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Multiscale stochastic dynamical systems have been widely adopted to a variety of scientific and engineering problems due to their capability of depicting complex phenomena in many real world applications. This work is devoted to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-01-02 Lingyu Feng , Ting Gao , Min Dai , Jinqiao Duan

The time evolution of probability densities for solutions to stochastic differential equations (SDEs) without delay is usually described by Fokker-Planck equations, which require the adjoint of the infinitesimal generator for the solutions.…

动力系统 · 数学 2016-09-13 Yayun Zheng , Xu Sun

We introduce a novel paradigm for learning non-parametric drift and diffusion functions for stochastic differential equation (SDE). The proposed model learns to simulate path distributions that match observations with non-uniform time…

This work proposes stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) as a practical tool to replicate clustering effects of more detailed particle-based dynamics. Inspired by membrane-mediated receptor dynamics on cell surfaces, we…

Creating noise from data is easy; creating data from noise is generative modeling. We present a stochastic differential equation (SDE) that smoothly transforms a complex data distribution to a known prior distribution by slowly injecting…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-11 Yang Song , Jascha Sohl-Dickstein , Diederik P. Kingma , Abhishek Kumar , Stefano Ermon , Ben Poole

Climate change necessitates rapid expansion of renewable energy, with wind energy offering a scalable and low-impact solution. However, accurate prediction of wind loads and power generation remains challenging due to uncertainties in wind…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2026-04-30 Omar Sallam , Mirjam Fürth

Timeseries generated from a dynamical source can often be modeled as sample paths of a stochastic differential equation (SDE). The timeseries thus reflects the motion of a particle which flows along the direction provided by a drift /…

动力系统 · 数学 2025-11-03 Suddhasattwa Das

We consider a sequential decision making process, such as renewable energy trading or electrical production scheduling, whose outcome depends on the future realization of a random factor, such as a meteorological variable. We assume that…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2021-07-01 Peter Tankov , Laura Tinsi

The increasing interest in renewable energy, particularly in wind, has given rise to the necessity of accurate models for the generation of good synthetic wind speed data. Markov chains are often used with this purpose but better models are…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2012-09-10 Guglielmo D'Amico , Filippo Petroni , Flavio Prattico

Traditional deterministic subgrid-scale (SGS) models are often dissipative and unstable, especially in regions of chaotic and turbulent flow. Ongoing work in climate science and ocean modeling motivates the use of stochastic SGS models for…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-04-15 Emily Williams , David Darmofal

A systematic Bayesian framework is developed for physics constrained parameter inference ofstochastic differential equations (SDE) from partial observations. The physical constraints arederived for stochastic climate models but are…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2016-11-25 Daniel Peavoy , Christian L. E. Franzke , Gareth O. Roberts

The solar wind speed at Earth is one of the most important parameters regarding the effects of space weather on society. Thus far, most approaches for predicting the solar wind speed produce a single-value time series without uncertainty,…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2026-03-13 Daniel E. da Silva , Yash Parlikar , Shaela I. Jones , Charles N. Arge

We present an algorithm for the efficient sampling of conditional paths of stochastic differential equations (SDEs). While unconditional path sampling of SDEs is straightforward, albeit expensive for high dimensional systems of SDEs,…

数值分析 · 数学 2011-02-11 Panagiotis Stinis

Score-based modeling through stochastic differential equations (SDEs) has provided a new perspective on diffusion models, and demonstrated superior performance on continuous data. However, the gradient of the log-likelihood function, i.e.,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-07 Haoran Sun , Lijun Yu , Bo Dai , Dale Schuurmans , Hanjun Dai

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are one of the most important representations of dynamical systems. They are notable for the ability to include a deterministic component of the system and a stochastic one to represent random…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-05-19 Noura Dridi , Lucas Drumetz , Ronan Fablet

Dynamical systems that are subject to continuous uncertain fluctuations can be modelled using Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs). Controlling such system results in solving path constrained SDEs. Broadly, these problems fall under the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-06-16 Sumit Suthar , Soumyendu Raha

We address the weak numerical solution of stochastic differential equations driven by independent Brownian motions (SDEs for short). This paper develops a new methodology to design adaptive strategies for determining automatically the…

概率论 · 数学 2023-02-10 Carlos M. Mora , Juan Carlos Jimenez , Monica Selva

Learning probabilistic models that can estimate the density of a given set of samples, and generate samples from that density, is one of the fundamental challenges in unsupervised machine learning. We introduce a new generative model based…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-11 Siavash A. Bigdeli , Geng Lin , Tiziano Portenier , L. Andrea Dunbar , Matthias Zwicker

Stochastic discriminative EM (sdEM) is an online-EM-type algorithm for discriminative training of probabilistic generative models belonging to the exponential family. In this work, we introduce and justify this algorithm as a stochastic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-04-05 Andres R. Masegosa

Spatially distributed problems are often approximately modelled in terms of partial differential equations (PDEs) for appropriate coarse-grained quantities (e.g. concentrations). The derivation of accurate such PDEs starting from finer…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2009-11-13 Liang Qiao , Radek Erban , C. T. Kelley , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis