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In this paper, I present a completely new type of upper and lower bounds on the right-tail probabilities of continuous random variables with unbounded support and with semi-bounded support from the left. The presented upper and lower…

概率论 · 数学 2023-11-28 Nikola Zlatanov

It is shown that functions defined on $\{0,1,...,r-1\}^n$ satisfying certain conditions of bounded differences that guarantee sub-Gaussian tail behavior also satisfy a much stronger ``local'' sub-Gaussian property. For self-bounding and…

概率论 · 数学 2008-01-03 Luc Devroye , Gábor Lugosi

We explore the class of probability distributions on the real line whose Laplace transform admits a strong upper bound of subgaussian type. Using Hadamard's factorization theorem, we extend the class $\mathfrak L$ of Newman and propose new…

概率论 · 数学 2023-08-04 S. G. Bobkov , G. P. Chistyakov , F. Götze

We provide exact asymptotics for the tail probabilities $\mathbb{P} \{S_{n,r} > x\}$ as $x \to \infty$, for fix $n$, where $S_{n,r}$ is the $r$-trimmed partial sum of i.i.d. St. Petersburg random variables. In particular, we prove that…

概率论 · 数学 2015-07-13 István Berkes , László Györfi , Péter Kevei

The sums and maxima of weighted non-stationary random length sequences of regularly varying random variables may have the same tail and extremal indices, Markovich and Rodionov (2020). The main constraints are that there exists a unique…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-09-20 Natalia Markovich

We investigate the convergence of series of random variables with second exponential moments. We give sufficient conditions for the convergence of these series with respect to an exponential Orlicz norm and almost surely. Applying this…

概率论 · 数学 2017-08-22 Fakhreddine Boukhari , Dounyazed Malti

Concentration inequalities form an essential toolkit in the study of high dimensional (HD) statistical methods. Most of the relevant statistics literature in this regard is based on sub-Gaussian or sub-exponential tail assumptions. In this…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-01-09 Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla , Abhishek Chakrabortty

In this paper, according to a certain criterion, we divide the exponential distribution class into three subclasses. One of them is closely related to the regular-variation-tailed distribution class, so it is called the…

概率论 · 数学 2018-05-30 Zhaolei Cui , Edward Omey , Wenyuan Wang , Yuebao Wang

We consider the sums $S_n=\xi_1+\cdots+\xi_n$ of independent identically distributed random variables. We do not assume that the $\xi$'s have a finite mean. Under subexponential type conditions on distribution of the summands, we find the…

概率论 · 数学 2013-03-20 D. Denisov , S. Foss , D. Korshunov

This paper is organized in three parts closely related to closure properties of heavy-tailed distributions and heavy-tailed random vectors. In the first part we consider two random variables X and Y with distributions F and G respectively.…

概率论 · 数学 2025-02-04 Dimitrios G. Konstantinides , Charalampos D. Passalidis

Known Bernstein-type upper bounds on the tail probabilities for sums of independent zero-mean sub-exponential random variables are improved in several ways at once. The new upper bounds have a certain optimality property.

概率论 · 数学 2022-08-15 Iosif Pinelis

It has repeatedly been observed that loss minimization by stochastic gradient descent (SGD) leads to heavy-tailed distributions of neural network parameters. Here, we analyze a continuous diffusion approximation of SGD, called homogenized…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-02-05 Zhe Jiao , Martin Keller-Ressel

Gaps (or spacings) between consecutive eigenvalues are a central topic in random matrix theory. The goal of this paper is to study the tail distribution of these gaps in various random matrix models. We give the first repulsion bound for…

概率论 · 数学 2015-05-05 Hoi Nguyen , Terence Tao , Van Vu

We take an $L_1$-dense class of functions $\Cal F$ on a measurable space $(X,\Cal X)$ and a sequence of i.i.d. $X$-valued random variables $\xi_1,\dots,\xi_n$, and give a good estimate on the tail behaviour of $\sup\limits_{f\in\Cal…

概率论 · 数学 2014-07-07 Peter Major

We study the behavior of the posterior distribution in high-dimensional Bayesian Gaussian linear regression models having $p\gg n$, with $p$ the number of predictors and $n$ the sample size. Our focus is on obtaining quantitative finite…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-01-06 Nate Strawn , Artin Armagan , Rayan Saab , Lawrence Carin , David Dunson

In many areas of interest, modern risk assessment requires estimation of the extremal behaviour of sums of random variables. We derive the first order upper-tail behaviour of the weighted sum of bivariate random variables under weak…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-08-17 Jordan Richards , Jonathan A. Tawn

Mixtures of high dimensional Gaussian distributions have been studied extensively in statistics and learning theory. While the total variation distance appears naturally in the sample complexity of distribution learning, it is analytically…

概率论 · 数学 2022-03-11 Sami Davies , Arya Mazumdar , Soumyabrata Pal , Cyrus Rashtchian

A random variable $\xi$ has a {\it light-tailed} distribution (for short: is light-tailed) if it possesses a finite exponential moment, $\E \exp (\lambda \xi) <\infty$ for some $\lambda >0$, and has a {\it heavy-tailed} distribution (is…

概率论 · 数学 2025-09-09 Sergey Foss , Anton Tarasenko , Georgiy Krivtsov

We establish a rather sharp two-side estimate for the tail probability of the derivative martingale limit in a branching random walk throughout the entire subcritical regime, confirming a conjecture by Lacoin, Rhodes, and Vargas (\emph{Duke…

概率论 · 数学 2025-08-19 Xinxin Chen , Yichao Huang , Heng Ma

This paper presents new probability inequalities for sums of independent, random, self-adjoint matrices. These results place simple and easily verifiable hypotheses on the summands, and they deliver strong conclusions about the…

概率论 · 数学 2014-04-29 Joel A. Tropp