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We consider the maximum entropy Markov chain inference approach to characterize the collective statistics of neuronal spike trains, focusing on the statistical properties of the inferred model. We review large deviations techniques useful…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2018-08-15 Rodrigo Cofre , Cesar Maldonado , Fernando Rosas

The Metropolis-Hastings algorithm is a fundamental Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method for sampling and inference. With the advent of Big Data, distributed and parallel variants of MCMC methods are attracting increased attention. In this…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2019-07-16 Weiming Feng , Thomas P. Hayes , Yitong Yin

One of the most widely used samplers in practice is the component-wise Metropolis-Hastings (CMH) sampler that updates in turn the components of a vector valued Markov chain using accept-reject moves generated from a proposal distribution.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-03-22 Jinyoung Yang , Evgeny Levi , Radu V. Craiu , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

We consider state-aggregation schemes for Markov chains from an information-theoretic perspective. Specifically, we consider aggregating the states of a Markov chain such that the mutual information of the aggregated states separated by T…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-08-23 Mauro Faccin , Michael T. Schaub , Jean-Charles Delvenne

We present two data-driven procedures to estimate the transition density of an homogeneous Markov chain. The first yields to a piecewise constant estimator on a suitable random partition. By using an Hellinger-type loss, we establish…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-10-19 Mathieu Sart

We derive the first explicit bounds for the spectral gap of a random walk Metropolis algorithm on $R^d$ for any value of the proposal variance, which when scaled appropriately recovers the correct $d^{-1}$ dependence on dimension for…

概率论 · 数学 2024-09-25 Christophe Andrieu , Anthony Lee , Sam Power , Andi Q. Wang

Couplings play a central role in the analysis of Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms and appear increasingly often in the algorithms themselves, e.g. in convergence diagnostics, parallelization, and variance reduction techniques. Existing…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-10-20 John O'Leary , Guanyang Wang , Pierre E. Jacob

We consider a unified framework of sequential change-point detection and hypothesis testing modeled by means of hidden Markov chains. One observes a sequence of random variables whose distributions are functionals of a hidden Markov chain.…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2013-12-13 Savas Dayanik , Kazutoshi Yamazaki

We consider a Brownian particle diffusing in a one dimensional interval with absorbing end points. We study the ramifications when such motion is interrupted and restarted from the same initial configuration. We provide a comprehensive…

统计力学 · 物理学 2019-04-01 Arnab Pal , V. V. Prasad

Simulating realistic wet and dry spells is central in weather generators and climate-impact studies. While finite-order Markov chains are standard, they often fail to reproduce persistent dry conditions due to their inherent subexponential…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-21 Antoine Doizé , Denis Allard , Philippe Naveau , Olivier Wintenberger

An aperiodic and irreducible Markov chain on a finite state space converges to its stationary distribution. When convergence to equilibrium is measured by total variation distance, there exists an optimal coupling and a maximal coupling…

概率论 · 数学 2015-04-01 Agnes Coquio

In this brief note, we find formulas for the distribution and the transition probability matrices of a stochastic process described as a time-reversion in a finite time window of a Markov chain, with cluster observation of the Markov state…

We present an algorithm for the problem of linear distributed estimation of a parameter in a network where a set of agents are successively taking measurements. The approach considers a roaming token in a network that carries the estimate,…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2018-07-05 Lucas Balthazar , João Xavier , Bruno Sinopoli

The present paper focuses on the problem of sampling from a given target distribution $\pi$ defined on some general state space. To this end, we introduce a novel class of non-reversible Markov chains, each chain being defined on an…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-05-16 Randal Douc , Alain Durmus , Aurélien Enfroy , Jimmy Olsson

Systems of interacting continuous-time Markov chains are a powerful model class, but inference is typically intractable in high dimensional settings. Auxiliary information, such as noisy observations, is typically only available at discrete…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-04-21 Giosue Migliorini , Padhraic Smyth

Motivated by the physics of strings and branes, we develop a class of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms involving extended objects. Starting from a collection of parallel Metropolis-Hastings (MH) samplers, we place them on an…

计算物理 · 物理学 2017-09-13 Jonathan J. Heckman , Jeffrey G. Bernstein , Ben Vigoda

For a Markov chain $Y$ with values in a Polish space, consider the entrance chain, obtained by sampling $Y$ at the moments when it enters a fixed set $A$ from its complement $A^c$. Similarly, consider the exit chain, obtained by sampling…

概率论 · 数学 2025-05-15 Aleksandar Mijatovic , Vladislav Vysotsky

We study limit theorems for partial sums of instantaneous functions of a homogeneous Markov chain on a general state space. The summands are heavy-tailed and the limits are stable distributions. The conditions imposed on the transition…

概率论 · 数学 2018-08-14 Mohamed El Machkouri , Adam Jakubowski , Dalibor Volný

We study the problem of learning the transition matrices of a set of Markov chains from a single stream of observations on each chain. We assume that the Markov chains are ergodic but otherwise unknown. The learner can sample Markov chains…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-11-14 Mohammad Sadegh Talebi , Odalric-Ambrym Maillard

This paper considers the optimal scaling problem for high-dimensional random walk Metropolis algorithms for densities which are differentiable in Lp mean but which may be irregular at some points (like the Laplace density for example)…

概率论 · 数学 2016-04-25 Alain Durmus , Sylvain Le Corff , Eric Moulines , Gareth O. Roberts