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Inverse problems play a key role in modern image/signal processing methods. However, since they are generally ill-conditioned or ill-posed due to lack of observations, their solutions may have significant intrinsic uncertainty. Analysing…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-09-09 Xiaohao Cai , Marcelo Pereyra , Jason D. McEwen

Quantitative information flow analyses (QIF) are a class of techniques for measuring the amount of confidential information leaked by a program to its public outputs. Shannon entropy is an important method to quantify the amount of leakage…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-02-19 Yong Lai , Haolong Tong , Zhenghang Xu , Minghao Yin

Large language models (LLMs) have transformed natural language processing, but their reliable deployment requires effective uncertainty quantification (UQ). Existing UQ methods are often heuristic and lack a probabilistic interpretation.…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-11-06 Haoyi Song , Ruihan Ji , Naichen Shi , Fan Lai , Raed Al Kontar

Quantifying the impact of parametric and model-form uncertainty on the predictions of stochastic models is a key challenge in many applications. Previous work has shown that the relative entropy rate is an effective tool for deriving…

概率论 · 数学 2020-09-04 Jeremiah Birrell , Markos A. Katsoulakis , Luc Rey-Bellet

Inverse problems in physical or biological sciences often involve recovering an unknown parameter that is random. The sought-after quantity is a probability distribution of the unknown parameter, that produces data that aligns with…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-10-02 Qin Li , Maria Oprea , Li Wang , Yunan Yang

Stochastic inverse problems considered in this article consist of estimating the probability distributions of intrinsically random inputs of computer models. These estimations are based on observable outputs affected by model noise, and…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-03-17 Nicolas Bousquet , Mélanie Blazère , Thomas Cerbelaud

The Bayesian inversion method demonstrates significant potential for solving inverse problems, enabling both point estimation and uncertainty quantification (UQ). However, Bayesian maximum a posteriori (MAP) estimation may become unstable…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-06-04 Ruibiao Song , Liying Zhang

In this article we present very intuitive, easy to follow, yet mathematically rigorous, approach to the so called data fitting process. Rather than minimizing the distance between measured and simulated data points, we prefer to find such…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2017-08-07 Marek W. Gutowski

This paper concerns the study of optimal (supremum and infimum) uncertainty bounds for systems where the input (or prior) probability measure is only partially/imperfectly known (e.g., with only statistical moments and/or on a coarse…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-02 Xingsheng Sun , Burigede Liu

We develop a weakly intrusive framework to simulate the propagation of uncertainty in solutions of generic hyperbolic partial differential equation systems on graph-connected domains with nodal coupling and boundary conditions. The method…

数值分析 · 数学 2022-04-14 Svetlana Tokareva , Anatoly Zlotnik , Vitaliy Gyrya

A framework is developed based on different uncertainty quantification (UQ) techniques in order to assess validation and verification (V&V) metrics in computational physics problems, in general, and computational fluid dynamics (CFD), in…

计算物理 · 物理学 2020-07-15 Saleh Rezaeiravesh , Ricardo Vinuesa , Philipp Schlatter

Bayesian experimental design involves the optimal allocation of resources in an experiment, with the aim of optimising cost and performance. For implicit models, where the likelihood is intractable but sampling from the model is possible,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-02-26 Steven Kleinegesse , Michael Gutmann

We consider optimal design of infinite-dimensional Bayesian linear inverse problems governed by partial differential equations that contain secondary reducible model uncertainties, in addition to the uncertainty in the inversion parameters.…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-06-23 Alen Alexanderian , Noemi Petra , Georg Stadler , Isaac Sunseri

Optimal experimental design (OED) plays an important role in the problem of identifying uncertainty with limited experimental data. In many applications, we seek to minimize the uncertainty of a predicted quantity of interest (QoI) based on…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-01-06 Keyi Wu , Peng Chen , Omar Ghattas

Effective quantification of uncertainty is an essential and still missing step towards a greater adoption of deep-learning approaches in different applications, including mission-critical ones. In particular, investigations on the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-14 Marco Forgione , Dario Piga

Simulating many-body quantum systems is a promising task for quantum computers. However, the depth of most algorithms, such as product formulas, scales with the number of terms in the Hamiltonian, and can therefore be challenging to…

量子物理 · 物理学 2023-04-19 Oriel Kiss , Michele Grossi , Alessandro Roggero

Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is essential in probabilistic machine learning models, particularly for assessing the reliability of predictions. In this paper, we present a systematic framework for estimating both epistemic and aleatoric…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-09-11 Marzieh Ajirak , Anand Ravishankar , Petar M. Djuric

We address functional uncertainty quantification for ill-posed inverse problems where it is possible to evaluate a possibly rank-deficient forward model, the observation noise distribution is known, and there are known parameter…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-06 Michael Stanley , Pau Batlle , Pratik Patil , Houman Owhadi , Mikael Kuusela

The problem of estimating certain distributions over $\{0,1\}^d$ is considered here. The distribution represents a quantum system of $d$ qubits, where there are non-trivial dependencies between the qubits. A maximum entropy approach is…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-03-08 Ryan Bennink , Ajay Jasra , Kody J. H. Law , Pavel Lougovski

Performance variability management is an active research area in high-performance computing (HPC). We focus on input/output (I/O) variability. To study the performance variability, computer scientists often use grid-based designs (GBDs) to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-01-25 Yueyao Wang , Li Xu , Yili Hong , Rong Pan , Tyler Chang , Thomas Lux , Jon Bernard , Layne Watson , Kirk Cameron