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We investigate an epidemiological model that incorporates waning of immunity at the individual level and boosting of the immune system upon re-exposure to the pathogen. When immunity is fully restored upon boosting, the system can be…

We consider an epidemiological model that includes waning and boosting of immunity. Assuming that repeated exposure to the pathogen fully restores immunity, we derive an SIRS-type model with discrete and distributed delays. First we prove…

动力系统 · 数学 2016-06-14 Maria Vittoria Barbarossa , Monika Polner , Gergely Röst

When the body gets infected by a pathogen the immune system develops pathogen-specific immunity. Induced immunity decays in time and years after recovery the host might become susceptible again. Exposure to the pathogen in the environment…

动力系统 · 数学 2014-11-13 Maria Vittoria Barbarossa , Gergely Röst

SIRS models capture transmission dynamics of infectious diseases for which immunity is not lifelong. Extending these models by a W compartment for individuals with waning immunity, the boosting of the immune system upon repeated exposure…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2022-01-19 Richmond Opoku-Sarkodie , Ferenc A. Bartha , Mónika Polner , Gergely Röst

Cooperation and competition between pathogens can alter the amount of individuals affected by a co-infection. Nonetheless, the evolution of the pathogens' behavior has been overlooked. Here, we consider a co-evolutionary model where the…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2022-03-23 Fakhteh Ghanbarnejad , Kai Seegers , Alessio Cardillo , Philipp Hövel

We study two simple mathematical models of the epidemic. At first, we study the repetitive infection spreading in a simplified SIRS model including the effect of the decay of the acquired immune. The model is an intermediate model of the…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2024-03-13 Hidetsugu Sakaguchi , Keito Yamasaki

We study how the interplay between the memory immune response and pathogen mutation affects epidemic dynamics in two related models. The first explicitly models pathogen mutation and individual memory immune responses, with contacted…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2009-11-07 Michelle Girvan , Duncan S. Callaway , M. E. J. Newman , Steven H. Strogatz

Different pathogens spreading in the same host population often generate complex co-circulation dynamics because of the many possible interactions between the pathogens and the host immune system, the host life cycle, and the space…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2014-12-18 Chiara Poletto , Sandro Meloni , Ashleigh Van Metre , Vittoria Colizza , Yamir Moreno , Alessandro Vespignani

Common respiratory viruses cause seasonal epidemics in sequential patterns. The underlying mechanisms for this pattern have been debated for some time. For influenza, contenders include temperature, humidity, and vitamin D levels. While…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2019-08-05 Gorm Gruner Jensen , Florian Uekermann , Kim Sneppen , Lone Simonsen

When the body gets infected by a pathogen or receives a vaccine dose, the immune system develops pathogen-specific immunity. Induced immunity decays in time and years after recovery/vaccination the host might become susceptible again.…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2015-01-15 Maria Vittoria Barbarossa , Gergely Röst

Time varying susceptibility of host at individual level due to waning and boosting immunity is known to induce rich long-term behavior of disease transmission dynamics. Meanwhile, the impact of the time varying heterogeneity of host…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2018-08-28 Yukihiko Nakata , Ryosuke Omori

Despite high vaccine coverage, pertussis has re-emerged as a public health concern in many countries. One hypothesis posed for re-emergence is the waning of immunity. In some disease systems, the process of waning immunity can be…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2017-08-10 Tiffany Leung , Barry D Hughes , Federico Frascoli , Patricia T Campbell , James M McCaw

During the recent pandemic, a rise in COVID-19 cases was followed by a decline in influenza. In the absence of cross-immunity, a potential explanation for the observed pattern is behavioral: non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) designed…

动力系统 · 数学 2026-04-20 Leah LeJeune , Omar Saucedo , Lauren M. Childs , Navid Ghaffarzadegan

Viral infections trigger complex immune responses with heterogeneous outcomes shaped by nonlinear feedbacks. An ordinary differential equation model is developed to investigate immune response dynamics during viral infection, incorporating…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2025-10-08 Xiaoxin Wang , Kai Kang , Leyi Zhang , Changjing Zhuge

The immune response to a pathogen has two basic features. The first is the expansion of a few pathogen-specific cells to form a population large enough to control the pathogen. The second is the process of differentiation of cells from an…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2014-02-04 Sean P Stromberg , Rustom Antia , Ilya Nemenman

This research investigates the coupled dynamics of behavior and infectious disease using a mathematical model. We integrate a two-state q-voter opinion process with SIS-type infection dynamics, where transmission rates are influenced by the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-12-13 Thomas Goetz , Tyll Krueger , Karol Niedzielewski , Jan Schneider , Barbara Pabjan

Cholera, a severe gastrointestinal infection caused by the bacterium Vibrio cholerae, remains a major threat to public health with a yearly estimated global burden of 2.9 million cases. Although the majority of existing models for the…

动力系统 · 数学 2021-05-27 Beryl Musundi

We introduce and analyze a within-host dynamical model of the coevolution between rapidly mutating pathogens and the adaptive immune response. Pathogen mutation and a homeostatic constraint on lymphocytes both play a role in allowing the…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2014-08-06 Kimberly J. Schlesinger , Sean P. Stromberg , Jean M. Carlson

As the outbreak of COVID-19 enters its third year, we have now enough data to analyse the behavior of the pandemic with mathematical models over a long period of time. The pandemic alternates periods of high and low infections, in a way…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2022-03-17 Alex Viguerie , Margherita Carletti , Alessandro Veneziani , Guido Silvestri

We consider the SIRWJS epidemiological model that includes the waning and boosting of immunity via secondary infections. We carry out combined analytical and numerical investigations of the dynamics. The formulae describing the existence…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2023-05-16 Richmond Opoku-Sarkodie , Ferenc A. Bartha , Mónika Polner , Gergely Röst
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