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We consider the segmentation problem of Poisson and negative binomial (i.e. overdispersed Poisson) rate distributions. In segmentation, an important issue remains the choice of the number of segments. To this end, we propose a penalized…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-03-19 Alice Cleynen , Emilie Lebarbier

The pseudo-observations approach has been gaining popularity as a method to estimate covariate effects on censored survival data. It is used regularly to estimate covariate effects on quantities such as survival probabilities, restricted…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-06 Yael Travis-Lumer , Micha Mandel , Rebecca A. Betensky

Suppose that a compound Poisson process is observed discretely in time and assume that its jump distribution is supported on the set of natural numbers. In this paper we propose a non-parametric Bayesian approach to estimate the intensity…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-05-21 Shota Gugushvili , Ester Mariucci , Frank van der Meulen

Bimodal truncated count distributions are frequently observed in aggregate survey data and in user ratings when respondents are mixed in their opinion. They also arise in censored count data, where the highest category might create an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-01-24 Pragya Sur , Galit Shmueli , Smarajit Bose , Paromita Dubey

In this paper, we present a method for factor analysis of discrete data. This is accomplished by fitting a dependent Poisson model with a factor structure. To be able to analyze ordinal data, we also consider a truncated Poisson…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-03-13 Rolf Larsson

Estimating causal effects from large experimental and observational data has become increasingly prevalent in both industry and research. The bootstrap is an intuitive and powerful technique used to construct standard errors and confidence…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-07 Matthew Kosko , Lin Wang , Michele Santacatterina

In a Cox model, the partial likelihood, as the product of a series of conditional probabilities, is used to estimate the regression coefficients. In practice, those conditional probabilities are approximated by risk score ratios based on a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-27 Youngjin Cho , Yili Hong , Pang Du

Testing the independence between random vectors is a fundamental problem in statistics. Distance correlation, a recently popular dependence measure, is universally consistent for testing independence against all distributions with finite…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-22 Yuwei Ke , Hok Kan Ling , Yanglei Song

Reliably measuring the collinearity of bivariate data is crucial in statistics, particularly for time-series analysis or ongoing studies in which incoming observations can significantly impact current collinearity estimates. Leveraging…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-11 Marc Harary

In this article, we investigate posterior convergence of nonparametric binary and Poisson regression under possible model misspecification, assuming general stochastic process prior with appropriate properties. Our model setup and objective…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-05-04 Debashis Chatterjee , Sourabh Bhattacharya

The Poisson distribution is the default choice of likelihood for probabilistic models of count data. However, due to the equidispersion contraint of the Poisson, such models may have predictive uncertainty that is artificially inflated.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-15 Jimmy Lederman , Aaron Schein

We investigate statistical inference across time scales. We take as toy model the estimation of the intensity of a discretely observed compound Poisson process with symmetric Bernoulli jumps. We have data at different time scales:…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-06-07 Céline Duval , Marc Hoffmann

In this paper we develop a very general class of bivariate discrete distributions. The basic idea is very simple. The marginals are obtained by taking the random geometric sum of a baseline distribution function. The proposed class of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-05-22 Debasis Kundu

A Poisson Binomial distribution over $n$ variables is the distribution of the sum of $n$ independent Bernoullis. We provide a sample near-optimal algorithm for testing whether a distribution $P$ supported on $\{0,...,n\}$ to which we have…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2014-10-15 Jayadev Acharya , Constantinos Daskalakis

Cross-validation is a widely used technique for evaluating the performance of prediction models, ranging from simple binary classification to complex precision medicine strategies. It helps correct for optimism bias in error estimates,…

We propose two classes of nonparametric point estimators of $\theta=P(X<Y)$ in the case where $(X,Y)$ are paired, possibly dependent, absolutely continuous random variables. The proposed estimators are based on nonparametric estimators of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-03-27 J. A. Montoya , F. J. Rubio

Labelling data is a major practical bottleneck in training and testing classifiers. Given a collection of unlabelled data points, we address how to select which subset to label to best estimate test metrics such as accuracy, $F_1$ score or…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-09-27 Emine Yilmaz , Peter Hayes , Raza Habib , Jordan Burgess , David Barber

The covariance of two random variables measures the average joint deviations from their respective means. We generalise this well-known measure by replacing the means with other statistical functionals such as quantiles, expectiles, or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-22 Tobias Fissler , Marc-Oliver Pohle

This work is motivated by the analysis of ecological interaction networks. Poisson stochastic blockmodels are widely used in this field to decipher the structure that underlies a weighted network, while accounting for covariate effects.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-07-24 Sophie Donnet , Stéphane Robin

Recently there has been much interest in data that, in statistical language, may be described as having a large crossed and severely unbalanced random effects structure. Such data sets arise for recommender engines and information retrieval…

应用统计 · 统计学 2007-12-18 Art B. Owen