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A multi-source quickest detection problem is considered. Assume there are two independent Poisson processes $X^{1}$ and $X^{2}$ with disorder times $\theta_{1}$ and $\theta_{2}$, respectively; that is, the intensities of $X^1$ and $X^2$…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2007-07-13 Erhan Bayraktar , H. Vincent Poor

Let $X$ be a one-dimensional diffusion and let $g\colon[0,T]\times\mathbb{R}\to\mathbb{R}$ be a payoff function depending on time and the value of $X$. The paper analyzes the inverse optimal stopping problem of finding a time-dependent…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-08-08 Thomas Kruse , Philipp Strack

We identify the integrable stopping time $\tau_*$ with minimal $L^1$-distance to the last-passage time $\gamma_z$ to a given level $z>0$, for an arbitrary non-negative time-homogeneous transient diffusion $X$. We demonstrate that $\tau_*$…

概率论 · 数学 2013-12-31 Kristoffer Glover , Hardy Hulley

This paper considers a pair $(\mathbb{F},\tau)$, where $\mathbb{F}$ is a filtration representing the "public" flow of information which is available to all agents overtime, and $\tau$ is a random time which might not be an…

概率论 · 数学 2024-04-24 Tahir Choulli , Safa' Alsheyab

We study the Bayesian problems of detecting a change in the drift rate of an observable diffusion process with linear and exponential penalty costs for a detection delay. The optimal times of alarms are found as the first times at which the…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-11-08 Pavel V. Gapeev , Albert N. Shiryaev

In this paper, we introduce a modification of the free boundary problem related to optimal stopping problems for diffusion processes. This modification allows the application of this PDE method in cases where the usual regularity…

概率论 · 数学 2008-12-18 Ludger Rüschendorf , Mikhail A. Urusov

Consider the model where particles are initially distributed on $\mathbb{Z}^d, \, d\geq 2$, according to a Poisson point process of intensity $\lambda>0$, and are moving in continuous time as independent simple symmetric random walks. We…

概率论 · 数学 2013-12-31 Vladas Sidoravicius , Alexandre Stauffer

We study a continuous time Bayesian quickest detection problem in which observation times are a scarce resource. The agent, limited to making a finite number of discrete observations, must adaptively decide his observation strategy to…

概率论 · 数学 2014-12-04 Erhan Bayraktar , Ross Kravitz

Let $X_1,X_2,\ldots $ be independent random variables observed sequentially and such that $X_1,\ldots,X_{\theta-1}$ have a common probability density $p_0$, while $X_\theta,X_{\theta+1},\ldots $ are all distributed according to $p_1\neq…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-04-25 Yuri Golubev , Mher Safarian

Given a stable L\'{e}vy process $X=(X_t)_{0\le t\le T}$ of index $\alpha\in(1,2)$ with no negative jumps, and letting $S_t=\sup_{0\le s\le t}X_s$ denote its running supremum for $t\in [0,T]$, we consider the optimal prediction problem…

概率论 · 数学 2012-02-10 Violetta Bernyk , Robert C. Dalang , Goran Peskir

The paper studies a class of multidimensional optimal stopping problems with infinite horizon for linear switching diffusions. There are two main novelties in the optimal problems considered: the underlying stochastic process has…

概率论 · 数学 2021-08-02 Philip Ernst , Hongwei Mei

In this work, we present numerical analysis for a distributed optimal control problem, with box constraint on the control, governed by a subdiffusion equation which involves a fractional derivative of order $\alpha\in(0,1)$ in time. The…

数值分析 · 数学 2017-12-22 Bangti Jin , Buyang Li , Zhi Zhou

This work considers the problem of quickest detection of signals in a coupled system of $N$ sensors, which receive continuous sequential observations from the environment. It is assumed that the signals, which are modeled by general It\^{o}…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2016-03-11 Hongzhong Zhang , Olympia Hadjiliadis , Tobias Schäfer , H. Vincent Poor

The maximality principle has been a valuable tool in identifying the free-boundary functions that are associated with the solutions to several optimal stopping problems involving one-dimensional time-homogeneous diffusions and their running…

概率论 · 数学 2025-05-27 Neofytos Rodosthenous , Mihail Zervos

In this paper, we solve explicitly the optimal stopping problem with random discounting and an additive functional as cost of observations for a regular linear diffusion. We also extend the results to the class of one-sided regular Feller…

概率论 · 数学 2012-11-06 Mamadou Cissé , Pierre Patie , Etienne Tanré

We consider a change detection problem in which the arrival rate of a Poisson process changes suddenly at some unknown and unobservable disorder time. It is assumed that the prior distribution of the disorder time is known. The objective is…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2007-05-23 Erhan Bayraktar , Semih Sezer

This work considers the problem of quickest detection of signals in a coupled system of N sensors, which receive continuous sequential observations from the environment. It is assumed that the signals, which are modeled a general Ito…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2016-11-15 Olympia Hadjiliadis , Tobias Schaefer , H. Vincent Poor

In this paper, we consider the problem of quickest change point detection and identification over a linear array of $N$ sensors, where the change pattern could first reach any of these sensors, and then propagate to the other sensors. Our…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2013-05-21 Di Li , Lifeng Lai , Shuguang Cui

Let $(B_t)_{0\leq t\leq T}$ be either a Bernoulli random walk or a Brownian motion with drift, and let $M_t:=\max\{B_s: 0\leq s\leq t\}$, $0\leq t\leq T$. This paper solves the general optimal prediction problem \sup_{0\leq\tau\leq…

概率论 · 数学 2011-02-09 Pieter C. Allaart

We consider the quickest change detection problem where both the parameters of pre- and post- change distributions are unknown, which prevents the use of classical simple hypothesis testing. Without additional assumptions, optimal solutions…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-10 Firas Jarboui , Viannet Perchet
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