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We describe a new approach to estimating relative risks in time-to-event prediction problems with censored data in a fully parametric manner. Our approach does not require making strong assumptions of constant proportional hazard of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-10 Chirag Nagpal , Xinyu Rachel Li , Artur Dubrawski

Proportional hazards are a common assumption when designing confirmatory clinical trials in oncology. With the emergence of immunotherapy and novel targeted therapies, departure from the proportional hazard assumption is not rare in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-08-27 José L. Jiménez

Randomized Controlled Trials (RCT) are the current gold standards to empirically measure the effect of a new drug. However, they may be of limited size and resorting to complementary non-randomized data, referred to as observational, is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-11 Ahmed Boughdiri , Julie Josse , Erwan Scornet

When modelling competing risks survival data, several techniques have been proposed in both the statistical and machine learning literature. State-of-the-art methods have extended classical approaches with more flexible assumptions that can…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-13 Karla Monterrubio-Gómez , Nathan Constantine-Cooke , Catalina A. Vallejos

Probabilistic Regression Trees (PRTrees) generalize traditional decision trees by incorporating probability functions that associate each data point with different regions of the tree, providing smooth decisions and continuous responses.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-07 Taiane Schaedler Prass , Alisson Silva Neimaier , Guilherme Pumi

In observational studies of survival time featuring a binary time-dependent treatment, the hazard ratio (an instantaneous measure) is often used to represent the treatment effect. However, investigators are often more interested in the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-05-21 Yun Li , Douglas E. Schaubel , Kevin He

We introduce a semi-parametric Bayesian model for survival analysis. The model is centred on a parametric baseline hazard, and uses a Gaussian process to model variations away from it nonparametrically, as well as dependence on covariates.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-11-04 Tamara Fernández , Nicolás Rivera , Yee Whye Teh

Frailty models are often the model of choice for heterogeneous survival data. A frailty model contains both random effects and fixed effects, with the random effects accommodating for the correlation in the data. Different estimation…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-09-17 Oodally Ajmal , Luc Duchateau , Estelle Kuhn

The software package $\texttt{mstate}$, in articulation with the package $\texttt{survival}$, provides not only a well-established multi-state survival analysis framework in R, but also one of the most complete, as it includes point and…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-01-21 Rui J. Costa , Moritz Gerstung

We extend a general approach to evaluating identification risk of synthesized variables in partially synthetic data. For multiple continuous synthesized variables, we introduce the use of a radius $r$ in the construction of identification…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-04-07 Ryan Hornby , Jingchen Hu

We consider a log-linear model for survival data, where both the location and scale parameters depend on covariates and the baseline hazard function is completely unspecified. This model provides the flexibility needed to capture many…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-01-16 Kevin Burke , Frank Eriksson , C. B. Pipper

Background: For RCTs with time-to-event endpoints, proportional hazard (PH) models are typically used to estimate treatment effects and logrank tests are commonly used for hypothesis testing. There is growing support for replacing this…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-10 Dominic Magirr , Craig Wang , Xinlei Deng , Tim Morris , Mark Baillie

In this paper, we mainly discuss the cure model with survival data. Different from the usual survival data with right-censoring, we incorporate the features of left-truncation and measurement error in covariates. Generally speaking,…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-01-01 Li-Pang Chen

The Cox regression model and its associated hazard ratio (HR) are frequently used for summarizing the effect of treatments on time to event outcomes. However, the HR's interpretation strongly depends on the assumed underlying survival…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-10 Pablo Martinez-Camblor , Todd A. MacKenzie , A. James O'Malley

In this paper we consider how to evaluate survival distribution predictions with measures of discrimination. This is a non-trivial problem as discrimination measures are the most commonly used in survival analysis and yet there is no clear…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-03-10 Raphael Sonabend , Andreas Bender , Sebastian Vollmer

Reliable uncertainty quantification is essential in survival prediction, particularly in clinical settings where erroneous decisions carry high risk. Conformal prediction has attracted substantial attention as it offers a model-agnostic…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-04 Jaeyoung Shin , Chi Hyun Lee , Sangwook Kang

Prognostic models in survival analysis are aimed at understanding the relationship between patients' covariates and the distribution of survival time. Traditionally, semi-parametric models, such as the Cox model, have been assumed. These…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-11-06 Denise Rava , Jelena Bradic

Different communities rely heavily on software, but use quite different software development practices. {\bf Objective}: We wanted to measure the state of the practice in the area of statistical software for psychology to understand how it…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2018-02-22 Spencer Smith , Yue Sun , Jacques Carette

In data sets with many more features than observations, independent screening based on all univariate regression models leads to a computationally convenient variable selection method. Recent efforts have shown that in the case of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2011-08-12 Anders Gorst-Rasmussen , Thomas H. Scheike

Meta-analyses of survival studies aim to reveal the variation of an effect measure of interest over different studies and present a meaningful summary. They must address between study heterogeneity in several dimensions and eliminate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-29 Joris Hautekiet , Elena-Sophie Prigge , Theresa Obermueller , Marc Arbyn , Els Goetghebeur