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Estimating probability of failure in aerospace systems is a critical requirement for flight certification and qualification. Failure probability estimation involves resolving tails of probability distribution, and Monte Carlo sampling…

数值分析 · 数学 2022-09-22 S. Ashwin Renganathan , Vishwas Rao , Ionel M. Navon

In the context of optimization approaches to engineering applications, time-consuming simulations are often utilized which can be configured to deliver solutions for various levels of accuracy, commonly referred to as different fidelity…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2022-05-17 Sander van Rijn , Sebastian Schmitt , Matthijs van Leeuwen , Thomas Bäck

A common goal throughout science and engineering is to solve optimization problems constrained by computational models. However, in many cases a high-fidelity numerical emulation of systems cannot be optimized due to code complexity and…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-05-31 Joseph Hart , Bart van Bloemen Waanders

We consider the problem of estimating confidence intervals for the mean of a random variable, where the goal is to produce the smallest possible interval for a given number of samples. While minimax optimal algorithms are known for this…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-06-19 Shengjia Zhao , Christopher Yeh , Stefano Ermon

Large-scale optimization problems are ubiquitous in the physical sciences; yet, high-fidelity models can often be complex and computationally prohibitive for optimization. A practical alternative is to use a low-fidelity model to facilitate…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-04-03 Madhusudan Madhavan , Joseph Hart , Bart van Bloemen Waanders

Multi-fidelity Monte Carlo (MFMC) is a variance reduction method that leverages a multi-fidelity ensemble of models of varying cost and accuracy levels. Constructing an MFMC estimator with optimal variance requires knowledge of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-25 Michael Stanley , Thomas Coons , Geoffrey Bomarito , Patrick Leser , Joshua Pribe , James Warner

This paper considers errors-in-variables models in a high-dimensional setting where the number of covariates can be much larger than the sample size, and there are only a small number of non-zero covariates. The presence of measurement…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-09-03 Linh Nghiem , Cornelis Potgieter

Outer loop tasks such as optimization, uncertainty quantification or inference can easily become intractable when the underlying high-fidelity model is computationally expensive. Similarly, data-driven architectures typically require large…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-03 Cristian J. Villatoro , Gianluca Geraci , Daniele E. Schiavazzi

Complex computer codes are often too time expensive to be directly used to perform uncertainty, sensitivity, optimization and robustness analyses. A widely accepted method to circumvent this problem consists in replacing cpu-time expensive…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-04-25 Bertrand Iooss , Amandine Marrel

In experimental design, we are given a large collection of vectors, each with a hidden response value that we assume derives from an underlying linear model, and we wish to pick a small subset of the vectors such that querying the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-02-05 Michał Dereziński , Kenneth L. Clarkson , Michael W. Mahoney , Manfred K. Warmuth

One way to investigate the precision of estimates likely to result from planned experiments and planned epidemiological studies is to simulate a large number of possible outcomes and analyse the sets of possible results. This appears to be…

统计计算 · 统计学 2013-06-28 G. K. Robinson , L. M. Ryan

We examine the necessity of interpolation in overparameterized models, that is, when achieving optimal predictive risk in machine learning problems requires (nearly) interpolating the training data. In particular, we consider simple…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-06-17 Chen Cheng , John Duchi , Rohith Kuditipudi

Multi-fidelity simulation is a widely used strategy to reduce the computational cost of many-query numerical simulation tasks such as uncertainty quantification, design space exploration, and design optimization. The reduced basis approach…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-09-17 Murray Cutforth , Tiffany Fan , Tony Zahtila , Alireza Doostan , Eric Darve

In this work, we develop a multi-fidelity Bayesian experimental design framework to efficiently quantify the extreme-event statistics of an input-to-response (ItR) system with given input probability and expensive function evaluations. The…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2022-01-04 Xianliang Gong , Yulin Pan

In a multifidelity setting, data are available under the same conditions from two (or more) sources, e.g. computer codes, one being lower-fidelity but computationally cheaper, and the other higher-fidelity and more expensive. This work…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-25 Minji Kim , Kevin O'Connor , Vladas Pipiras , Themistoklis Sapsis

Two major research tasks lie at the heart of high dimensional data analysis: accurate parameter estimation and correct support recovery. The existing literature mostly aims for either the best parameter estimation or the best model…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-06-24 Qifan Song , Guang Cheng

Running machine learning algorithms on large and rapidly growing volumes of data is often computationally expensive, one common trick to reduce the size of a data set, and thus reduce the computational cost of machine learning algorithms,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-25 Shaojie Tang , Jing Yuan

Aircraft design relies heavily on solving challenging and computationally expensive Multidisciplinary Design Optimization problems. In this context, there has been growing interest in multi-fidelity models for Bayesian optimization to…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-04-01 Oihan Cordelier , Youssef Diouane , Nathalie Bartoli , Eric Laurendeau

This paper introduces a methodology designed to augment the inverse design optimization process in scenarios constrained by limited compute, through the strategic synergy of multi-fidelity evaluations, machine learning models, and…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2024-06-04 Luka Grbcic , Juliane Müller , Wibe Albert de Jong

Survey sampling is concerned with the estimation of finite population parameters. In practice, survey data suffer from item nonresponse, which is commonly handled through imputation, i.e., replacing missing values with predicted values. As…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-06 Ziming An , Mehdi Dagdoug , David Haziza
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