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Using a proper model to characterize a time series is crucial in making accurate predictions. In this work we use time-varying autoregressive process (TVAR) to describe non-stationary time series and model it as a mixture of multiple stable…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-11-17 Jie Ding , Mohammad Noshad , Vahid Tarokh

This paper considers nonparametric estimation and inference in first-order autoregressive (AR(1)) models with deterministically time-varying parameters. A key feature of the proposed approach is to allow for time-varying stationarity in…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-11-04 Donald W. K. Andrews , Ming Li

In this article, we introduce and study a one sided tempered stable first order autoregressive model called TAR(1). Under the assumption of stationarity of the model, the marginal probability density function of the error term is found. It…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-07-30 Niharika Bhootna , Arun Kumar

Understanding the time-varying structure of complex temporal systems is one of the main challenges of modern time series analysis. In this paper, we show that every uniformly-positive-definite-in-covariance and sufficiently short-range…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-04-25 Xiucai Ding , Zhou Zhou

We study the problem of robust time series analysis under the standard auto-regressive (AR) time series model in the presence of arbitrary outliers. We devise an efficient hard thresholding based algorithm which can obtain a consistent…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-07-04 Kush Bhatia , Prateek Jain , Parameswaran Kamalaruban , Purushottam Kar

In this work, we consider the class of multi-state autoregressive processes that can be used to model non-stationary time-series of interest. In order to capture different autoregressive (AR) states underlying an observed time series, it is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-10-13 Jie Ding , Mohammad Noshad , Vahid Tarokh

In this paper we discuss the results recently published in~[1] about algebraic signal models (ASMs) based on non commutative algebras and their use in convolutional neural networks. Relying on the general tools from algebraic signal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-09 Alejandro Parada-Mayorga , Landon Butler , Alejandro Ribeiro

Autoregressive (AR) modeling is invaluable in signal processing, in particular in speech and audio fields. Attempts in the literature can be found that regularize or constrain either the time-domain signal values or the AR coefficients,…

音频与语音处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-02-06 Ondřej Mokrý , Pavel Rajmic

We propose a first-order autoregressive (i.e. AR(1)) model for dynamic network processes in which edges change over time while nodes remain unchanged. The model depicts the dynamic changes explicitly. It also facilitates simple and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-05-12 Binyan Jiang , Jailing Li , Qiwei Yao

We consider the problem of estimating the parameters of a linear univariate autoregressive model with sub-Gaussian innovations from a limited sequence of consecutive observations. Assuming that the parameters are compressible, we analyze…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2017-04-05 Abbas Kazemipour , Sina Miran , Piya Pal , Behtash Babadi , Min Wu

The paper examines the problem of representing the dynamics of low order autoregressive (AR) models with time varying (TV) coefficients. The existing literature computes the forecasts of the series from a recursion relation. Instead, we…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-03-14 Menelaos Karanasos , Alexandros Paraskevopoulos , Stavros Dafnos

This paper deals with data-driven stability analysis and feedback stabillization of linear input-output systems in autoregressive (AR) form. We assume that noisy input-output data on a finite time-interval have been obtained from some…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-06-20 Henk J. van Waarde , Jaap Eising , M. Kanat Camlibel , Harry L. Trentelman

Stochastic processes generated by non-stationary distributions are difficult to represent with conventional models such as Gaussian processes. This work presents Recurrent Autoregressive Flows as a method toward general stochastic process…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-20 John Mern , Peter Morales , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

One of the cornerstones of the field of signal processing on graphs are graph filters, direct analogues of classical filters, but intended for signals defined on graphs. This work brings forth new insights on the distributed graph filtering…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-09-18 Elvin Isufi , Andreas Loukas , Andrea Simonetto , Geert Leus

This article is concerned with the identification of autoregressive with exogenous inputs (ARX) models. Most of the existing approaches like prediction error minimization and state-space framework are widely accepted and utilized for the…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-08-12 Deepak Maurya , Arun K. Tangirala , Shankar Narasimhan

Autoregressive (AR) models remain widely used in time series analysis due to their interpretability, but convencional parameter estimation methods can be computationally expensive and prone to convergence issues. This paper proposes a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-20 Anaísa Lucena , Ana Martins , Armando J. Pinho , Sónia Gouveia

We introduce Autoregressive Diffusion Models (ARDMs), a model class encompassing and generalizing order-agnostic autoregressive models (Uria et al., 2014) and absorbing discrete diffusion (Austin et al., 2021), which we show are special…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-03 Emiel Hoogeboom , Alexey A. Gritsenko , Jasmijn Bastings , Ben Poole , Rianne van den Berg , Tim Salimans

Autoregressive models (ARMs) have become the workhorse for sequence generation tasks, since many problems can be modeled as next-token prediction. While there appears to be a natural ordering for text (i.e., left-to-right), for many data…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-15 Zhe Wang , Jiaxin Shi , Nicolas Heess , Arthur Gretton , Michalis K. Titsias

Non-stationary signals are ubiquitous in real life. Many techniques have been proposed in the last decades which allow decomposing multi-component signals into simple oscillatory mono-components, like the groundbreaking Empirical Mode…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-01-30 Giovanni Barbarino , Antonio Cicone

The problem of adversarial examples has shown that modern Neural Network (NN) models could be rather fragile. Among the more established techniques to solve the problem, one is to require the model to be {\it $\epsilon$-adversarially…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-17 Yuxin Wen , Shuai Li , Kui Jia
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