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This paper introduces Sparklen, a statistical learning toolkit for Hawkes processes in Python, designed to bring together efficiency and ease of use. The purpose of this package is to provide the Python community with a complete suite of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-31 Romain Edmond Lacoste

In this paper, we study a simple correlation-based strategy for estimating the unknown delay and amplitude of a signal based on a small number of noisy, randomly chosen frequency-domain samples. We model the output of this "compressive…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2016-11-17 Armin Eftekhari , Justin Romberg , Michael B. Wakin

The Linac Coherent Light Source changes configurations multiple times per day, necessitating fast tuning strategies to reduce setup time for successive experiments. To this end, we employ a Bayesian approach to transport optics tuning to…

The incorporation of systematic uncertainties into confidence interval calculations has been addressed recently in a paper by Conrad et al. (Physical Review D 67 (2003) 012002). In their work, systematic uncertainities in detector…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Gary C. Hill

A novel tool, based on Bayesian filtering framework and expectation maximization algorithm, is numerically and experimentally demonstrated for accurate frequency comb noise characterization. The tool is statistically optimum in a…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-04-29 Giovanni Brajato , Lars Lundberg , Victor Torres-Company , Darko Zibar

We propose a Bayesian optimization algorithm for objective functions that are sums or integrals of expensive-to-evaluate functions, allowing noisy evaluations. These objective functions arise in multi-task Bayesian optimization for tuning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-03-26 Saul Toscano-Palmerin , Peter I. Frazier

In this article, we discuss the composite likelihood estimation of sparse Gaussian graphical models. When there are symmetry constraints on the concentration matrix or partial correlation matrix, the likelihood estimation can be…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-08-22 Xin Gao , Helene Massam

A procedure to include the uncertainty on the background estimate for upper limit calculations using Poissonian sampling is presented for the case where a Gaussian assumption on the uncertainty can be made. Under that hypothesis an analytic…

高能物理 - 实验 · 物理学 2015-06-25 Luca Lista

Counting experiments often rely on Monte Carlo simulations for predictions of Poisson expectations. The accompanying uncertainty from the finite Monte Carlo sample size can be incorporated into parameter estimation by modifying the Poisson…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2020-04-22 Thorsten Glüsenkamp

One problem of wide interest involves estimating expected crossing-times. Several tools have been developed to solve this problem beginning with the works of Wald and the theory of sequential analysis. An extension of his approach is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-06-17 Mark Brown , Victor de la Pena , Tony Sit

For given system dynamics, observer structure, and observer-based fault/attack detection procedure, we provide mathematical tools -- in terms of Linear Matrix Inequalities (LMIs) -- for computing outer ellipsoidal bounds on the set of…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2017-10-20 Carlos Murguia , Justin Ruths

Inference-time scaling has emerged as a powerful technique for enhancing the reasoning performance of Large Language Models (LLMs). However, existing approaches often rely on heuristic strategies for parallel sampling, lacking a principled…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-22 Youkang Wang , Jian Wang , Rubing Chen , Xiao-Yong Wei

In this paper we propose a procedure to evaluate Bayesian confidence intervals in counting experiments where both signal and background fluctuations are described by the Poisson statistics. The results obtained when the method is applied to…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2015-03-19 F. Loparco , M. N. Mazziotta

In an industrial context, the activity of sensors is recorded at a high frequency. A challenge is to automatically detect abnormal measurement behavior. Considering the sensor measures as functional data, the problem can be formulated as…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-03-09 Martial Amovin-Assagba , Irène Gannaz , Julien Jacques

Pooling specimens, a well-accepted sampling strategy in biomedical research, can be applied to reduce the cost of studying biomarkers. Even if the cost of a single assay is not a major restriction in evaluating biomarkers, pooling can be a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2012-03-01 Enrique F. Schisterman , Albert Vexler , Aijun Ye , Neil J. Perkins

A stochastic algorithm is proposed, finding the set of generalized means associated to a probability measure on a compact Riemannian manifold M and a continuous cost function on the product of M by itself. Generalized means include p-means…

概率论 · 数学 2013-05-28 Marc Arnaudon , Laurent Miclo

Modern control-command systems often include controllers that perform nonlinear computations to control a physical system, which can typically be described by an hybrid automaton containing high-dimensional systems of nonlinear differential…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2013-06-12 Olivier Bouissou , Alexandre Chapoutot , Samuel Mimram

We study the frequentist properties of confidence intervals for the On-Off problem. The methods include all those in common use today. We derive explicit formulas for the limits and calculate the true coverage and the expected lengths of…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2015-12-09 Wolfgang A. Rolke

Traditional process monitoring methods, such as PCA, PLS, ICA, MD et al., are strongly dependent on continuous variables because most of them inevitably involve Euclidean or Mahalanobis distance. With industrial processes becoming more and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-14 Min Wang , Donghua Zhou , Maoyin Chen

PLUMED is an open-source software package that is widely used for analyzing and enhancing molecular dynamics simulations that works in conjunction with most available molecular dynamics softwares. While the computational cost of PLUMED…