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This paper studies identification of average treatment effects in a panel data setting. It introduces a novel nonparametric factor model and proves identification of average treatment effects. The identification proof is based on the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-03-26 Susan Athey , Guido Imbens

This paper introduces a new fixed effects estimator for linear panel data models with clustered time patterns of unobserved heterogeneity. The method avoids non-convex and combinatorial optimization by combining a preliminary consistent…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-04-21 Martin Mugnier

This paper introduces a novel approach for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects of binary treatment in panel data, particularly focusing on short panel data with large cross-sectional data and observed confoundings. In contrast to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-05 Meijia Wang , Ignacio Martinez , P. Richard Hahn

Can stated preferences help in counterfactual analyses of actual choice? This research proposes a novel approach to researchers who have access to both stated choices in hypothetical scenarios and actual choices. The key idea is to use…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-07-27 Romuald Meango

Staggered treatment adoption arises in the evaluation of policy impact and implementation in many settings, including both randomized stepped-wedge trials and non-randomized quasi-experiments with panel data. In both settings, getting an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-14 Lee Kennedy-Shaffer

This paper concerns robust inference on average treatment effects following model selection. In the selection on observables framework, we show how to construct confidence intervals based on a doubly-robust estimator that are robust to…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-04-13 Max H. Farrell

In most medical research, the average treatment effect is used to evaluate a treatment's performance. However, precision medicine requires knowledge of individual treatment effects: What is the difference between a unit's measurement under…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-08-30 Mingyang Cai , Stef van Buuren , Gerko Vink

Path-specific effects are a broad class of mediated effects from an exposure to an outcome via one or more causal pathways with respect to some subset of intermediate variables. The majority of the literature concerning estimation of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-10-06 Caleb H. Miles , Ilya Shpitser , Phyllis Kanki , Seema Meloni , Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen

Linear regressions with period and group fixed effects are widely used to estimate policies' effects: 26 of the 100 most cited papers published by the American Economic Review from 2015 to 2019 estimate such regressions. It has recently…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-06-22 Clément de Chaisemartin , Xavier D'Haultfœuille

Understanding causal mechanisms is crucial for explaining and generalizing empirical phenomena. Causal mediation analysis offers statistical techniques to quantify the mediation effects. Although numerous methods have been developed for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-12 Jiawei Fu

Empirical studies in various social sciences often involve categorical outcomes with inherent ordering, such as self-evaluations of subjective well-being and self-assessments in health domains. While ordered choice models, such as the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-08-08 Riccardo Di Francesco

Instrumental variable methods are widely used in medical and social science research to draw causal conclusions when the treatment and outcome are confounded by unmeasured confounding variables. One important feature of such studies is that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-05-25 Bo Zhang , Siyu Heng , Emily J. MacKay , Ting Ye

Understanding treatment effect heterogeneity is vital for scientific and policy research. However, identifying and evaluating heterogeneous treatment effects pose significant challenges due to the typically unknown subgroup structure.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-05 Kwangho Kim , Jisu Kim , Larry A. Wasserman , Edward H. Kennedy

We develop a general estimation and inference procedure for the common parameters in linear panel data regression models with nonparametric two-way specification of unobserved heterogeneity. The procedure takes as input any first-step…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-05-08 Hugo Freeman , Dennis Kristensen

This paper examines the identification and estimation of heterogeneous treatment effects in event studies, emphasizing the importance of both lagged dependent variables and treatment effect heterogeneity. We show that omitting lagged…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-09-18 Irene Botosaru , Laura Liu

In the absence of randomized controlled and natural experiments, it is necessary to balance the distributions of (observable) covariates of the treated and control groups in order to obtain an unbiased estimate of a causal effect of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-02 Martin Cousineau , Vedat Verter , Susan A. Murphy , Joelle Pineau

This paper studies identification and estimation of average causal effects, such as average marginal or treatment effects, in fixed effects logit models with short panels. Relating the identified set of these effects to an extremal moment…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-12-20 Laurent Davezies , Xavier D'Haultfœuille , Louise Laage

Cross-level interactions among fixed effects in linear mixed models (also known as multilevel models) are often complicated by the variances stemming from random effects and residuals. When these variances change across clusters, tests of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-18 Ting Wang , Edgar C. Merkle , Joaquin A. Anguera , Brandon M. Turner

Interference occurs when a unit's treatment (or exposure) affects another unit's outcome. In some settings, units may be grouped into clusters such that it is reasonable to assume that interference, if present, only occurs between…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-24 Chanhwa Lee , Donglin Zeng , Michael G. Hudgens

Statistical models that include random effects are commonly used to analyze longitudinal and correlated data, often with strong and parametric assumptions about the random effects distribution. There is marked disagreement in the literature…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-01-11 Charles E. McCulloch , John M. Neuhaus