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Gaussian process (GP) regression is a non-parametric, Bayesian framework to approximate complex models. Standard GP regression can lead to an unbounded model in which some points can take infeasible values. We introduce a new GP method that…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-04-04 Didem Kochan , Xiu Yang

We consider the problem of joint estimation of structured covariance matrices. Assuming the structure is unknown, estimation is achieved using heterogeneous training sets. Namely, given groups of measurements coming from centered…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-04-20 Ilya Soloveychik , Ami Wiesel

The article develops marginal models for multivariate longitudinal responses. Overall, the model consists of five regression submodels, one for the mean and four for the covariance matrix, with the latter resulting by considering various…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-12-18 Georgios Papageorgiou

We derive PAC-Bayesian learning guarantees for heavy-tailed losses, and obtain a novel optimal Gibbs posterior which enjoys finite-sample excess risk bounds at logarithmic confidence. Our core technique itself makes use of PAC-Bayesian…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-12-19 Matthew J. Holland

The advantages of sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) are exploited to develop parameter estimation and model selection methods for GARCH (Generalized AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity) style models. It provides an alternative method…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-03-06 Dan Li , Adam Clements , Christopher Drovandi

Estimation of the covariance matrix has attracted a lot of attention of the statistical research community over the years, partially due to important applications such as Principal Component Analysis. However, frequently used empirical…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-06-19 Stanislav Minsker

We propose a lower bound on the log marginal likelihood of Gaussian process regression models that can be computed without matrix factorisation of the full kernel matrix. We show that approximate maximum likelihood learning of model…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-02-17 Artem Artemev , David R. Burt , Mark van der Wilk

This paper reviews minimax best equivariant estimation in these invariant estimation problems: a location parameter, a scale parameter and a (Wishart) covariance matrix. We briefly review development of the best equivariant estimator as a…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-10-05 Yuzo Maruyama , William E. Strawderman

The paper considers model selection in regression under the additional structural constraints on admissible models where the number of potential predictors might be even larger than the available sample size. We develop a Bayesian formalism…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-02-19 Felix Abramovich , Vadim Grinshtein

Consider a $N\times n$ random matrix $Z_n=(Z^n_{j_1 j_2})$ where the individual entries are a realization of a properly rescaled stationary gaussian random field. The purpose of this article is to study the limiting empirical distribution…

概率论 · 数学 2007-06-13 W. Hachem , P. Loubaton , J. Najim

We provide two main contributions in PAC-Bayesian theory for domain adaptation where the objective is to learn, from a source distribution, a well-performing majority vote on a different, but related, target distribution. Firstly, we…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-11-19 Pascal Germain , Amaury Habrard , François Laviolette , Emilie Morvant

We develop two methods for the following fundamental statistical task: given an $\epsilon$-corrupted set of $n$ samples from a $d$-dimensional sub-Gaussian distribution, return an approximate top eigenvector of the covariance matrix. Our…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2020-06-15 Arun Jambulapati , Jerry Li , Kevin Tian

We consider nonparametric Bayesian estimation inference using a rescaled smooth Gaussian field as a prior for a multidimensional function. The rescaling is achieved using a Gamma variable and the procedure can be viewed as choosing an…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-08-26 A. W. van der Vaart , J. H. van Zanten

The goal of this paper is to show that a single robust estimator of the mean of a multivariate Gaussian distribution can enjoy five desirable properties. First, it is computationally tractable in the sense that it can be computed in a time…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-10-28 Arnak S. Dalalyan , Arshak Minasyan

Let $X=C+\mathrm{E}$ with a deterministic matrix $C\in\R^{M\times M}$ and $\mathrm{E}$ some centered Gaussian $M\times M$-matrix whose entries are independent with variance $\sigma^2$. In the present work, the accuracy of reduced-rank…

概率论 · 数学 2012-05-08 Angelika Rohde

The core of generalization theory was developed for independent observations. Some PAC and PAC-Bayes bounds are available for data that exhibit a temporal dependence. However, there are constants in these bounds that depend on properties of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-12 Vahe Karagulyan , Pierre Alquier

For normal canonical models, and more generally a vast array of general spherically symmetric location-scale models with a residual vector, we consider estimating the (univariate) location parameter when it is lower bounded. We provide…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-07-24 Mohammad Jafari Jozani , Eric Marchand , William Strawderman

In this paper, we derive a PAC-Bayes bound on the generalisation gap, in a supervised time-series setting for a special class of discrete-time non-linear dynamical systems. This class includes stable recurrent neural networks (RNN), and the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-12 Deividas Eringis , John Leth , Zheng-Hua Tan , Rafal Wisniewski , Mihaly Petreczky

The design of experiments involves a compromise between covariate balance and robustness. This paper provides a formalization of this trade-off and describes an experimental design that allows experimenters to navigate it. The design is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-16 Christopher Harshaw , Fredrik Sävje , Daniel Spielman , Peng Zhang

The problem of low-rank matrix estimation recently received a lot of attention due to challenging applications. A lot of work has been done on rank-penalized methods and convex relaxation, both on the theoretical and applied sides. However,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-06-27 Pierre Alquier