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Probabilistic modeling is cyclical: we specify a model, infer its posterior, and evaluate its performance. Evaluation drives the cycle, as we revise our model based on how it performs. This requires a metric. Traditionally, predictive…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-05-25 Alp Kucukelbir , David M. Blei

In the last quarter of a century, algebraic statistics has established itself as an expanding field which uses multilinear algebra, commutative algebra, computational algebra, geometry, and combinatorics to tackle problems in mathematical…

Despite the growing interest in diffusion models, gaining a deep understanding of the model class remains an elusive endeavour, particularly for the uninitiated in non-equilibrium statistical physics. Thanks to the rapid rate of progress in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-23 Fabio De Sousa Ribeiro , Ben Glocker

Diffusion probabilistic models have made their way into a number of high-profile applications since their inception. In particular, there has been a wave of research into using diffusion models in the prediction and design of biomolecular…

生物大分子 · 定量生物学 2024-06-05 Trevor Norton , Debswapna Bhattacharya

For two vast families of mixture distributions and a given prior, we provide unified representations of posterior and predictive distributions. Model applications presented include bivariate mixtures of Gamma distributions labelled as…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-09-09 Aziz LMoudden , Éric Marchand

In situations where both extreme and non-extreme data are of interest, modelling the whole data set accurately is important. In a univariate framework, modelling the bulk and tail of a distribution has been extensively studied before.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-11 Lídia M. André , Jennifer L. Wadsworth , Adrian O'Hagan

A modelling methodology to reproduce the experimental measurements of a turbulent flow under the presence of symmetry is presented. The flow is a three-dimensional wake generated by an axisymmetric body. We show that the dynamics of the…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2023-07-19 G. Rigas , A. S. Morgans , R. D. Brackston , J. F. Morrison

Summary: Linear mixed models are a commonly used statistical approach in genome-wide association studies when population structure is present. However, naive permutations to empirically estimate the null distribution of a statistic of…

基因组学 · 定量生物学 2024-10-03 Saul Pierotti , Tomas Fitzgerald , Ewan Birney

The natural habitat of most Bayesian methods is data represented by exchangeable sequences of observations, for which de Finetti's theorem provides the theoretical foundation. Dirichlet process clustering, Gaussian process regression, and…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-02-16 Peter Orbanz , Daniel M. Roy

We review the physical properties of macromolecular networks, consisting of semiflexible polymers such as actin. We start by giving a theoretical analysis of the conformational statistics and mechanical response of single filaments.…

软凝聚态物质 · 物理学 2008-02-03 Erwin Frey , Klaus Kroy , Jan Wilhelm , Erich Sackmann

The fragmentation of small, brittle, flexible, inextensible fibers is investigated in a fully-developed, homogeneous, isotropic turbulent flow. Such small fibers spend most of their time fully stretched and their dynamics follows that of…

软凝聚态物质 · 物理学 2019-12-17 Sofía Allende , Christophe Henry , Jérémie Bec

In recent work, robust mixture modelling approaches using skewed distributions have been explored to accommodate asymmetric data. We introduce parsimony by developing skew-t and skew-normal analogues of the popular GPCM family that employ…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-11-12 Irene Vrbik , Paul D. McNicholas

Epidemic disease spreading is conventionally often modelled and analyzed by means of rate and diffusion equations, following the paradigms of well-controlled chemical reactions and diffusive dynamics in a test tube. Yet, serious worries…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2023-01-03 Klaus Kroy

In this paper, we propose cylindrical distributions obtained by combining the sine-skewed von Mises distribution (circular part) with the Weibull distribution (linear part). This new model, the WeiSSVM, enjoys numerous advantages: simple…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-01-01 Toshihiro Abe , Christophe Ley

We consider regression in which one predicts a response $Y$ with a set of predictors $X$ across different experiments or environments. This is a common setup in many data-driven scientific fields and we argue that statistical inference can…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-23 Niklas Pfister , Evan G. Williams , Jonas Peters , Ruedi Aebersold , Peter Bühlmann

We investigate relaxation and correlations in a class of mean-reverting models for stochastic variances. We derive closed-form expressions for the correlation functions and leverage for a general form of the stochastic term. We also discuss…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-04-12 M. Dashti Moghaddam , Zhiyuan Liu , R. A. Serota

The transitional regime of plane channel flow is investigated {above} the transitional point below which turbulence is not sustained, using direct numerical simulation in large domains. Statistics of laminar-turbulent spatio-temporal…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2020-09-16 Pavan V. Kashyap , Yohann Duguet , Olivier Dauchot

This paper summarizes a presentation for a panel discussion on "The Future of Astrostatistics" held at the Statistical Challenges in Modern Astronomy V conference at Pennsylvania State University in June 2011. I argue that the emerging…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2016-08-25 Thomas J. Loredo

Accurate modeling is essential in integer-valued real phenomena, including the distribution of entire data, zero-inflated (ZI) data, and discrete exceedances. The Poisson and Negative Binomial distributions, along with their ZI variants,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-20 Touqeer Ahmad , Irshad Ahmad Arshad

Following the student t-statistic, normalization has been a widely used method in statistic and other disciplines including economics, ecology and machine learning. We focus on statistics taking the form of a ratio over (some power of) the…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-09-19 Haolin Zou , Heyuan Yao , Victor de la Peña