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The current state of evaluation in survival analysis is plagued by the persistent use of evaluation metrics in ways that are misaligned with the stated modeling objective. In addition, many such evaluations are based on censoring…

Many evaluation methods exist, each for a particular prediction task, and there are a number of prediction tasks commonly performed including classification and regression. In binarised regression, binary decisions are generated from a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-08-18 Matthew Dirks , David Poole

Recently, learning with soft labels has been shown to achieve better performance than learning with hard labels in terms of model generalization, calibration, and robustness. However, collecting pointwise labeling confidence for all…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-10 Wei Wang , Lei Feng , Yuchen Jiang , Gang Niu , Min-Ling Zhang , Masashi Sugiyama

Meta-analyses of survival studies aim to reveal the variation of an effect measure of interest over different studies and present a meaningful summary. They must address between study heterogeneity in several dimensions and eliminate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-29 Joris Hautekiet , Elena-Sophie Prigge , Theresa Obermueller , Marc Arbyn , Els Goetghebeur

We consider semi-supervised binary classification for applications in which data points are naturally grouped (e.g., survey responses grouped by state) and the labeled data is biased (e.g., survey respondents are not representative of the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-12-08 Daniel Zeiberg , Shantanu Jain , Predrag Radivojac

In randomized trials and observational studies, it is often necessary to evaluate the extent to which an intervention affects a time-to-event outcome, which is only partially observed due to right censoring. For instance, in infectious…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-16 Yutong Jin , Peter B. Gilbert , Aaron Hudson

Discrimination and calibration represent two important properties of survival analysis, with the former assessing the model's ability to accurately rank subjects and the latter evaluating the alignment of predicted outcomes with actual…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-04 Shi-ang Qi , Yakun Yu , Russell Greiner

Many clinical studies require the follow-up of patients over time. This is challenging: apart from frequently observed drop-out, there are often also organizational and financial challenges, which can lead to reduced data collection and, in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-26 Fateme Nateghi Haredasht , Celine Vens

Balanced representation learning methods have been applied successfully to counterfactual inference from observational data. However, approaches that account for survival outcomes are relatively limited. Survival data are frequently…

Kernel survival analysis methods predict subject-specific survival curves and times using information about which training subjects are most similar to a test subject. These most similar training subjects could serve as forecast evidence.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-07-28 George H. Chen

For measuring the strength of visually-observed subpopulation differences, the Population Difference Criterion is proposed to assess the statistical significance of visually observed subpopulation differences. It addresses the following…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-21 Xi Yang , Jan Hannig , Katherine A. Hoadley , Iain Carmichael , J. S. Marron

We present a novel subset scan method to detect if a probabilistic binary classifier has statistically significant bias -- over or under predicting the risk -- for some subgroup, and identify the characteristics of this subgroup. This form…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-07-05 Zhe Zhang , Daniel B. Neill

Subgroup analysis evaluates treatment effects across multiple sub-populations. When subgroups are defined by latent memberships inferred from imperfect measurements, the analysis typically involves two inter-connected models, a latent class…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-05 Yuanhui Luo , Xinzhou Guo , Yuqi Gu

Parameter estimates in misspecified models converge to pseudo-true parameter values, which minimize a population objective function. Pseudo-true values often differ from quantities of economic interest, raising questions of how, if at all,…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-04-20 Isaiah Andrews , Harvey Barnhard , Jacob Carlson

Comparing the survival times among two groups is a common problem in time-to-event analysis, for example if one would like to understand whether one medical treatment is superior to another. In the standard survival analysis setting, there…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-07 Dennis Dobler , Eni Musta

Survey researchers face the problem of sensitivity bias: since people are reluctant to reveal socially undesirable or otherwise risky traits, aggregate estimates of these traits will be biased. List experiments offer a solution by…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-27 Sophia Hatz , David Randahl

Deep learning models have significantly improved prediction accuracy in various fields, gaining recognition across numerous disciplines. Yet, an aspect of deep learning that remains insufficiently addressed is the assessment of prediction…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-12-18 Asaf Ben Arie , Malka Gorfine

Survival analysis is a fundamental tool for modeling time-to-event data in healthcare, engineering, and finance, where censored observations pose significant challenges. While traditional methods like the Beran estimator offer nonparametric…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-13 Andrei V. Konstantinov , Vlada A. Efremenko , Lev V. Utkin

While tabular foundation models have achieved remarkable success in classification and regression, adapting them to model time-to-event outcomes for survival analysis is non-trivial due to right-censoring, where data observations may end…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-02 Da In Kim , Wei Siang Lai , Kelly W. Zhang

Survival regression is widely used to model time-to-events data, to explore how covariates may influence the occurrence of events. Modern datasets often encompass a vast number of covariates across many subjects, with only a subset of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-18 Abhishek Mandal , Abhisek Chakraborty