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Method of parameterizing and smoothing the unknown underling distributions using Bernstein polynomials is proposed, verified and investigated. Any distribution with bounded and smooth enough density can be approximated by the proposed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-06-23 Zhong Guan

Bayesian nonparametric regression under a rescaled Gaussian process prior offers smoothness-adaptive function estimation with near minimax-optimal error rates. Hierarchical extensions of this approach, equipped with stochastic variable…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-12-15 Sheng Jiang , Surya T. Tokdar

We address the problem of learning an unknown smooth function and its derivatives from noisy pointwise evaluations under the supremum norm. While classical nonparametric regression provides a strong theoretical foundation, traditional…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-10 Davide Maran , Marcello Restelli

In a regression model, prediction is typically performed after model selection. The large variability in the model selection makes the prediction unstable. Thus, it is essential to reduce the variability in model selection and improve…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-04-11 Wataru Yoshida , Kei Hirose

Many statistical problems include model parameters that are defined as the solutions to optimization sub-problems. These include classical approaches such as profile likelihood as well as modern applications involving flow networks or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-17 Cheng Zeng , Yaozhi Yang , Jason Xu , Leo L Duan

We develop a semiparametric Bayesian approach for estimating the mean response in a missing data model with binary outcomes and a nonparametrically modelled propensity score. Equivalently we estimate the causal effect of a treatment,…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-09-23 Kolyan Ray , Aad van der Vaart

A widely used method to create a continuous representation of a discrete data-set is regression analysis. When the regression model is not based on a mathematical description of the physics underlying the data, heuristic techniques play a…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-07-18 Giovanni Mana , Paolo Alberto Giuliano Albo , Simona Lago

Gaussian process regression is used throughout statistics and machine learning for prediction and uncertainty quantification. A Gaussian process is specified by its mean and covariance functions. Many covariance functions, including…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-10-28 Toni Karvonen , François Bachoc

Completely automatic and adaptive non-parametric inference is a pie in the sky. The frequentist approach, best exemplified by the kernel estimators, has excellent asymptotic characteristics but it is very sensitive to the choice of…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Carlos C. Rodriguez

This paper considers the problem of regression over distributions, which is becoming increasingly important in machine learning. Existing approaches often ignore the geometry of the probability space or are computationally expensive. To…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-31 Maksim Maslov , Alexander Kugaevskikh , Matthew Ivanov

We propose a two-step pseudo-maximum likelihood procedure for semiparametric single-index regression models where the conditional variance is a known function of the regression and an additional parameter. The Poisson single-index…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-04-27 Marian Hristache , Weiyu Li , Valentin Patilea

In a smooth semiparametric estimation problem, the marginal posterior for the parameter of interest is expected to be asymptotically normal and satisfy frequentist criteria of optimality if the model is endowed with a suitable prior. It is…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-05-30 P. J. Bickel , B. J. K. Kleijn

We consider the nonparametric regression problem with multiple predictors and an additive error, where the regression function is assumed to be coordinatewise nondecreasing. We propose a Bayesian approach to make an inference on the…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-11-24 Kang Wang , Subhashis Ghosal

Randomized smoothing has established state-of-the-art provable robustness against $\ell_2$ norm adversarial attacks with high probability. However, the introduced Gaussian data augmentation causes a severe decrease in natural accuracy. We…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-12-01 Ching-Chia Kao , Jhe-Bang Ko , Chun-Shien Lu

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are used to model dynamic systems appearing in engineering, physics, biomedical sciences and many other fields. These equations contain unknown parameters, say $\bm\theta$ of physical significance…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-11-05 Prithwish Bhaumik , Subhashis Ghosal

We study the foundations of variational inference, which frames posterior inference as an optimisation problem, for probabilistic programming. The dominant approach for optimisation in practice is stochastic gradient descent. In particular,…

编程语言 · 计算机科学 2023-01-10 Basim Khajwal , C. -H. Luke Ong , Dominik Wagner

We consider Bayesian inverse problems arising in data assimilation for dynamical systems governed by partial and stochastic partial differential equations. The space-time dependent field is inferred jointly with static parameters of the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-03-20 Baptiste Simandoux , Nikolas Kantas , Dan Crisan

In many applications there is interest in estimating the relation between a predictor and an outcome when the relation is known to be monotone or otherwise constrained due to the physical processes involved. We consider one such…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-12-23 Ander Wilson , Jessica Tryner , Christian L'Orange , John Volckens

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are used to model dynamic systems appearing in engineering, physics, biomedical sciences and many other fields. These equations contain unknown parameters, say $\theta$ of physical significance which…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-03-05 Prithwish Bhaumik , Subhashis Ghosal

High-dimensional linear models have been widely studied, but the developments in high-dimensional generalized linear models, or GLMs, have been slower. In this paper, we propose an empirical or data-driven prior leading to an empirical…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-07-09 Yiqi Tang , Ryan Martin
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