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Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) using jump-diffusion processes describe many natural phenomena at the microscopic level. Since they are commonly used to model economic and financial evolutions, the calibration and optimal control…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-05-08 Jan Bartsch , Alfio Borzi , Gabriele Ciaramella , Jan Reichle

A potent class of generative models known as Diffusion Probabilistic Models (DPMs) has become prominent. A forward diffusion process adds gradually noise to data, while a model learns to gradually denoise. Sampling from pre-trained DPMs is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-27 Martin Gonzalez , Nelson Fernandez , Thuy Tran , Elies Gherbi , Hatem Hajri , Nader Masmoudi

We present an explicit method for simulating stochastic differential equations (SDEs) that have variable diffusion coefficients and satisfy the detailed balance condition with respect to a known equilibrium density. In Tupper and Yang…

数值分析 · 数学 2014-06-27 Paul Tupper , Xin Yang

This article shows how to specify and construct a discrete, stochastic, continuous-time model specifically for ecological systems. The model is more broad than typical chemical kinetics models in two ways. First, using time-dependent hazard…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2015-06-30 Andrew J. Dolgert

Physical models with uncertain inputs are commonly represented as parametric partial differential equations (PDEs). That is, PDEs with inputs that are expressed as functions of parameters with an associated probability distribution.…

Marcus stochastic delay differential equations (SDDEs) are often used to model stochastic dynamical systems with memory in science and engineering. Since no infinitesimal generators exist for Marcus SDDEs due to the non-Markovian property,…

动力系统 · 数学 2021-02-23 Fang Yang , Xu Sun

We propose a framework for probabilistic forecasting of dynamical systems based on generative modeling. Given observations of the system state over time, we formulate the forecasting problem as sampling from the conditional distribution of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-29 Yifan Chen , Mark Goldstein , Mengjian Hua , Michael S. Albergo , Nicholas M. Boffi , Eric Vanden-Eijnden

We propose a novel framework for adaptively learning the time-evolving solutions of stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) using score-based diffusion models within a recursive Bayesian inference setting. SPDEs play a central…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-08-12 Toan Huynh , Ruth Lopez Fajardo , Guannan Zhang , Lili Ju , Feng Bao

This is an expository article on the score-based diffusion models, with a particular focus on the formulation via stochastic differential equations (SDE). After a gentle introduction, we discuss the two pillars in the diffusion modeling --…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-08 Wenpin Tang , Hanyang Zhao

In this work, we explore modeling change points in time-series data using neural stochastic differential equations (neural SDEs). We propose a novel model formulation and training procedure based on the variational autoencoder (VAE)…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-16 Yousef El-Laham , Zhongchang Sun , Haibei Zhu , Tucker Balch , Svitlana Vyetrenko

Accurately estimating latent velocity vector fields of atmospheric winds is crucial for understanding weather phenomena. Direct measurement of atmospheric winds is costly, especially in the upper atmosphere, so researchers attempt to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-06-12 Youssef Fahmy , Maria Laura Battagliola , Joseph Guinness

Current wind turbine simulations successfully use turbulence generating tools for modeling behavior. However, they lack the ability to reproduce variabilities in wind dynamics and inherent stochastic structures (like temporal and spatial…

数值分析 · 数学 2016-03-29 Qiang Guo , Daniel Rajewski , Eugene Takle , Baskar Ganapathysubramanian

The stochastic interpolant framework offers a powerful approach for constructing generative models based on ordinary differential equations (ODEs) or stochastic differential equations (SDEs) to transform arbitrary data distributions.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-29 Yuhao Liu , Yu Chen , Rui Hu , Longbo Huang

Recently, it has been shown in [Jentzen, A., M\"uller-Gronbach, T., and Yaroslavtseva, L., Commun. Math. Sci., 14, 2016] that there exists a system of autonomous stochastic differential equations (SDE) on the time interval $[0,T]$ with…

概率论 · 数学 2017-07-28 Thomas Müller-Gronbach , Larisa Yaroslavtseva

Stochastic differential equations provide a rich class of flexible generative models, capable of describing a wide range of spatio-temporal processes. A host of recent work looks to learn data-representing SDEs, using neural networks and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-10-12 Scott Cameron , Tyron Cameron , Arnu Pretorius , Stephen Roberts

Wind farms can be regarded as complex systems that are, on the one hand, coupled to the nonlinear, stochastic characteristics of weather and, on the other hand, strongly influenced by supervisory control mechanisms. One crucial problem in…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-01-22 Tobias Braun , Matthias Waechter , Joachim Peinke , Thomas Guhr

Macroscopic traffic flow is stochastic, but the physics-informed deep learning methods currently used in transportation literature embed deterministic PDEs and produce point-valued outputs; the stochasticity of the governing dynamics plays…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-03-11 Wuping Xin

We propose a statistical space-time model for predicting atmospheric wind speed based on deterministic numerical weather predictions and historical measurements. We consider a Gaussian multivariate space-time framework that combines…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-10-21 Julie Bessac , Emil Mihai Constantinescu , Mihai Anitescu

Accurate forecasting of spatiotemporal data remains challenging due to complex spatial dependencies and temporal dynamics. The inherent uncertainty and variability in such data often render deterministic models insufficient, prompting a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-05 Mingze Gong , Lei Chen , Jia Li

Wind has the potential to make a significant contribution to future energy resources. Locating the sources of this renewable energy on a global scale is however extremely challenging, given the difficulty to store very large data sets…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-10-03 Jaehong Jeong , Stefano Castruccio , Paola Crippa , Marc G. Genton