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We propose a new class of interacting Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms designed for increasing the efficiency of a modified multiple-try Metropolis (MTM) algorithm. The extension with respect to the existing MCMC literature is…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-03-19 Roberto Casarin , Radu V. Craiu , Fabrizio Leisen

We investigate how ideas from covariance localization in numerical weather prediction can be used in Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling of high-dimensional posterior distributions arising in Bayesian inverse problems. To localize an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-01-09 Matthias Morzfeld , Xin T. Tong , Youssef M. Marzouk

In the following article we provide an exposition of exact computational methods to perform parameter inference from partially observed network models. In particular, we consider the duplication attachment (DA) model which has a likelihood…

统计计算 · 统计学 2013-06-20 Junshan Wang , Ajay Jasra , Maria De Iorio

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods provide consistent of integrals as the number of iterations goes to infinity. MCMC estimators are generally biased after any fixed number of iterations. We propose to remove this bias by using…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-07-18 Pierre E. Jacob , John O'Leary , Yves F. Atchadé

The multiple-try Metropolis (MTM) algorithm is a generalization of the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm in which the transition kernel uses a compound proposal consisting of multiple candidate draws. Since its seminal paper there have been…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-03-17 Renny Doig , Liangliang Wang

When performing Bayesian inference using Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods, two considerations arise: the accuracy of the posterior approximation and computational efficiency. To address computational demands, Sequential Monte Carlo…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-07-11 Joshua Murphy , Conor Rosato , Andrew Millard , Lee Devlin , Paul Horridge , Simon Maskell

In this paper we present an extension of population-based Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) to the trans-dimensional case. One of the main challenges in MCMC-based inference is that of simulating from high and trans-dimensional target…

统计计算 · 统计学 2007-11-02 Ajay Jasra , David A. Stephens , Chris C. Holmes

The missing data issue often complicates the task of estimating generalized linear models (GLMs). We describe why the pseudo-marginal Metropolis-Hastings algorithm, used in this setting, is an effective strategy for parameter estimation.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-07-23 Taylor R. Brown , Timothy L. McMurry , Alexander Langevin

We investigate the use of a Hamiltonian Monte Carlo to map out the posterior density function for supermassive black hole binaries. While previous Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods, such as Metropolis-Hastings MCMC, have been…

广义相对论与量子宇宙学 · 物理学 2019-08-19 Edward K. Porter , Jérôme Carré

Convergence analysis of Markov chain Monte Carlo methods in high-dimensional statistical applications is increasingly recognized. In this paper, we develop general mixing time bounds for Metropolis-Hastings algorithms on discrete spaces by…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-07-29 Hyunwoong Chang , Quan Zhou

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a powerful tool for sampling from complex probability distributions. Despite its versatility, MCMC often suffers from strong autocorrelation and the negative sign problem, leading to slowing down the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2024-12-05 Synge Todo

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) sampling methods provide a mechanism for defining distant proposals with high acceptance probabilities in a Metropolis-Hastings framework, enabling more efficient exploration of the state space than standard…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-05-13 Tianqi Chen , Emily B. Fox , Carlos Guestrin

The Metropolis implementation of the Monte Carlo algorithm has been developed to study the equilibrium thermodynamics of many-body systems. Choosing small trial moves, the trajectories obtained applying this algorithm agree with those…

其他定量生物学 · 定量生物学 2009-11-13 G. Tiana , L. Sutto , R. A. Broglia

Modelling random dynamical systems in continuous time, diffusion processes are a powerful tool in many areas of science. Model parameters can be estimated from time-discretely observed processes using Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-10-12 Susanne Pieschner , Christiane Fuchs

We introduce a new geometric approach that constructs a transition kernel of Markov chain. Our method always minimizes the average rejection rate and even reduce it to zero in many relevant cases, which cannot be achieved by conventional…

统计力学 · 物理学 2012-07-03 Hidemaro Suwa , Synge Todo

This study investigates the limitations of applying Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods to arbitrary objective functions, focusing on a two-block MCMC framework which alternates between Metropolis-Hastings and Gibbs sampling. While such…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-17 Jared N. Lakhani , Etienne Pienaar

Metropolis algorithms for approximate sampling of probability measures on infinite dimensional Hilbert spaces are considered and a generalization of the preconditioned Crank-Nicolson (pCN) proposal is introduced. The new proposal is able to…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-11-23 Daniel Rudolf , Björn Sprungk

A model based on microcanonical Monte Carlo method is used to study the application of the temperature gradient along a two-dimensional (2D) Ising system. We estimate the system size effects on thermal conductivity, $K$, for a nano-scale…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-11 M. Neek-Amal , R. Moussavi , H. R. Sepangi

Sampling from the lattice Gaussian distribution is emerging as an important problem in coding and cryptography. In this paper, the classic Metropolis-Hastings (MH) algorithm from Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods is adapted for…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2020-10-23 Zheng Wang , Cong Ling

Flexible district heating grids form an important part of future, low-carbon energy systems. We examine probabilistic state estimation in such grids, i.e., we aim to estimate the posterior probability distribution over all grid state…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-26 Andreas Bott , Tim Janke , Florian Steinke