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Forecast combination and model averaging have become popular tools in forecasting and prediction, both of which combine a set of candidate estimates with certain weights and are often shown to outperform single estimates. A data-driven…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-10-31 Jiahui Zou , Andrey Vasnev , Wendun Wang , Xinyu Zhang

A recent flurry of research activity has attempted to quantitatively define "fairness" for decisions based on statistical and machine learning (ML) predictions. The rapid growth of this new field has led to wildly inconsistent terminology…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-11-23 Shira Mitchell , Eric Potash , Solon Barocas , Alexander D'Amour , Kristian Lum

While data-driven decision-making is transforming modern operations, most large-scale data is of an observational nature, such as transactional records. These data pose unique challenges in a variety of operational problems posed as…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-05-23 Dimitris Bertsimas , Nathan Kallus

We consider fair allocation of a set $M$ of indivisible goods to $n$ equally-entitled agents, with no monetary transfers. Every agent $i$ has a valuation $v_i$ from some given class of valuation functions. A share $s$ is a function that…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2022-05-17 Moshe Babaioff , Uriel Feige

How can we build recommender systems to take into account fairness? Real-world recommender systems are often composed of multiple models, built by multiple teams. However, most research on fairness focuses on improving fairness in a single…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-27 Xuezhi Wang , Nithum Thain , Anu Sinha , Flavien Prost , Ed H. Chi , Jilin Chen , Alex Beutel

Convex combinations of i.i.d. random variables without a finite mean can behave in a strikingly different way from the finite-mean case: as the weight vector becomes more balanced, the resulting combination may become stochastically larger,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-10 Tommaso Lando , Paulo Eduardo Oliveira

Dominance is usually considered a constant value that describes the relative difference in fitness or phenotype between heterozygotes and the average of homozygotes at a focal polymorphic locus. However, the observed dominance can vary with…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2023-12-05 Juan Li , Claudia Bank

We consider the problem of allocating indivisible goods in a way that is fair, using one of the leading market mechanisms in economics: the competitive equilibrium from equal incomes. Focusing on two major classes of valuations, namely…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2016-07-19 Simina Brânzei , Hadi Hosseini , Peter Bro Miltersen

Scoring rules aggregate individual rankings by assigning some points to each position in each ranking such that the total sum of points provides the overall ranking of the alternatives. They are widely used in sports competitions consisting…

其他统计学 · 统计学 2023-03-28 László Csató

We study statistics of the knockout tournament, where only the winner of a fixture progresses to the next. We assign a real number called competitiveness to each contestant and find that the resulting distribution of prize money follows a…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2014-01-09 Seung Ki Baek , Il Gu Yi , Hye Jin Park , Beom Jun Kim

Decisions in a shareholder meeting or a legislative committee are often modeled as a weighted game. Influence of a member is then measured by a power index. A large variety of different indices has been introduced in the literature. This…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2018-05-08 Sascha Kurz

Generalized entropic projections and dominating points are solutions to convex minimization problems related to conditional laws of large numbers. They appear in many areas of applied mathematics such as statistical physics, information…

概率论 · 数学 2019-04-22 Christian Léonard

Many forecasts consist not of point predictions but concern the evolution of quantities. For example, a central bank might predict the interest rates during the next quarter, an epidemiologist might predict trajectories of infection rates,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-12 Patric Bonnier , Harald Oberhauser

In the practice of point prediction, it is desirable that forecasters receive a directive in the form of a statistical functional, such as the mean or a quantile of the predictive distribution. When evaluating and comparing competing…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-04-20 Werner Ehm , Tilmann Gneiting , Alexander Jordan , Fabian Krüger

We consider a committee voting on whether to adopt a reform under a quota rule, where members differ in how much they value the reform some supporting it, others opposing it. We examine how members can influence each other's votes through…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-05-19 Ali Lazrak , Jianfeng Zhang

Although resource allocation is a well studied problem in computer science, until the prevalence of distributed systems, such as computing clouds and data centres, the question had been addressed predominantly for single resource type…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2025-12-29 Serdar Metin

We present constructions regarding the general behaviour of biased positional games, and amongst others show that the outcome of such a game can differ in an arbitrary way depending on which player starts the game, and that fair biased…

组合数学 · 数学 2025-09-08 Ali Deniz Bagdas , Dennis Clemens , Fabian Hamann , Yannick Mogge

Designing efficient and fair algorithms for sharing multiple resources between heterogeneous demands is becoming increasingly important. Applications include compute clusters shared by multi-task jobs and routers equipped with middleboxes…

网络与互联网体系结构 · 计算机科学 2014-10-06 Thomas Bonald , James Roberts

This paper develops a theory of competitive equilibrium with indivisible goods based entirely on economic conditions on demand. The key idea is to analyze complementarity and substitutability between bundles of goods, rather than merely…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2024-12-12 Ravi Jagadeesan , Alexander Teytelboym

A checkers-like model game with a simplified set of rules is studied through extensive simulations of agents with different expertise and strategies. The introduction of complementary strategies, in a quite general way, provides a tool to…