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Valid inference after model selection is currently a very active area of research. The polyhedral method, pioneered by Lee, et al. (2016), allows for valid inference after model selection if the model selection event can be described by…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-07-08 Danijel Kivaranovic , Hannes Leeb

Turing's estimator allows one to estimate the probabilities of outcomes that either do not appear or only rarely appear in a given random sample. We perform a simulation study to understand the finite sample performance of several related…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-03-19 Jie Chang , Michael Grabchak , Jialin Zhang

Model selection strategies have been routinely employed to determine a model for data analysis in statistics, and further study and inference then often proceed as though the selected model were the true model that were known a priori. This…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-02-13 Priyam Mitra , Heng Lian , Ritwik Mitra , Hua Liang , Min-ge Xie

The characteristic function of the folded normal distribution and its moment function are derived. The entropy of the folded normal distribution and the Kullback--Leibler from the normal and half normal distributions are approximated using…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-02-17 Michail Tsagris , Christina Beneki , Hossein Hassani

The upper bounds on the coverage probabilities of the confidence regions based on blockwise empirical likelihood [Kitamura (1997)] and nonstandard expansive empirical likelihood [Nordman et al. (2013)] methods for time series data are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-08-01 Xianyang Zhang , Xiaofeng Shao

In this paper, we consider the problem of constructing confidence interval for the correlation coefficient in a bivariate normal distribution. For this problem, we found fifteen approaches in literatures. Also, we have proposed a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-10-31 Mohammad Reza Kazemi , Ali Akbar Jafari

The Lorenz curve portrays the inequality of income distribution. In this article, we develop three modified empirical likelihood (EL) approaches including adjusted empirical likelihood, transformed empirical likelihood, and transformed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-27 Suthakaran Ratnasingam , Spencer Wallace , Imran Amani , Jade Romero

Introductory texts on statistics typically only cover the classical "two sigma" confidence interval for the mean value and do not describe methods to obtain confidence intervals for other estimators. The present technical report fills this…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-07-11 Christoph Dalitz

The Tweedie exponential dispersion family is a popular choice among many to model insurance losses that consist of zero-inflated semicontinuous data. In such data, it is often important to obtain credibility (inference) of the most…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-17 Alokesh Manna , Zijian Huang , Dipak K. Dey , Yuwen Gu , Robin He

Matching algorithms are commonly used to predict matches between items in a collection. For example, in 1:1 face verification, a matching algorithm predicts whether two face images depict the same person. Accurately assessing the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-30 Riccardo Fogliato , Pratik Patil , Pietro Perona

We provide Buehler-optimal one-sided and some valid two-sided confidence intervals for the average success probability of a possibly inhomogeneous fixed length Bernoulli chain, based on the number of observed successes. Contrary to some…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-12-09 Lutz Mattner , Christoph Tasto

Statistical analyses of multipopulation studies often use the data to select a particular population as the target of inference. For example, a confidence interval may be constructed for a population only in the event that its sample mean…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-09-18 Peter Hoff , Surya Tokdar

Interval estimation of quantiles has been treated by many in the literature. However, to the best of our knowledge there has been no consideration for interval estimation when the data are available in grouped format. Motivated by this, we…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-12-08 Dilanka S. Dedduwakumara , Luke A. Prendergast

Consider a linear regression model with n-dimensional response vector, regression parameter \beta = (\beta_1, ..., \beta_p) and independent and identically N(0, \sigma^2) distributed errors. Suppose that the parameter of interest is \theta…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-10-18 Paul Kabaila , Khageswor Giri

Consider the problem of estimating average treatment effects when a large number of covariates are used to adjust for possible confounding through outcome regression and propensity score models. The conventional approach of model building…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-01-31 Zhiqiang Tan

In this paper we consider the problem of constructing confidence intervals for coefficients of martingale regression models (in particular, time series models) after variable selection. Although constructing confidence intervals are common…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-05-19 Ka Wai Tsang , Wei Dai

Mechanistic dynamic models of biochemical networks such as Ordinary Differential Equations (ODEs) contain unknown parameters like the reaction rate constants and the initial concentrations of the compounds. The large number of parameters as…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2017-08-14 Clemens Kreutz , Andreas Raue , Jens Timmer

Empirical-likelihood-based confidence intervals for a mean were introduced by Owen [Biometrika 75 (1988) 237-249], where at least a finite second moment is required. This excludes some important distributions, for example, those in the…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Liang Peng

Sometimes, we do not use a maximum likelihood estimator of a probability but it's a smoothed estimator in order to cope with the zero frequency problem. This is often the case when we use the Naive Bayes classifier. Laplace smoothing is a…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2017-09-26 Masato Kikuchi , Mitsuo Yoshida , Masayuki Okabe , Kyoji Umemura

Linear combinations of multinomial probabilities, such as those resulting from contingency tables, are of use when evaluating classification system performance. While large sample inference methods for these combinations exist, small sample…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-04-20 Katherine A. Batterton , Christine M. Schubert , Richard L. Warr