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Professional sports constitute an important part of people's modern life. People spend substantial amounts of time and money supporting their favorite players and teams, and sometimes even riot after games. However, how team performance…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2018-09-07 Jason Shuo Zhang , Chenhao Tan , Qin Lv

Timeout is a short interruption during games used to communicate a change in strategy, to give the players a rest or to stop a negative flow in the game. Whatever the reason, coaches expect an improvement in their team's performance after a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-04-12 Niander Assis , Renato Assunção , Pedro O. S. Vaz-De-Melo

It is well-known that home team has an inherent advantage against visiting teams when playing team sports. One of the most obvious underlying reasons, the presence of supporting fans has mostly disappeared in major leagues with the…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2021-04-26 Dávid Zoltán Szabó , Diego Andrés Pérez

Identifying combinations of players (that is, lineups) in basketball - and other sports - that perform well when they play together is one of the most important tasks in sports analytics. One of the main challenges associated with this task…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-22 Christos Petridis , Konstantinos Pelechrinis

This study evaluates the effectiveness of the two-for-one strategy in basketball by applying a causal inference framework to play-by-play data from the 2018-19 and 2021-22 National Basketball Association regular seasons. Incorporating…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-01-08 Prateek Sasan , Daryl Swartzentruber

Among the sports fans beliefs about "hot hands" and "winning streaks" are widely spread, while the scientific debate about these effects is still ongoing. Recently in a paper by P. Ferreira [Physica A 500: 92-96] detrended fluctuation…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2019-01-31 Aleksejus Kononovicius

In sports analytics, home field advantage is a robust phenomenon where the home team wins more games than the away team. However, discovering the causal factors behind home field advantage presents unique challenges due to the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-06-16 Minhao Qi , Hengrui Cai , Guanyu Hu , Weining Shen

This paper develops metrics from a social network perspective that are directly translatable to the outcome of a basketball game. We extend a state-of-the-art multi-resolution stochastic process approach to modeling basketball by modeling…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-10-01 Fan Bu , Sonia Xu , Katherine Heller , Alexander Volfovsky

For some time, point-differential has been thought to be a better predictor for future NBA success than pure win-loss record. Most ranking and team performance predictions rely largely on point-differential, often with some normalizations…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-12-04 Samuel Henry

Increased data availability has stimulated the interest in studying sports prediction problems via analytical approaches; in particular, with machine learning and simulation. We characterize several models that have been proposed in the…

其他统计学 · 统计学 2023-07-11 Ignacio Erazo

We use a simple machine learning model, logistically-weighted regularized linear least squares regression, in order to predict baseball, basketball, football, and hockey games. We do so using only the thirty-year record of which visiting…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-05-16 Alexander Dubbs

For professional basketball, finding valuable and suitable players is the key to building a winning team. To deal with such challenges, basketball managers, scouts and coaches are increasingly turning to analytics. Objective evaluation of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-07-26 Lu Xin , Mu Zhu , Hugh Chipman

Predicting the outcome of sports events is a hard task. We quantify this difficulty with a coefficient that measures the distance between the observed final results of sports leagues and idealized perfectly balanced competitions in terms of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-11-27 Raquel YS Aoki , Renato M Assuncao , Pedro OS Vaz de Melo

The massive growth of sports videos has resulted in a need for automatic generation of sports highlights that are comparable in quality to the hand-edited highlights produced by broadcasters such as ESPN. Unlike previous works that mostly…

多媒体 · 计算机科学 2016-06-30 Vinay Bettadapura , Caroline Pantofaru , Irfan Essa

I address the difficult challenge of measuring the relative influence of competing basketball game strategies, and I apply my analysis to plays resulting in three-point shots. I use a glut of SportVU player tracking data from over 600 NBA…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-03-22 Bradley A. Sliz

This paper aims to revisit and expand upon previous work on the "hot hand" phenomenon in basketball, specifically in the NBA. Using larger, modern data sets, we test streakiness of shooting patterns and the presence of hot hand behavior in…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-11-02 Brian McNair , Eric Margolin , Michael Law , Ya'acov Ritov

Experience is an important asset in almost any professional activity. In basketball, there is believed to be a positive association between coaching experience and effective use of team timeouts. Here, we analyze both the extent to which a…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-03-20 Serguei Saavedra , Satyam Mukherjee , James P. Bagrow

In the sports of soccer, hockey and basketball the most commonly used statistics for player performance assessment are divided into two categories: offensive statistics and defensive statistics. However, qualitative assessments of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-04-04 Shael Brown

In the summer of 2017, the National Basketball Association reduced the number of total timeouts, along with other rule changes, to regulate the flow of the game. With these rule changes, it becomes increasingly important for coaches to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-08-01 Connor Gibbs , Ryan Elmore , Bailey Fosdick

This paper studies the relationship between basketball teams' four factors and efficiency ratings as defined by Oliver (2004). The paper introduces an equation showing how a team's four factors in conjunction with its field goal and free…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-05-23 Jirka Poropudas , Topi Halme