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Most causal inference methods focus on estimating marginal average treatment effects, but many important causal estimands depend on the joint distribution of potential outcomes, including the probability of causation and proportions…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-16 Zach Shahn , David Madigan

Identification of treatment effects in the presence of unmeasured confounding is a persistent problem in the social, biological, and medical sciences. The problem of unmeasured confounding in settings with multiple treatments is most common…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-12 Wang Miao , Wenjie Hu , Elizabeth L. Ogburn , Xiaohua Zhou

Causal inference in a sub-population involves identifying the causal effect of an intervention on a specific subgroup, which is distinguished from the whole population through the influence of systematic biases in the sampling process.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-10 Amir Mohammad Abouei , Ehsan Mokhtarian , Negar Kiyavash

Double blind randomized controlled trials are traditionally seen as the gold standard for causal inferences as the difference-in-means estimator is an unbiased estimator of the average treatment effect in the experiment. The fact that this…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-25 Per Johansson , Mattias Nordin

In this paper, a Bayesian approach is developed for simultaneously comparing multiple experimental treatments with a common control treatment in an exploratory clinical trial. The sample size is set to ensure that, at the end of the study,…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-11-14 John Whitehead , Faye Cleary , Amanda Turner

Causal inference, estimating causal effects from observational data, is a fundamental tool in many disciplines. Of particular importance across a variety of domains is the continuous treatment setting, where the variable of intervention has…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-15 Christopher Stith , Medha Barath , Vahid Balazadeh , Jesse C. Cresswell , Rahul G. Krishnan

A data science task can be deemed as making sense of the data or testing a hypothesis about it. The conclusions inferred from data can greatly guide us to make informative decisions. Big data has enabled us to carry out countless prediction…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-12 Wenhao Zhang , Ramin Ramezani , Arash Naeim

In some causal inference scenarios, the treatment variable is measured inaccurately, for instance in epidemiology or econometrics. Failure to correct for the effect of this measurement error can lead to biased causal effect estimates.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-13 Antti Pöllänen , Pekka Marttinen

In settings where units' outcomes are affected by others' treatments, there has been a proliferation of ways to quantify effects of treatments on outcomes, including via indirect exposure to other units' treatments. Here we consider two…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-10 Sahil Loomba , Dean Eckles

The estimation of causal treatment effects from observational data is a fundamental problem in causal inference. To avoid bias, the effect estimator must control for all confounders. Hence practitioners often collect data for as many…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-11-05 Kristjan Greenewald , Dmitriy Katz-Rogozhnikov , Karthik Shanmugam

In matched observational studies with continuous treatments, individuals with different treatment doses but the same or similar covariate values are paired for causal inference. While inexact covariate matching (i.e., covariate imbalance…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-13 Anthony Frazier , Siyu Heng , Wen Zhou

This paper extends my research applying statistical decision theory to treatment choice with sample data, using maximum regret to evaluate the performance of treatment rules. The specific new contribution is to study as-if optimization…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-10-05 Charles F. Manski

There are two general views in causal analysis of experimental data: the super population view that the units are an independent sample from some hypothetical infinite populations, and the finite population view that the potential outcomes…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-03-01 Peng Ding , Xinran Li , Luke W. Miratrix

Spurious association arises from covariance between propensity for the treatment and individual risk for the outcome. For sensitivity analysis with stochastic counterfactuals we introduce a methodology to characterize uncertainty in causal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-11 Brian Knaeble , Braxton Osting , Placede Tshiaba

This article discusses the application of stochastic intervention to find the optimal treatment distribution yielding a high value of expected potential outcome under the setting where the number of treatments is allowed to vary with $n$.…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-04-22 Rohit Chaudhuri

Causal inference methods are widely applied in various decision-making domains such as precision medicine, optimal policy and economics. Central to causal inference is the treatment effect estimation of intervention strategies, such as…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-05-31 Tri Dung Duong , Qian Li , Guandong Xu

Survival time is the primary endpoint of many randomized controlled trials, and a treatment effect is typically quantified by the hazard ratio under the assumption of proportional hazards. Awareness is increasing that in many settings this…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-04 Robin Ristl , Heiko Götte , Armin Schüler , Martin Posch , Franz König

The assumption that data samples are independent and identically distributed (iid) is standard in many areas of statistics and machine learning. Nevertheless, in some settings, such as social networks, infectious disease modeling, and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-02-06 Eli Sherman , Ilya Shpitser

In many causal inference applications, only one or a few units (or clusters of units) are treated. An important challenge in such settings is that standard inference methods relying on asymptotic theory may be unreliable, even with large…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-05-22 Luis Alvarez , Bruno Ferman , Kaspar Wüthrich

Causal inference with interference is a rapidly growing area. The literature has begun to relax the "no-interference" assumption that the treatment received by one individual does not affect the outcomes of other individuals. In this paper…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-03-06 Tyler J. VanderWeele , Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen , M. Elizabeth Halloran