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In team sports, traditional ranking statistics do not allow for the simultaneous evaluation of both individuals and combinations of players. Metrics for individual player rankings often fail to include the interaction effects between groups…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-09 Nathaniel Josephs , Elizabeth Upton

When facing a heavily-favored opponent, an underdog must be willing to assume greater-than-average risk. In statistical language, one would say that an underdog must be willing to adopt a strategy whose outcome has a larger-than-average…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2011-11-04 Brian Skinner

We present a unified, data-driven framework for quantifying and enhancing offensive momentum and scoring likelihood (expected goals, xG) in professional hockey. Leveraging a Sportlogiq dataset of 541,000 NHL event records, our end-to-end…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-04 Daniel Griffiths , Piper Moskow

Sports broadcasters inject drama into play-by-play commentary by building team and player narratives through subjective analyses and anecdotes. Prior studies based on small datasets and manual coding show that such theatrics evince…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2019-10-22 Jack Merullo , Luke Yeh , Abram Handler , Alvin Grissom , Brendan O'Connor , Mohit Iyyer

Information sharing between individuals is crucial to improve performance in collective tasks. However, in a competitive world, individuals may be reluctant to share information with the others, and it is still unclear how the presence of…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2026-05-04 Ye Wang , Andrea Civilini , Anzhi Sheng , Xiaojie Chen , Long Wang , Vito Latora

We investigate further several properties of the minority game we have recently introduced. We explain the origin of the phase transition and give an analytical expression of $\sigma^2/N$ in the $N\ll2^M$ region. The ability of the players…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-06-25 Damien Challet , Yi-Cheng Zhang

In recent years, data-driven approaches have become a popular tool in a variety of sports to gain an advantage by, e.g., analysing potential strategies of opponents. Whereas the availability of play-by-play or player tracking data in sports…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-03-25 Marius Ötting

This paper applies existing and new approaches to study trends in the performance of elite athletes over time. We study both track and field scores of men and women athletes on a yearly basis from 2001 to 2019, revealing several trends and…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2023-01-20 Nick James , Max Menzies , Howard Bondell

A hockey player's plus-minus measures the difference between goals scored by and against that player's team while the player was on the ice. This measures only a marginal effect, failing to account for the influence of the others he is…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-01-27 Robert B. Gramacy , Matt Taddy , Sen Tian

We modeled the dynamics of a soccer match based on a network representation where players are nodes discretely clustered into homogeneous groups. Players were grouped by physical proximity, supported by the intuitive notion that competing…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2021-08-09 Luis Ramada Pereira , Rui J. Lopes , Jorge Louçã , Duarte Araújo , João Ramos

Although basketball is a dynamic process sport, with 5 plus 5 players competing on both offense and defense simultaneously, learning some static information is predominant for professional players, coaches and team mangers. In order to have…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-04-05 Guanyu Hu , Hou-Cheng Yang , Yishu Xue , Dipak K. Dey

In competitive sports it is often very hard to quantify the performance. A player to score or overtake may depend on only millesimal of seconds or millimeters. In racquet sports like tennis, table tennis and squash many events will occur in…

音频与语音处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2018-07-04 Katalin Hajdu-Szucs , Nora Fenyvesi , Jozsef Steger , Gabor Vattay

In this paper we study the minority game in the presence of evolution. In particular, we examine the behavior in games in which the dimension of the strategy space, m, is the same for all agents and fixed for all time. We find that for all…

adap-org · 物理学 2009-10-31 Yi Li , Rick Riolo , Robert Savit

We investigate the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the betting markets of professional and college sports. We find that during the pandemic, the moneyline betting markets of the National Basketball Association (NBA) became very…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-09-17 Khizar Qureshi , Tauhid Zaman

Numerous statistics have been proposed for the measure of offensive ability in major league baseball. While some of these measures may offer moderate predictive power in certain situations, it is unclear which simple offensive metrics are…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-07-21 Blakeley B. McShane , Alexander Braunstein , James Piette , Shane T. Jensen

Each ballpark has a different size in baseball. It could be easily imagined that there would be many home runs in a small ballpark. Moreover, the environment of the ballpark, such as altitude, humidity, air pressure, and wind strength,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-09-21 Eiji Konaka

Predicting performance outcomes has the potential to transform training approaches, inform coaching strategies, and deepen our understanding of the factors that contribute to athletic success. Traditional non-automated data analysis in…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2025-09-12 Melik Ozolcer , Tongze Zhang , Sang Won Bae

We propose a Bayesian nonparametric matrix clustering approach to analyze the latent heterogeneity structure in the shot selection data collected from professional basketball players in the National Basketball Association (NBA). The…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-10-19 Fan Yin , Guanyu Hu , Weining Shen

The standard mathematical approach to fourth-down decision making in American football is to make the decision that maximizes estimated win probability. Win probability estimates arise from machine learning models fit from historical data.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-02-03 Ryan S. Brill , Ronald Yurko , Abraham J. Wyner

Online user dynamics has been actively studied in recent years and bandwagon behavior is one of the most representative topics which can provide valuable insights for user identity change. Many previous studies have characterized bandwagon…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2024-01-23 Yichen Wang , Qin Lv
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