall numerical cost. Gaussian process based active…

We consider the scattering of light in participating media composed of sparsely and randomly distributed discrete particles. The particle size is expected to range from the scale of the wavelength to the scale several orders of magnitude…

图形学 · 计算机科学 2021-02-25 Jie Guo , Bingyang Hu , Yanjun Chen , Yuanqi Li , Yanwen Guo , Ling-Qi Yan

Minimization of a stochastic cost function is commonly used for approximate sampling in high-dimensional Bayesian inverse problems with Gaussian prior distributions and multimodal posterior distributions. The density of the samples…

数值分析 · 数学 2022-06-03 Yuming Ba , Jana de Wiljes , Dean S. Oliver , Sebastian Reich

Density ratio estimation (DRE) is a fundamental machine learning technique for comparing two probability distributions. However, existing methods struggle in high-dimensional settings, as it is difficult to accurately compare probability…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-15 Kristy Choi , Chenlin Meng , Yang Song , Stefano Ermon

We propose a new sampling-based approach for approximate inference in filtering problems. Instead of approximating conditional distributions with a finite set of states, as done in particle filters, our approach approximates the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-03-03 Xuan Su , Wee Sun Lee , Zhen Zhang

We revisit the problem of estimating the mean of a real-valued distribution, presenting a novel estimator with sub-Gaussian convergence: intuitively, "our estimator, on any distribution, is as accurate as the sample mean is for the Gaussian…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-11-18 Jasper C. H. Lee , Paul Valiant

For a variant of the algorithm in [Pit19] (arXiv:1903.10816) to compute the approximate density or distribution function of a linear mixture of independent random variables known by a finite sample, it is presented a proof of the functional…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-06-19 Thomas Pitschel

In this paper, we consider distributed maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) with dependent quantized data under the assumption that the structure of the joint probability density function (pdf) is known, but it contains unknown deterministic…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2013-09-17 Xiaojing Shen , Pramod K. Varshney , Yunmin Zhu

Finite mixture such as the Gaussian mixture is a flexible and powerful probabilistic modeling tool for representing the multimodal distribution widely involved in many estimation and learning problems. The core of it is representing the…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-01-02 Tiancheng Li , Yan Song , Enbin Song , Hongqi Fan

Maximum likelihood estimation is an important statistical technique for estimating missing data, for example in climate and environmental applications, which are usually large and feature data points that are irregularly spaced. In…

数值分析 · 计算机科学 2019-07-25 Sameh Abdulah , Hatem Ltaief , Ying Sun , Marc G. Genton , David E. Keyes

Heuristic search-based planning techniques are commonly used for motion planning on discretized spaces. The performance of these algorithms is heavily affected by the resolution at which the search space is discretized. Typically a fixed…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2020-04-15 Wei Du , Fahad Islam , Maxim Likhachev

Gaussian time-series models are often specified through their spectral density. Such models present several computational challenges, in particular because of the non-sparse nature of the covariance matrix. We derive a fast approximation of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-11-20 Nicolas Chopin , Judith Rousseau , Brunero Liseo