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A parametric theory of statistical inference is developed for the moderate deviation probability zone. The new approach to the proofs is based on the Taylor series expansion of the logarithm of the likelihood ratio based on the Hellinger…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-04-28 Mikhail Ermakov

We revisit the outlier hypothesis testing framework of Li \emph{et al.} (TIT 2014) and derive fundamental limits for the optimal test under the generalized Neyman-Pearson criterion. In outlier hypothesis testing, one is given multiple…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2022-02-15 Lin Zhou , Yun Wei , Alfred Hero

This paper considers the problem of estimating a power-law degree distribution of an undirected network using sampled data. Although power-law degree distributions are ubiquitous in nature, the widely used parametric methods for estimating…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2021-03-09 Buddhika Nettasinghe , Vikram Krishnamurthy

This paper considers estimation and inference in semiparametric econometric models. Standard procedures estimate the model based on an independence restriction that induces a minimum distance between a joint cumulative distribution function…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-12-09 Zhengyuan Gao , Antonio Galvao

M-estimators offer simple robust alternatives to the maximum likelihood estimator. Much of the robustness literature, however, has focused on the problems of location, location-scale and regression estimation rather than on estimation of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-06-20 Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla , Somabha Mukherjee , Ayanendranath Basu

In this paper, we consider a class of nonlinear regression problems without the assumption of being independent and identically distributed. We propose a correspondent mini-max problem for nonlinear regression and give a numerical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-04-16 Qing Xu , Xiaohua Xuan

We present a new method to propagate lower bounds on conditional probability distributions in conventional Bayesian networks. Our method guarantees to provide outer approximations of the exact lower bounds. A key advantage is that we can…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2012-05-14 Daniel Andrade , Bernhard Sick

We are interested in the problem of robust parametric estimation of a density from $n$ i.i.d. observations. By using a practice-oriented procedure based on robust tests, we build an estimator for which we establish non-asymptotic risk…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-03-31 Mathieu Sart

An extension of the Hawkes model where the productivity is variable is considered. In particular, the case is considered where each point may have its own productivity and a simple analytic formula is derived for the maximum likelihood…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-03-20 Frederic Paik Schoenberg

Conditional estimation given specific covariate values (i.e., local conditional estimation or functional estimation) is ubiquitously useful with applications in engineering, social and natural sciences. Existing data-driven non-parametric…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-10-13 Viet Anh Nguyen , Fan Zhang , Jose Blanchet , Erick Delage , Yinyu Ye

In the present paper, we characterize the behavior of supercritical branching processes in random environment with linear fractional offspring distributions, conditioned on having small, but positive values at some large generation. As it…

概率论 · 数学 2014-05-20 Christian Böinghoff

Tempered stable distributions are frequently used in financial applications (e.g., for option pricing) in which the tails of stable distributions would be too heavy. Given the non-explicit form of the probability density function,…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-07-08 Till Massing

In the era of big data, it is necessary to split extremely large data sets across multiple computing nodes and construct estimators using the distributed data. When designing distributed estimators, it is desirable to minimize the amount of…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-04-25 Azeem Zaman , Botond Szabó

This paper fortifies the recently introduced hierarchical-optimization recursive least squares (HO-RLS) against outliers which contaminate infrequently linear-regression models. Outliers are modeled as nuisance variables and are estimated…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-10-15 Konstantinos Slavakis , Sinjini Banerjee

Invariant Causal Prediction (Peters et al., 2016) is a technique for out-of-distribution generalization which assumes that some aspects of the data distribution vary across the training set but that the underlying causal mechanisms remain…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-30 Elan Rosenfeld , Pradeep Ravikumar , Andrej Risteski

This paper considers the regularized Tyler's scatter estimator for elliptical distributions, which has received considerable attention recently. Various types of shrinkage Tyler's estimators have been proposed in the literature and proved…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-06-22 Ying Sun , Prabhu Babu , Daniel P. Palomar

This article develops a general theory for minimum norm interpolating estimators and regularized empirical risk minimizers (RERM) in linear models in the presence of additive, potentially adversarial, errors. In particular, no conditions on…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-10-08 Geoffrey Chinot , Matthias Löffler , Sara van de Geer

A controlled branching process (CBP) is a modification of the standard Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson process in which the number of progenitors in each generation is determined by a random mechanism. We consider a CBP starting from a random…

概率论 · 数学 2024-04-26 González , M. , Martín-Chávez , P. , del Puerto , I

In a standard classification framework a set of trustworthy learning data are employed to build a decision rule, with the final aim of classifying unlabelled units belonging to the test set. Therefore, unreliable labelled observations,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-11-20 Andrea Cappozzo , Francesca Greselin , Thomas Brendan Murphy

Distributional regression aims to find the best candidate in a given parametric family of conditional distributions to model a given dataset. As each candidate in the distribution family can be identified by the corresponding distribution…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-05-18 Gitte Kremling , Gerhard Dikta