相关论文: Quickest detection of a hidden target and extremal…
A multi-source quickest detection problem is considered. Assume there are two independent Poisson processes $X^{1}$ and $X^{2}$ with disorder times $\theta_{1}$ and $\theta_{2}$, respectively; that is, the intensities of $X^1$ and $X^2$…
Let $X$ be a one-dimensional diffusion and let $g\colon[0,T]\times\mathbb{R}\to\mathbb{R}$ be a payoff function depending on time and the value of $X$. The paper analyzes the inverse optimal stopping problem of finding a time-dependent…
We identify the integrable stopping time $\tau_*$ with minimal $L^1$-distance to the last-passage time $\gamma_z$ to a given level $z>0$, for an arbitrary non-negative time-homogeneous transient diffusion $X$. We demonstrate that $\tau_*$…
This paper considers a pair $(\mathbb{F},\tau)$, where $\mathbb{F}$ is a filtration representing the "public" flow of information which is available to all agents overtime, and $\tau$ is a random time which might not be an…
We study the Bayesian problems of detecting a change in the drift rate of an observable diffusion process with linear and exponential penalty costs for a detection delay. The optimal times of alarms are found as the first times at which the…
In this paper, we introduce a modification of the free boundary problem related to optimal stopping problems for diffusion processes. This modification allows the application of this PDE method in cases where the usual regularity…
Consider the model where particles are initially distributed on $\mathbb{Z}^d, \, d\geq 2$, according to a Poisson point process of intensity $\lambda>0$, and are moving in continuous time as independent simple symmetric random walks. We…
We study a continuous time Bayesian quickest detection problem in which observation times are a scarce resource. The agent, limited to making a finite number of discrete observations, must adaptively decide his observation strategy to…
Let $X_1,X_2,\ldots $ be independent random variables observed sequentially and such that $X_1,\ldots,X_{\theta-1}$ have a common probability density $p_0$, while $X_\theta,X_{\theta+1},\ldots $ are all distributed according to $p_1\neq…
Given a stable L\'{e}vy process $X=(X_t)_{0\le t\le T}$ of index $\alpha\in(1,2)$ with no negative jumps, and letting $S_t=\sup_{0\le s\le t}X_s$ denote its running supremum for $t\in [0,T]$, we consider the optimal prediction problem…
The paper studies a class of multidimensional optimal stopping problems with infinite horizon for linear switching diffusions. There are two main novelties in the optimal problems considered: the underlying stochastic process has…
In this work, we present numerical analysis for a distributed optimal control problem, with box constraint on the control, governed by a subdiffusion equation which involves a fractional derivative of order $\alpha\in(0,1)$ in time. The…
This work considers the problem of quickest detection of signals in a coupled system of $N$ sensors, which receive continuous sequential observations from the environment. It is assumed that the signals, which are modeled by general It\^{o}…
The maximality principle has been a valuable tool in identifying the free-boundary functions that are associated with the solutions to several optimal stopping problems involving one-dimensional time-homogeneous diffusions and their running…
In this paper, we solve explicitly the optimal stopping problem with random discounting and an additive functional as cost of observations for a regular linear diffusion. We also extend the results to the class of one-sided regular Feller…
We consider a change detection problem in which the arrival rate of a Poisson process changes suddenly at some unknown and unobservable disorder time. It is assumed that the prior distribution of the disorder time is known. The objective is…
This work considers the problem of quickest detection of signals in a coupled system of N sensors, which receive continuous sequential observations from the environment. It is assumed that the signals, which are modeled a general Ito…
In this paper, we consider the problem of quickest change point detection and identification over a linear array of $N$ sensors, where the change pattern could first reach any of these sensors, and then propagate to the other sensors. Our…
Let $(B_t)_{0\leq t\leq T}$ be either a Bernoulli random walk or a Brownian motion with drift, and let $M_t:=\max\{B_s: 0\leq s\leq t\}$, $0\leq t\leq T$. This paper solves the general optimal prediction problem \sup_{0\leq\tau\leq…
We consider the quickest change detection problem where both the parameters of pre- and post- change distributions are unknown, which prevents the use of classical simple hypothesis testing. Without additional assumptions, optimal solutions…