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Interventional causal models describe several joint distributions over some variables used to describe a system, one for each intervention setting. They provide a formal recipe for how to move between the different joint distributions and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-08-06 Eigil F. Rischel , Sebastian Weichwald

Spatial models for areal data are often constructed such that all pairs of adjacent regions are assumed to have near-identical spatial autocorrelation. In practice, data can exhibit dependence structures more complicated than can be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-04 Michael F. Christensen , Peter D. Hoff

Linear structural equation models relate the components of a random vector using linear interdependencies and Gaussian noise. Each such model can be naturally associated with a mixed graph whose vertices correspond to the components of the…

The prevalence of multivariate space-time data collected from monitoring networks and satellites, or generated from numerical models, has brought much attention to multivariate spatio-temporal statistical models, where the covariance…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-14 Huang Huang , Ying Sun , Marc G. Genton

A social system is susceptible to perturbation when its collective properties depend sensitively on a few pivotal components. Using the information geometry of minimal models from statistical physics, we develop an approach to identify…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-07-06 Edward D. Lee , Daniel M. Katz , Michael J. Bommarito , Paul Ginsparg

We report the existence of deterministic patterns in plots showing the relationship between the mean and the Fano factor (ratio of variance and mean) of stochastic count data. These patterns are found in a wide variety of datasets,…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2024-05-29 Zhixing Cao , Yiling Wang , Ramon Grima

Heteroscedasticity -- where the variance of a variable changes with other variables -- is pervasive in real data, and elucidating why it arises from the perspective of statistical moments is crucial in scientific knowledge discovery and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-28 Yoichi Chikahara

Context: Statistical properties of the cosmic density fields are to a large extent encoded in the shape of the one-point density probability distribution functions (PDF). In order to successfully exploit such observables, a detailed…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2022-07-20 Francis Bernardeau

Latent variable models are popularly used to measure latent factors (e.g., abilities and personalities) from large-scale assessment data. Beyond understanding these latent factors, the covariate effect on responses controlling for latent…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-12 Jing Ouyang , Chengyu Cui , Kean Ming Tan , Gongjun Xu

Bayesian nonparametric regression under a rescaled Gaussian process prior offers smoothness-adaptive function estimation with near minimax-optimal error rates. Hierarchical extensions of this approach, equipped with stochastic variable…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-12-15 Sheng Jiang , Surya T. Tokdar

Locally weighted regression was created as a nonparametric learning method that is computationally efficient, can learn from very large amounts of data and add data incrementally. An interesting feature of locally weighted regression is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-02-05 Franziska Meier , Philipp Hennig , Stefan Schaal

In this paper, we propose a general framework for designing sensing matrix $\boldsymbol{A} \in \mathbb{R}^{d\times p}$, for estimation of sparse covariance matrix from compressed measurements of the form $\boldsymbol{y} =…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2022-11-16 Muralikrishnna G. Sethuraman , Hang Zhang , Faramarz Fekri

Compositional data have two unique characteristics compared to typical multivariate data: the observed values are nonnegative and their summand is exactly one. To reflect these characteristics, a specific regularized regression model with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-12-24 Jong-June Jeon , Yongdai Kim , Sungho Won , Hosik Choi

In this paper we consider the axiomatic characterization of information and certainty measures in a unified way. We present the general axiomatic system which captures the common properties of a large number of the measures previously…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2015-06-17 Velimir M. Ilic , Miomir S. Stankovic

We present a novel extension of multi-output Gaussian processes for handling heterogeneous outputs. We assume that each output has its own likelihood function and use a vector-valued Gaussian process prior to jointly model the parameters in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-01-04 Pablo Moreno-Muñoz , Antonio Artés-Rodríguez , Mauricio A. Álvarez

Many economic variables feature changes in their conditional mean and volatility, and Time Varying Vector Autoregressive Models are often used to handle such complexity in the data. Unfortunately, when the number of series grows, they…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-01-19 G. Cubadda , S. Grassi , B. Guardabascio

In this paper, we consider a bidimensional autoregressive model of order 1 with $\alpha-$stable noise. Since in this case the classical measure of dependence known as the covariance function is not defined, the spatio-temporal dependence…

概率论 · 数学 2019-11-27 Aleksandra Grzesiek , Agnieszka Wyłomańska

Change point tests for abrupt changes in the mean of functional data, i.e., random elements in infinite-dimensional Hilbert spaces, are either based on dimension reduction techniques, e.g., based on principal components, or directly based…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-01-23 Claudia Kirch , Hedvika Ranošová , Martin Wendler

Estimation of mean and covariance functions is fundamental for functional data analysis. While this topic has been studied extensively in the literature, a key assumption is that there are enough data in the domain of interest to estimate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-09-01 Zhenhua Lin , Jane-Ling Wang , Qixian Zhong

Consider a high-dimensional linear regression problem, where the number of covariates is larger than the number of observations and the interest is in estimating the conditional variance of the response variable given the covariates. A…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-03-29 David Azriel