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Cross-validation under sample selection bias can, in principle, be done by importance-weighting the empirical risk. However, the importance-weighted risk estimator produces sub-optimal hyperparameter estimates in problem settings where…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-08-28 Wouter M. Kouw , Jesse H. Krijthe , Marco Loog

Importance sampling is often used in machine learning when training and testing data come from different distributions. In this paper we propose a new variant of importance sampling that can reduce the variance of importance sampling-based…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-11-11 Philip S. Thomas , Emma Brunskill

When testing for superiority in a parallel-group setting with a continuous outcome, adjusting for covariates (e.g., baseline measurements) is usually recommended, in order to reduce bias and increase power. For this purpose, the analysis of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-04-28 Georg Zimmermann , Meinhard Kieser , Arne Bathke

In recent years, real-world external controls have grown in popularity as a tool to empower randomized placebo-controlled trials, particularly in rare diseases or cases where balanced randomization is unethical or impractical. However, as…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-14 Chenyin Gao , Shu Yang , Mingyang Shan , Wenyu Ye , Ilya Lipkovich , Douglas Faries

The era of big data is coming, and evidence-based medicine is attracting increasing attention to improve decision making in medical practice via integrating evidence from well designed and conducted clinical research. Meta-analysis is a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-10-05 Dehui Luo , Xiang Wan , Jiming Liu , Tiejun Tong

Adaptive subgroup enrichment design is an efficient design framework that allows accelerated development for investigational treatments while also having flexibility in population selection within the course of the trial. The adaptive…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-21 Liwen Wu , Qing Li , Mengya Liu , Jianchang Lin

Randomized experiments are considered the gold standard for estimating causal effects. However, out of the set of possible randomized assignments, some may be likely to produce poor effect estimates and misleading conclusions. Restricted…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-28 Maggie Wang , René F. Kizilcec , Michael Baiocchi

Randomized clinical trials are the gold standard when estimating the average treatment effect. However, they are usually not a random sample from the real-world population because of the inclusion/exclusion rules. Meanwhile, observational…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-11 Kuan Jiang , Wenjie Hu , Shu Yang , Xinxing Lai , Xiaohua Zhou

Weighting procedures are used in observational causal inference to adjust for covariate imbalance within the sample. Common practice for inference is to estimate robust standard errors from a weighted regression of outcome on treatment.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-29 Erin Hartman , Chad Hazlett , Arisa Sadeghpour

Power and sample size analysis comprises a critical component of clinical trial study design. There is an extensive collection of methods addressing this problem from diverse perspectives. The Bayesian paradigm, in particular, has attracted…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-08 Jane Pan , Sudipto Banerjee

In systematic reviews and meta-analysis, researchers often pool the results of the sample mean and standard deviation from a set of similar clinical trials. A number of the trials, however, reported the study using the median, the minimum…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-10-06 Xiang Wan , Wenqian Wang , Jiming Liu , Tiejun Tong

After rejecting the null hypothesis in the analysis of variance, the next step is to make the pairwise comparisons to find out differences in means. The purpose of this paper is threefold. The foremost aim is to suggest expression for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-22 Elsayed A. H. Elamir

Technological advancements in the field of mobile devices and wearable sensors have helped overcome obstacles in the delivery of care, making it possible to deliver behavioral treatments anytime and anywhere. Increasingly the delivery of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-11-13 Walter Dempsey , Peng Liao , Santosh Kumar , Susan A. Murphy

Estimation frameworks for statistical inference are preferred to hypothesis testing when quantifying uncertainty and precise estimation are more valuable than binary decisions about statistical significance. Study design for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-29 Luke Hagar , Nathaniel T. Stevens

Randomized trials balance all covariates on average and provide the gold standard for estimating treatment effects. Chance imbalances nevertheless exist more or less in realized treatment allocations and intrigue an important question: what…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-18 Anqi Zhao , Peng Ding

The sequential multiple assignment randomized trial (SMART) is the gold standard trial design to generate data for the evaluation of multi-stage treatment regimes. As with conventional (single-stage) randomized clinical trials, interim…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-13 Cole Manschot , Eric Laber , Marie Davidian

Causal inference starts with a simple idea: compare groups that differ by treatment, not much else. Traditionally, similar groups are constructed using only observed covariates; however, it remains a long-standing challenge to incorporate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-21 Ying Jin , José Zubizarreta

When performing supervised learning with the model selected using validation error from sample splitting and cross validation, the minimum value of the validation error can be biased downward. We propose two simple methods that use the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-02-13 Leying Guan

In designing external validation studies of clinical prediction models, contemporary sample size calculation methods are based on the frequentist inferential paradigm. One of the widely reported metrics of model performance is net benefit…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-02-28 Mohsen Sadatsafavi , Andrew J Vickers , Tae Yoon Lee , Paul Gustafson , Laure Wynants

In statistical exercises where there are several candidate models, the traditional approach is to select one model using some data driven criterion and use that model for estimation, testing and other purposes, ignoring the variability of…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-12-18 Snigdhansu Chatterjee , Nitai D. Mukhopadhyay